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公式スペック","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/prn/spec/","checkedAt":"2026-08-26","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYO 公式ミニパンフレット","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/prn/prn_mp_p189.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-08-24","sha256":"15A1C406758416BFCD44B3204E1CD27810259B083E8F5A3BE17DD63F8AAFD896","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"}],"limitations":["公表値が約表記のため、内部値を逆算していません。継続率は公表値をそのまま使います。","2,000〜3,200個の内訳は公式資料で幅表示のため、単一値へ丸めず期待値も範囲で示します。","公表出玉は払い出し。打ち込み、オーバー入賞、ラウンド間、右打ち中の増減は実獲得補正へ分離します。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1344.897959183673,"max":1456.571428571428},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":436,"max":436},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"DREAM RUSH（ST50回）","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.8928571428571428,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":523.2142857142857,"max":587.5}},{"id":"lt","label":"DREAM 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LT-Light","manufacturer":"SANKYO","introducedAt":"2026-01-05","normalDenominator":99.9,"headline":"1/99.9・ST15回＋残保留4個・上乗せループ","answer":"ST15回と残保留4個を分け、仮面RUSH超への5%移行、ST10,000回、60%上乗せループまで状態遷移で計算します。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-UTAWARERU-LT-LIGHT-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"350個・時短なし","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":350},{"label":"350個・仮面RUSH","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":350,"nextState":"rush-st"}],"states":[{"id":"rush-st","label":"仮面RUSH・ST15回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":14.1,"spins":15},"missNextState":"rush-reserve","outcomes":[{"label":"700個・RUSH","probability":0.95,"rewardBalls":700,"nextState":"rush-st"},{"label":"700個・RUSH超","probability":0.05,"rewardBalls":700,"nextState":"lt-st"}]},{"id":"rush-reserve","label":"仮面RUSH・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":14.1,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"700個・RUSH","probability":0.95,"rewardBalls":700,"nextState":"rush-st"},{"label":"700個・RUSH超","probability":0.05,"rewardBalls":700,"nextState":"lt-st"}]},{"id":"lt-st","label":"仮面RUSH超・ST15回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":14.1,"spins":15},"missNextState":"lt-reserve","outcomes":[{"label":"700個・ST15回","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":700,"nextState":"lt-st"},{"label":"1,400個＋次回分・上乗せループ","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":2100,"nextState":"upper-loop"}]},{"id":"lt-reserve","label":"仮面RUSH超・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":14.1,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"700個・ST15回","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":700,"nextState":"lt-st"},{"label":"1,400個＋次回分・上乗せループ","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":2100,"nextState":"upper-loop"}]},{"id":"upper-loop","label":"ST10,000回後の上乗せループ","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.6,"note":"公式図の2,100個40%、3,500個24%、4,900個約14%…に一致する60%ループ"},"missNextState":"lt-st","outcomes":[{"label":"1,400個上乗せ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1400,"nextState":"upper-loop"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/99.9"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"約1/14.1"},{"label":"RUSH","value":"ST15回＋残保留4個・継続約75%"},{"label":"上位","value":"ST10,000回・60%上乗せループ"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO 公式スペック","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/pce/spec/","checkedAt":"2026-08-26","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYO 公式ミニパンフレット","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/assets/images/collection/pamphlet/5182.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-08-24","sha256":"B38A90CC4E8141A9F99458869DEDA30B4E550B652E50841DE7460E7EB222BF18","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"}],"limitations":["右打ち図柄揃い確率1/14.1をST15回と残保留4個へ同じ独立確率として適用します。","公式図の上乗せ期待出玉分布から60%継続・1回1,400個上乗せの状態を再現しています。","公表出玉は払い出し。実獲得との差は計算画面の実獲得補正で調整します。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1838.7222239299997,"max":1838.7222239299997},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":350,"max":350},"states":[{"id":"rush-st","label":"仮面RUSH・ST15回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.668271530501799,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.7555613556148817,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":821.2341718045989,"max":821.2341718045989}},{"id":"rush-reserve","label":"仮面RUSH・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.2549100046033418,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5823696816083116,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":103.91630075373499,"max":103.91630075373499}},{"id":"lt-st","label":"仮面RUSH超・ST15回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.668271530501799,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.2673578021011901,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":275.14811570670946,"max":275.14811570670946}},{"id":"lt-reserve","label":"仮面RUSH超・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.2549100046033418,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.0886901944994307,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":34.816347547706584,"max":34.816347547706584}},{"id":"upper-loop","label":"ST10,000回後の上乗せループ","group":"loop","gateProbability":0.6,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.3019134382348208,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":253.60728811724948,"max":253.60728811724948}}]}},{"id":"blue-lock-light-e","slug":"blue-lock-light-e","name":"eフィーバーブルーロック Light ver.","shortName":"eブルーロック Light ver.","manufacturer":"SANKYO","introducedAt":"2026-07-06","normalDenominator":120.1,"headline":"約1/120.1・頂上決戦突破約57%・バトル継続約72%","answer":"通常時の3振り分け、頂上決戦の突破、エゴイストバトルの当選と終了を別状態で計算します。右打ちの560〜2,800個以上も公式振り分けのまま反映します。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-BLUE-LOCK-LIGHT-E-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"700個・エゴイストバトル直行","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":700,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"140個・エゴイストバトル直行","probability":0.05,"rewardBalls":140,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"210個・頂上決戦","probability":0.94,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"top-match"}],"states":[{"id":"top-match","label":"頂上決戦","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.57,"note":"メーカー公表の頂上決戦突破率 約57%を使用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"560個・エゴイストバトル","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":560,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"1,120個・エゴイストバトル","probability":0.37,"rewardBalls":1120,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"1,680個・エゴイストバトル","probability":0.12,"rewardBalls":1680,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"2,800個以上・エゴイストバトル","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":2800,"nextState":"egoist-battle"}]},{"id":"egoist-battle","label":"エゴイストバトル","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"competing","successDenominator":39.1,"failureDenominator":100,"note":"図柄揃い約1/39.1と終了約1/100の先着競合を使用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"560個・バトル継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":560,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"1,120個・バトル継続","probability":0.37,"rewardBalls":1120,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"1,680個・バトル継続","probability":0.12,"rewardBalls":1680,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"2,800個以上・バトル継続","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":2800,"nextState":"egoist-battle"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"図柄揃い 約1/120.1"},{"label":"頂上決戦","value":"突入100%・突破約57%"},{"label":"バトル突入","value":"トータル約60%"},{"label":"バトル","value":"図柄揃い約1/39.1・終了約1/100"},{"label":"バトル継続","value":"約72%"},{"label":"右打ち出玉","value":"560〜2,800個以上（払い出し）"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO 公式スペック","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/pwr/spec/","checkedAt":"2026-09-01","sha256":"9BDCEACC2DC60C8C43C5B3C69D8DA23BB0BEE16650EFA7861E6560E1624E9420","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYO 公式振り分け画像","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/img/machineList/pwr/spec/spec_graph_2_pc.jpg","checkedAt":"2026-09-01","sha256":"31128243741D10DE79EDFF0918BA93C93F1FA9B81DEE49B2556A875DFEE66F56","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYO 公式ミニパンフレット","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/pwr/pwr_mp_pe120.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-01","sha256":"8609F943FD92C7B91FB5FB857AD23C345A966E8494DAD96BEFE2BB1EA057EC54","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"},{"label":"SANKYO 公式機種ページ","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/pwr/","checkedAt":"2026-09-01","sha256":"B22E63BF77224A7BF79DE91A57C645F5D04F2714CB159FAFA1C6544AA6D62960","kind":"manufacturer-page"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表値が約表記のため、内部乱数値を逆算せず、振り分けと頂上決戦突破率は公表値をそのまま使います。","エゴイストバトルは図柄揃い約1/39.1と終了約1/100の先着競合として計算し、継続率71.89%が公表の約72%と一致することを検算しています。","2,800個以上は公式注記の560個×5回を下限2,800個として計上します。さらに続く内部振り分けは公表されていないため加算しません。","公表出玉は払い出し。打ち込み、オーバー入賞、ラウンド間、右打ち中の増減は実獲得補正へ分離します。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2114.4566936061383,"max":2114.4566936061383},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":211.39999999999998,"max":211.39999999999998},"states":[{"id":"top-match","label":"頂上決戦","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.57,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.94,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":495.0791999999999,"max":495.0791999999999}},{"id":"egoist-battle","label":"エゴイストバトル","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7189072609633358,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.1195851662404097,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1407.9774936061385,"max":1407.9774936061385}}]}},{"id":"evangelion-15","slug":"evangelion-15","name":"新世紀エヴァンゲリオン〜未来への咆哮〜","shortName":"エヴァ15 未来への咆哮","manufacturer":"ビスティ","normalDenominator":319.7,"headline":"約1/319.7・ST突入約70%・ST163回＋残保留4個・継続約81%","answer":"初当りのST直行59%と時短100回41%を分け、ST163回後の残保留4個まで状態遷移で計算します。公式の約70%突入、約81%継続を理論確率で再現します。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-EVANGELION-15-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1,500個・ST163回","probability":0.03,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"impact-st-163"},{"label":"450個・ST163回","probability":0.56,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"impact-st-163"},{"label":"450個・時短100回","probability":0.41,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"chance-time-100"}],"states":[{"id":"chance-time-100","label":"時短100回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":319.7,"spins":100,"note":"低確率約1/319.7を時短100回へ適用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1,500個・ST163回","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"impact-st-163"}]},{"id":"impact-st-163","label":"IMPACT MODE・ST163回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.4,"spins":163,"note":"高確率約1/99.4をST163回へ適用"},"missNextState":"residual-4","outcomes":[{"label":"1,500個・ST163回","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"impact-st-163"}]},{"id":"residual-4","label":"ST後の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":319.7,"spins":4,"note":"通常確率約1/319.7を残保留4個へ適用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1,500個・ST163回","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"impact-st-163"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/319.7"},{"label":"高確率","value":"約1/99.4"},{"label":"ST突入","value":"約70%（直行59%＋時短引き戻し）"},{"label":"IMPACT MODE","value":"ST163回＋残保留4個・継続約81%"},{"label":"右打ち出玉","value":"ALL1,500個（払い出し）"},{"label":"遊タイム","value":"非搭載"}],"sources":[{"label":"Fields／エヴァンゲリオン公式 機種ページ","url":"https://www.eva-project.jp/asuhenohoukou/","checkedAt":"2026-09-02","sha256":"EA468B30D190A42A9E76A697EE8CEB6127E387F7A61EC64CBB5C4448D4F9E544","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"Fields／エヴァンゲリオン公式 基本スペック画像","url":"https://www.eva-project.jp/asuhenohoukou/img/spec_01.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-02","sha256":"E408ACBF93A04AB5738FA2A0BE5592C500880E3D11D4BEC25D86C40BE72687AA","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"Fields／エヴァンゲリオン公式 振り分け画像","url":"https://www.eva-project.jp/asuhenohoukou/img/spec_02.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-02","sha256":"DA21AC86AA9E2B90FCD3F52DD729D79D8524604D5706E07335BF3131151222E3","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"Fields／エヴァンゲリオン公式 ゲームフロー画像","url":"https://www.eva-project.jp/asuhenohoukou/img/gameflow_01.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-02","sha256":"A82024CEB8C10660E742B9C9C2D30427DAA5A77E89327AD50E1895565DAE040E","kind":"manufacturer-page"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表値が約表記のため、内部乱数値を逆算せず、公表された分母と振り分けを使用します。","ST継続は約1/99.4を163回、残保留は通常確率約1/319.7を4回として独立計算し、合算80.999%が公式の約81%と一致することを検算しています。","公表出玉は払い出し。打ち込み、オーバー入賞、ラウンド間、右打ち中の増減は実獲得補正へ分離します。","期待値は長期平均であり、個別の実戦結果や利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":5124.655371619416,"max":5124.655371619416},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":481.5,"max":481.5},"states":[{"id":"chance-time-100","label":"時短100回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.2689573412635977,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.41,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":165.4087648771126,"max":165.4087648771126}},{"id":"impact-st-163","label":"IMPACT MODE・ST163回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.8075932129229089,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":3.6854369144129433,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":4464.5007581031605,"max":4464.5007581031605}},{"id":"residual-4","label":"ST後の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.01245314829722155,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.709103075677503,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":13.24584863914179,"max":13.24584863914179}}]}},{"id":"karakuri2-maou","slug":"karakuri2-maou","name":"eフィーバーからくりサーカス2 魔王ver.","shortName":"からくり2 魔王","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":399.9,"headline":"図柄揃い約1/399.9・LT突入約52%・ST135回・継続約80%","answer":"初当りの48%通常、51%LT、1%LTを分け、LT中はSTリセット10%と1,500〜7,500個の4経路を公式比率のまま計算します。4,500〜7,500個は内訳を推測せず、期待値も下限〜上限で表示します。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-KARAKURI2-MAOU-PRW-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1,200個・通常","probability":0.48,"rewardBalls":1200},{"label":"1,200個・LT","probability":0.51,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"lt-st-135"},{"label":"300個・LT","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lt-st-135"}],"states":[{"id":"lt-st-135","label":"超悪魔RUSH・ST135回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.8,"note":"メーカー公表のc時短を含むLT継続率 約80%を使用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"ST135回をリセット","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"lt-st-135"},{"label":"1,500個・ST135回","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt-st-135"},{"label":"3,000個・ST135回","probability":0.33,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"lt-st-135"},{"label":"4,500〜7,500個・ST135回","probability":0.17,"rewardBalls":{"min":4500,"max":7500},"nextState":"lt-st-135"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時図柄揃い","value":"約1/399.9"},{"label":"大当り合算","value":"約1/199.9"},{"label":"LT突入","value":"約52%"},{"label":"超悪魔RUSH","value":"ST135回・継続約80%（c時短込み）"},{"label":"運命の一劇","value":"発生約1/78・成功約82%"},{"label":"右打ち出玉","value":"STリセット10%／1,500〜7,500個"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO 公式スペックページ","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/prw/spec/","checkedAt":"2026-09-03","sha256":"65D3D0A61DEF69473A849EA3EA67D57FA178CDA0FE21ADA3CA1808EC74C957B3","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYO 公式振り分け画像","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/img/machineList/prw/spec/spec_graph_2_pc.jpg","checkedAt":"2026-09-03","sha256":"147FD080B807D5E1C43F04E921A3858C43C0AA5C4EA436AA91169F9449A144B8","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYO 公式ミニパンフレット","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/prw/prw_mp_e.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-03","sha256":"6022B72A80374B367B67E2DE87F5F45F036043CF854D3B74619D774BA6791784","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"},{"label":"SANKYO 『eフィーバーからくりサーカス2 魔王ver.』発表資料","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.co.jp/corporate/modify/IR/Timely/files/press_20240819.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-03","sha256":"8F82239DA6F080C86EBB09D98FB807FF95A7514D0F224A778ABC5862DD21E6B8","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表値が約表記のため、内部乱数値を逆算せず、公表された分母・突入率・継続率・振り分けを使用します。","LT中約1/78、5回転成功約82%、c時短の内部内訳は完全には公表されていません。別々に重ねず、c時短を含む公表LT継続率約80%を状態の継続ゲートに使います。","右打ち17%の4,500〜7,500個は個別振り分けが公表されていないため、下限と上限の幅を保ったまま計算します。","公表出玉は払い出しです。打ち込み、オーバー入賞、ラウンド間、右打ち中の増減は実獲得補正へ分離します。期待値は長期平均であり、個別の利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":6089.400000000004,"max":7150.200000000005},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":1191,"max":1191},"states":[{"id":"lt-st-135","label":"超悪魔RUSH・ST135回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.6000000000000023,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":4898.400000000004,"max":5959.200000000005}}]}},{"id":"rezero-onigakari","slug":"rezero-onigakari","name":"P Re:ゼロから始める異世界生活 鬼がかりver.","shortName":"リゼロ鬼がかり","manufacturer":"大都技研","normalDenominator":319.6,"headline":"約1/319.6・RUSH突入約55%・ST144回・継続約77%","answer":"初当りの1,500個通常45%と、3,000個＋RUSH55%を分けます。RUSH中は約1/99.9を144回で抽選し、当選時のST回数回復14%、300個6%、1,500個55%、3,000個25%を公式比率のまま計算します。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-REZERO-ONIGAKARI-M08-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1,500個・通常へ","probability":0.45,"rewardBalls":1500},{"label":"3,000個・鬼がかりRUSHへ","probability":0.55,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"onigakari-rush-st-144"}],"states":[{"id":"onigakari-rush-st-144","label":"鬼がかりRUSH・ST144回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":144,"note":"メーカー公式の大当りと時短回数回復の合算約1/99.9をST144回へ適用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"ST144回をリセット","probability":0.14,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"onigakari-rush-st-144"},{"label":"300個・RUSH継続","probability":0.06,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"onigakari-rush-st-144"},{"label":"1,500個・RUSH継続","probability":0.55,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"onigakari-rush-st-144"},{"label":"3,000個・RUSH継続","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"onigakari-rush-st-144"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/319.6"},{"label":"RUSH中","value":"約1/99.9（大当り＋ST回復の合算）"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"約55%"},{"label":"鬼がかりRUSH","value":"ST144回・継続約77%"},{"label":"初当り","value":"1,500個45%／3,000個＋RUSH55%"},{"label":"RUSH当り","value":"ST回復14%／300個6%／1,500個55%／3,000個25%"}],"sources":[{"label":"大都技研 公式機種ページ","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/onirezero/","checkedAt":"2026-09-04","sha256":"F47AD746FC36987E127C47BFA65884895A94AB79B064962CF944223E17B816CB","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"大都技研 公式特徴・スペック画像","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/onirezero/img/contents__tokucho__img.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-04","sha256":"2D084099E1534EBACA89693956EC238D89C92DC66C4E37C97CE102BB40961EF0","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"大都技研 公式ゲームフロー画像","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/onirezero/img/contents__gameflow__img.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-04","sha256":"87A78D62119A8916F4987F2A10369F0289DC162E7BDFFE826BAA7A242C9AEF61","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"大都技研 公式パチンコ製品一覧","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/products/pachinko/","checkedAt":"2026-09-04","sha256":"2DCD40F91D7F00E1004BBFD2C6125B970A50F95322180ADBC8F0D24CBFCDC4DD","kind":"manufacturer-page"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表値が約表記のため、内部乱数値を逆算せず、公表された分母・突入率・継続率・振り分けを使用します。","RUSH中の約1/99.9は大当りと時短回数回復の合算値です。1つのST継続ゲートとして扱い、ST回復14%を別の当選確率として重ねません。","3,000個は1,500個×2回で、2回目はV入賞が条件です。ページ上の出玉はメーカー公表の払い出しです。","打ち込み、オーバー入賞、ラウンド間、右打ち中の増減は実獲得補正へ分離します。期待値は長期平均であり、個別の利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":5179.141578922685,"max":5179.141578922685},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":2325,"max":2325},"states":[{"id":"onigakari-rush-st-144","label":"鬼がかりRUSH・ST144回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7651255990415007,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.3416770740255406,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2854.1415789226853,"max":2854.1415789226853}}]}},{"id":"rezero-season2","slug":"rezero-season2","name":"e Re:ゼロから始める異世界生活 season2","shortName":"Re:ゼロ season2","manufacturer":"大都技研","introducedAt":"2023-11-20","normalDenominator":349.9,"headline":"約1/349.9・RUSH突入55%・ST145回・上乗せ25%ループ","answer":"初当りの45%・1,500個通常と、55%・3,000個＋上乗せ後RUSHを分けます。RUSHは約1/99.9を145回、当選時は300・1,500・3,000個＋上乗せの3経路。3,000個後の1,500個上乗せは25%で続く幾何ループとして計算します。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-REZERO-SEASON2-M13-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1,500個・通常へ","probability":0.45,"rewardBalls":1500},{"label":"3,000個・強欲フリーズ抽選後RUSH","probability":0.55,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"bonus-alpha-loop"}],"states":[{"id":"bonus-alpha-loop","label":"強欲フリーズ・1,500個上乗せ","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.25,"note":"メーカー公式のフリーズ発生確率約25%。発生のたび1,500個を上乗せ"},"missNextState":"rush-st-145","outcomes":[{"label":"1,500個上乗せ・再抽選","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"bonus-alpha-loop"}]},{"id":"rush-st-145","label":"強欲RUSH／ドキドキRUSH・ST145回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":145,"note":"メーカー公式の高確率時約1/99.9をST145回へ適用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・RUSH継続","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush-st-145"},{"label":"1,500個・RUSH継続","probability":0.55,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush-st-145"},{"label":"3,000個・強欲フリーズ抽選後RUSH","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"bonus-alpha-loop"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/349.9"},{"label":"RUSH中","value":"約1/99.9・ST145回・継続約77%"},{"label":"初当り","value":"1,500個45%／3,000個＋α・RUSH55%"},{"label":"RUSH当り","value":"300個20%／1,500個55%／3,000個＋α25%"},{"label":"上乗せ","value":"約25%ループ・1回1,500個"},{"label":"型式名","value":"e Re:ゼロから始める異世界生活 season2M13"}],"sources":[{"label":"大都技研 公式機種情報","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/rezero2/info.html","checkedAt":"2026-08-31","sha256":"04E2A48A4BE49E96058FC288D33F949623ED0AEE5BBFACE403752D0419DDC775","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"大都技研 公式基本情報・大当り振り分け","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/rezero2/img/lower/gb_01.jpg","checkedAt":"2026-08-31","sha256":"1CE8990E85896BBF37B7021EF7E28E2E6F0D05E8623D6A92276877EAC56D7FB1","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"大都技研 公式3000BONUS・強欲フリーズ","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/rezero2/img/lower/gb_06.jpg","checkedAt":"2026-08-31","sha256":"62BBCDA584C26133F74C30524394BBF66EA3BFE35FC466184798B27D613878B1","kind":"manufacturer-page"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表の約1/349.9・約1/99.9・約77%を使用し、未公表の内部乱数値は逆算していません。","強欲フリーズは公表の約25%ループを独立抽選として再現します。演出ごとの告知差は期待値へ影響しないため含めません。","出玉は払い出し。打ち込み、オーバー入賞、ラウンド間、右打ち中の増減は実獲得補正へ分離します。","遊タイムは非搭載。通常時の到達回転数による期待値変化はモデルにありません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":5795.023557770137,"max":5795.023557770137},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":2325,"max":2325},"states":[{"id":"bonus-alpha-loop","label":"強欲フリーズ・1,500個上乗せ","group":"loop","gateProbability":0.25,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.3384514313958593,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":501.91928677344725,"max":501.91928677344725}},{"id":"rush-st-145","label":"強欲RUSH／ドキドキRUSH・ST145回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7674766941461904,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.365354294187578,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2968.1042709966896,"max":2968.1042709966896}}]}},{"id":"mediterranean2","slug":"mediterranean2","name":"PAスーパー海物語IN地中海2","shortName":"地中海2","manufacturer":"三洋物産","introducedAt":"2024-08-05","normalDenominator":89.8,"headline":"約1/89.8・チャンスタイム約50%・LT約95%","answer":"初当り後の時短20回、地中海JOURNEYの44回、PREMIUM VACATIONの100回と残保留4個を分けます。LT中の100回内当選はLTを維持し、残保留当選は地中海JOURNEY振り分けへ戻る公式注記まで状態遷移で再現します。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-MEDITERRANEAN2-HLA-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"6R・チャンスタイム20回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":480,"nextState":"chance-time-20"},{"label":"4R・チャンスタイム20回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":320,"nextState":"chance-time-20"}],"states":[{"id":"chance-time-20","label":"チャンスタイム・時短20回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":34.8,"spins":20,"note":"右打ち中合算約1/34.8を時短20回へ適用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R・PREMIUM VACATION 100回","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"premium-time-100"},{"label":"6R・地中海JOURNEY 44回","probability":0.48,"rewardBalls":480,"nextState":"journey-time-44"},{"label":"4R・地中海JOURNEY 44回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":320,"nextState":"journey-time-44"}],"missNextState":"chance-reserve-4"},{"id":"chance-reserve-4","label":"チャンスタイム後・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":34.8,"spins":4,"note":"公式注記の残保留最大4個へ右打ち中合算約1/34.8を適用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R・PREMIUM VACATION 100回","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"premium-time-100"},{"label":"6R・地中海JOURNEY 44回","probability":0.48,"rewardBalls":480,"nextState":"journey-time-44"},{"label":"4R・地中海JOURNEY 44回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":320,"nextState":"journey-time-44"}]},{"id":"journey-time-44","label":"地中海JOURNEY・時短44回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":34.8,"spins":44,"note":"右打ち中合算約1/34.8を時短44回へ適用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R・PREMIUM VACATION 100回","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"premium-time-100"},{"label":"6R・地中海JOURNEY 44回","probability":0.48,"rewardBalls":480,"nextState":"journey-time-44"},{"label":"4R・地中海JOURNEY 44回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":320,"nextState":"journey-time-44"}],"missNextState":"journey-reserve-4"},{"id":"journey-reserve-4","label":"地中海JOURNEY後・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":34.8,"spins":4,"note":"公式注記の残保留最大4個へ右打ち中合算約1/34.8を適用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R・PREMIUM VACATION 100回","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"premium-time-100"},{"label":"6R・地中海JOURNEY 44回","probability":0.48,"rewardBalls":480,"nextState":"journey-time-44"},{"label":"4R・地中海JOURNEY 44回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":320,"nextState":"journey-time-44"}]},{"id":"premium-time-100","label":"PREMIUM VACATION・時短100回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":34.8,"spins":100,"note":"右打ち中合算約1/34.8を時短100回へ適用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R・PREMIUM VACATION 100回を維持","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"premium-time-100"},{"label":"6R・PREMIUM VACATION 100回を維持","probability":0.48,"rewardBalls":480,"nextState":"premium-time-100"},{"label":"4R・PREMIUM VACATION 100回を維持","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":320,"nextState":"premium-time-100"}],"missNextState":"premium-reserve-4"},{"id":"premium-reserve-4","label":"PREMIUM VACATION後・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":34.8,"spins":4,"note":"残保留当選は地中海JOURNEY振り分けとなる公式注記を適用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R・PREMIUM VACATION 100回","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"premium-time-100"},{"label":"6R・地中海JOURNEY 44回","probability":0.48,"rewardBalls":480,"nextState":"journey-time-44"},{"label":"4R・地中海JOURNEY 44回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":320,"nextState":"journey-time-44"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/89.8"},{"label":"右打ち中","value":"約1/34.8（大当り・小当り合算）"},{"label":"チャンスタイム","value":"時短20回＋残保留4個・約50%"},{"label":"地中海JOURNEY","value":"時短44回＋残保留4個・約75%"},{"label":"PREMIUM VACATION","value":"時短100回・約95%"},{"label":"大当り出玉","value":"320・480・800個（払い出し）"},{"label":"型式名","value":"PAスーパー海物語IN地中海2 HLA"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANYO PAスーパー海物語IN地中海2 公式機種ページ","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/products/pk_chichukai2_yuupachi/","checkedAt":"2026-08-30","sha256":"5A75C6A0A469EFC3850BDDE9F4FFA9647F97FADA9EC9C5D97128D18581697122","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANYO 公式ガイドブック","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/products/pk_chichukai2_yuupachi/pk_chichukai2_yuupachi_guidebook_PC.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-08-30","sha256":"6B9B93D956D14492D0D04DC5A128A546173AE1C64F84E3E65CD82CD755F712A7","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"},{"label":"SANYO 『PAスーパー海物語IN地中海2』発表資料","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/information/pdf/sanyo_press_release_20240513.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-08-30","sha256":"D4E2DD5F8BEC6B9914D5113925CAB54A691AE8EAC954C0AD36CB67F2272C7E3B","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"}],"limitations":["メーカー公式の約表記をそのまま使い、内部確率は逆算していません。右打ち中は公表された大当り・小当り合算約1/34.8を各時短と残保留へ適用します。","PREMIUM VACATIONの時短100回内当選は100回を維持し、100回後の残保留で当選した場合だけ地中海JOURNEY振り分けへ戻す公式注記を反映しています。","電サポ中の打ち込み・玉増減と残保留の消化時間は計上しません。公表出玉は払い出しで、削り、止め打ち、オーバー入賞、交換条件による差は入力値で調整してください。","期待値は平均で、個別遊技の勝敗・利益・必要資金を保証しません。生活費や借入金を遊技資金にしないでください。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1463.1305661053348,"max":1463.1305661053348},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":400,"max":400},"states":[{"id":"chance-time-20","label":"チャンスタイム・時短20回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.44185231648944445,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":179.5687814213102,"max":179.5687814213102}},{"id":"chance-reserve-4","label":"チャンスタイム後・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.11008233980064963,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5581476835105555,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":24.970111280974756,"max":24.970111280974756}},{"id":"journey-time-44","label":"地中海JOURNEY・時短44回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7227649866410055,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.9000999431913692,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":558.1195685672807,"max":558.1195685672807}},{"id":"journey-reserve-4","label":"地中海JOURNEY後・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.11008233980064963,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5267742331340839,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":23.566542708869733,"max":23.566542708869733}},{"id":"premium-time-100","label":"PREMIUM 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HYPER・本体106回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":41,"spins":106,"note":"公式のLT110回から、別振り分けになる残保留4個を分離"},"outcomes":[{"label":"8R・880個・LTを維持","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":880,"nextState":"lt-main-106"},{"label":"3R・330個・LTを維持","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":330,"nextState":"lt-main-106"}],"missNextState":"lt-reserve-4"},{"id":"lt-reserve-4","label":"LT後・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":41,"spins":4,"note":"公式注記に従い、LT110回の末尾4個だけ通常ST振り分けを適用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"8R・880個・GOLDパールRUSH HYPER","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":880,"nextState":"lt-main-106"},{"label":"8R・880個・通常STを再セット","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":880,"nextState":"regular-st-35"},{"label":"3R・330個・通常STを再セット","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":330,"nextState":"regular-st-35"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/99.9"},{"label":"右打ち中","value":"実質約1/41.0"},{"label":"通常ST","value":"突入70%・35回＋残保留4個・継続約62%"},{"label":"LT突入","value":"ST中大当りの10%"},{"label":"LT","value":"110回・継続約93%"},{"label":"払い出し","value":"3R 330個・8R 880個"},{"label":"型式名","value":"PA大海物語5HLD"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANYO PA大海物語5ブラックLT99ver. 公式機種ページ","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/products/pk_bigsea5_blackLT_99ver/","checkedAt":"2026-09-05","sha256":"80522D5FC9AEBFA5BCF99600926A84D31CB598AFC2D85D5F3F3CFE40B87D2F10","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANYO PA大海物語5ブラックLT99ver. オフィシャルガイド","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/products/pk_bigsea5_blackLT_99ver/pk_bigsea5_blackLT_99ver_SP.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-05","sha256":"65DAEFDAACFB5073FE08397BEB0D9488E590A71F18A28CDB2A3DC47533686222","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"},{"label":"SANYO 『PA大海物語5ブラックLT99ver.』発表資料","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/information/pdf/sanyo_press_release_20241225.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-05","sha256":"CF57E3AC3037F23678006DE50ACEE3663E44A5CEE1D49F9D4C3BF118BB7C90AC","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"},{"label":"SANYO パチンコ製品一覧","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/products/pachinko.html","checkedAt":"2026-09-05","sha256":"72E2C2F589E147A2A25885BC3AC73B98121E4CD560099CA8A0199C65227C1C46","kind":"manufacturer-page"}],"limitations":["メーカー公式の約表記をそのまま使い、未公表の内部分母は逆算していません。","公式はLTを110回とし、残保留当選には通常ST振り分けを適用すると注記しています。総回数を114回へ増やさず、110回の内訳を本体106回と残保留4個に分けて再現します。","小当りはV入賞が大当りの条件です。電サポ中の玉増減と残保留の消化時間は計算へ含めません。","公表出玉は払い出しです。削り、止め打ち、オーバー入賞、交換条件による差は入力値で調整してください。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1574.5437471693187,"max":1574.5437471693187},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":330,"max":330},"states":[{"id":"regular-st-35","label":"通常ST・35回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5786289336163258,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.5971366501249826,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":508.2822121857533,"max":508.2822121857533}},{"id":"regular-reserve-4","label":"通常ST後・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.09404935520024527,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6729871734236129,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":34.81170534518954,"max":34.81170534518954}},{"id":"lt-main-106","label":"GOLDパールRUSH HYPER・本体106回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.9270088395272016,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.3656701629101426,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":696.2935720929406,"max":696.2935720929406}},{"id":"lt-reserve-4","label":"LT後・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.09404935520024527,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.09968185001388698,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":5.156257545435497,"max":5.156257545435497}}]}},{"id":"tokyo-ghoul","slug":"tokyo-ghoul","name":"ｅ 東京喰種","shortName":"東京喰種 1/399.9","manufacturer":"Bisty","introducedAt":"2025-04-21","normalDenominator":199.9,"headline":"図柄約1/399.9・チャージ込み約1/199.9・LT継続約75%","answer":"図柄揃いと喰種チャージを通常時約1/199.9の合算イベントへ再構成し、1500個の図柄揃い、300個チャージ、約1%のチャージ経由LT、ST130回を別経路で計算します。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-TOKYO-GHOUL-399-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"図柄揃い1,500個・通常","probability":0.24623115577889446,"rewardBalls":1500},{"label":"図柄揃い1,500個・HYPER喰種RUSH","probability":0.25125628140703515,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"喰種チャージ300個・通常","probability":0.49748743718592964,"rewardBalls":300},{"label":"喰種チャージ300個・HYPER喰種RUSH","probability":0.005025125628140704,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"HYPER喰種RUSH（ST130回）","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":95.3,"spins":130,"note":"公式のRUSH中図柄揃い約1/95.3とST130回を使用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"3,000個・ST130回","probability":0.97,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"6,000個・ST130回","probability":0.03,"rewardBalls":6000,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時図柄","value":"約1/399.9"},{"label":"合算イベント","value":"約1/199.9（チャージ込み）"},{"label":"RUSH","value":"約1/95.3・ST130回"},{"label":"右打ち出玉","value":"3,000個97%・6,000個3%"}],"sources":[{"label":"東京喰種 公式サイト・スペック","url":"https://www.pachi-e-tokyoghoul.jp/","checkedAt":"2026-08-26","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYOオンライン博物館・機種詳細","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/collection/980/","checkedAt":"2026-08-26","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"公式の特図1・特図2振り分け画像","url":"https://www.pachi-e-tokyoghoul.jp/img/img-spec2_pc.png","checkedAt":"2026-08-26","sha256":"C403FC8284F38CD2289CEE18A51C85F21096E4616F2A197CCBF2EEB9B5407870","kind":"manufacturer-page"}],"limitations":["公式の約1/199.9を通常時の合算イベント分母に使用し、公式振り分け図の0.49・0.50・0.01と、非突入チャージ0.99を合計1.99で正規化しています。約表記から内部値は逆算していません。","公式のTOTAL突入率約51%は図柄揃い確率を基準にチャージ突入を加えた表示です。合算イベントに対する状態遷移確率は同じ値ではありません。","6,000個の後に表示される『+α』は公表資料だけでは定量化できないため、6,000個までを計上しています。公表出玉は払い出しです。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3225.635872152636,"max":3225.635872152636},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":896.9849246231155,"max":896.9849246231155},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"HYPER喰種RUSH（ST130回）","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7462284262908903,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0098901279185157,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2328.65094752952,"max":2328.65094752952}}]}},{"id":"tokyo-ghoul-chodeka-999","slug":"tokyo-ghoul-chodeka-999","name":"ｅ 東京喰種 超デカ 超一撃 ver.","shortName":"東京喰種 超デカ 1/999.9","manufacturer":"Bisty","introducedAt":"2026-06-08","normalDenominator":349.9,"headline":"図柄約1/999.9・チャージ込み約1/349.9・3000個×50%ループ","answer":"1/999.9は図柄揃いの分母です。計算では喰種チャージ約1/538.3と合算した大当り約1/349.9を使い、公式振り分け図にある図柄揃いの50%RUSH、ST5回、当選後の3,000個×50%喰MAXループを状態として分けます。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-TOKYO-GHOUL-CHODEKA-999-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"図柄揃い3,000個・通常","probability":0.1749772461318424,"rewardBalls":3000},{"label":"図柄揃い7,500個・HYPER喰種RUSH","probability":0.1749772461318424,"rewardBalls":7500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"喰種チャージ300個","probability":0.6500455077363152,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"HYPER喰種RUSH（ST5回）","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":7.7,"spins":5,"note":"公式のRUSH中図柄揃い約1/7.7とST5回を使用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"3,000個＋喰MAXループ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"climax-loop"}]},{"id":"climax-loop","label":"喰MAXループ（3,000個上乗せ）","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.5,"note":"公式図の3,000個50%、6,000個25%、9,000個12.5%、それ以上12.5%に一致する50%ループ"},"missNextState":"rush","outcomes":[{"label":"3,000個上乗せ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"climax-loop"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時図柄","value":"約1/999.9"},{"label":"合算大当り","value":"約1/349.9（チャージ込み）"},{"label":"RUSH","value":"約1/7.7・ST5回・継続約50%"},{"label":"右打ち出玉","value":"3,000個×50%上乗せループ"}],"sources":[{"label":"超デカ 超一撃 ver. 公式サイト・スペック","url":"https://www.pachi-e-tokyoghoul.jp/chodeka.html","checkedAt":"2026-08-26","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYOオンライン博物館・機種詳細","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/collection/980/","checkedAt":"2026-08-26","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"公式の特図1・特図2振り分け画像","url":"https://www.pachi-e-tokyoghoul.jp/img2/img-spec2_pc.png","checkedAt":"2026-08-26","sha256":"E7EB05E3FAD8BA2756619392807ADBEB6A78F02E49E8B6C7457C57A30A41A7E6","kind":"manufacturer-page"}],"limitations":["通常時図柄約1/999.9と喰種チャージ約1/538.3の公表分母から経路比率を算出し、公式の合算大当り約1/349.9へ正規化しています。","公式振り分け図でRUSH突入が示されている図柄揃い50%だけをRUSH経路へ置き、喰種チャージは公表された300個だけを計上します。チャージからの別経路は公表資料で定量確認できないため加算しません。","右打ちは公式振り分け図に一致する3,000個単位の50%幾何ループとして再現します。公表出玉は払い出しです。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3087.21903754702,"max":3087.21903754702},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":2032.2747367052398,"max":2032.2747367052398},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"HYPER喰種RUSH（ST5回）","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.5012069567835882,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.3508012962721392,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":527.4721504208903,"max":527.4721504208903}},{"id":"climax-loop","label":"喰MAXループ（3,000個上乗せ）","group":"loop","gateProbability":0.5,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.35164810028059357,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":527.4721504208903,"max":527.4721504208903}}]}},{"id":"blue-lock-light-p","slug":"blue-lock-light-p","name":"Pフィーバーブルーロック Light ver.","shortName":"Pブルーロック Light ver.","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":120.1,"headline":"約1/120.1・頂上決戦突破約57%・バトル継続約72%","answer":"P機版です。メーカーがP/e共通で公表する通常時3振り分け、頂上決戦57%、バトルの当選・転落と右打ち出玉を照合した下限モデルで計算します。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-BLUE-LOCK-LIGHT-P-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"700個・エゴイストバトル直行","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":700,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"140個・エゴイストバトル直行","probability":0.05,"rewardBalls":140,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"210個・頂上決戦","probability":0.94,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"top-match"}],"states":[{"id":"top-match","label":"頂上決戦","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.57,"note":"メーカー公表の頂上決戦突破率 約57%を使用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"560個・エゴイストバトル","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":560,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"1,120個・エゴイストバトル","probability":0.37,"rewardBalls":1120,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"1,680個・エゴイストバトル","probability":0.12,"rewardBalls":1680,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"2,800個以上・エゴイストバトル","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":2800,"nextState":"egoist-battle"}]},{"id":"egoist-battle","label":"エゴイストバトル","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"competing","successDenominator":39.1,"failureDenominator":100,"note":"図柄揃い約1/39.1と終了約1/100の先着競合を使用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"560個・バトル継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":560,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"1,120個・バトル継続","probability":0.37,"rewardBalls":1120,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"1,680個・バトル継続","probability":0.12,"rewardBalls":1680,"nextState":"egoist-battle"},{"label":"2,800個以上・バトル継続","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":2800,"nextState":"egoist-battle"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"図柄揃い 約1/120.1"},{"label":"頂上決戦","value":"突入100%・突破約57%"},{"label":"バトル突入","value":"トータル約60%"},{"label":"バトル","value":"図柄揃い約1/39.1・終了約1/100"},{"label":"バトル継続","value":"約72%"},{"label":"右打ち出玉","value":"560〜2,800個以上（払い出し）"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式 P/e Light共通スペック","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/pwr/spec/#spec2","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"82B471A72F12531B72E59012475D61380F166891DEEE0473B3A1C053FA682759","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYO公式 P/e Lightミニパンフレット","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/pwr/pwr_mp_pe120.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"8609F943FD92C7B91FB5FB857AD23C345A966E8494DAD96BEFE2BB1EA057EC54","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"}],"limitations":["P機版の既存URLです。e機版と機種IDを分離し、P/e共通資料で確認した数値・状態遷移だけを共有します。","メーカー公表値が約表記のため、内部乱数値を逆算せず、振り分けと頂上決戦突破率は公表値をそのまま使います。","エゴイストバトルは図柄揃い約1/39.1と終了約1/100の先着競合として計算し、継続率71.89%が公表の約72%と一致することを検算しています。","2,800個以上は公式注記の560個×5回を下限2,800個として計上します。さらに続く内部振り分けは公表されていないため加算しません。","公表出玉は払い出し。打ち込み、オーバー入賞、ラウンド間、右打ち中の増減は実獲得補正へ分離します。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2114.4566936061383,"max":2114.4566936061383},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":211.39999999999998,"max":211.39999999999998},"states":[{"id":"top-match","label":"頂上決戦","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.57,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.94,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":495.0791999999999,"max":495.0791999999999}},{"id":"egoist-battle","label":"エゴイストバトル","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7189072609633358,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.1195851662404097,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1407.9774936061385,"max":1407.9774936061385}}]}},{"id":"ooumi5-black","slug":"ooumi5-black","name":"P大海物語5 ブラック","shortName":"大海5 ブラック","manufacturer":"三洋物産","introducedAt":"2023-12-04","normalDenominator":199.8,"headline":"約1/199.8・ST突入100%・GOLD本体86回＋残保留4個","answer":"初当り後は必ず通常STへ。通常54回分とGOLD90回分を分け、GOLD終了後の残保留は通常STの振り分けに戻して計算します。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-OOUMI5-BLACK-HCL-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"3R・通常ST50回","probability":1,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"regular"}],"states":[{"id":"regular","label":"通常ST本体50回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":44,"spins":50},"outcomes":[{"label":"3R・通常ST50回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"regular"},{"label":"10R・通常ST50回","probability":0.46,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"regular"},{"label":"10R・GOLD86回","probability":0.04,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"gold"}],"missNextState":"regular-reserve"},{"id":"regular-reserve","label":"通常ST残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":44,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"3R・通常ST50回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"regular"},{"label":"10R・通常ST50回","probability":0.46,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"regular"},{"label":"10R・GOLD86回","probability":0.04,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"gold"}]},{"id":"gold","label":"GOLD本体86回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":44,"spins":86},"outcomes":[{"label":"3R・GOLD86回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"gold"},{"label":"10R・GOLD86回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"gold"}],"missNextState":"gold-reserve"},{"id":"gold-reserve","label":"GOLD終了後残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":44,"spins":4,"note":"公式冊子脚注2に従い、当選時は通常ST振り分けへ戻す"},"outcomes":[{"label":"3R・通常ST50回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"regular"},{"label":"10R・通常ST50回","probability":0.46,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"regular"},{"label":"10R・GOLD86回","probability":0.04,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"gold"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"型式","value":"P大海物語5HCL"},{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/199.8"},{"label":"右打ち実質","value":"約1/44.0（大当り＋小当り）"},{"label":"通常ST","value":"本体50回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"GOLD","value":"本体86回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"払い出し","value":"初当り450個／右450個50%・1500個50%"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANYO公式機種ページ","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/products/pk_bigsea5_black/","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"F28E7C7C733D643A418A24D9C10FEC7A5FD00B77E1262BA5D60EB51D4272A025","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANYO公式ガイドブック p.3–4・7","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/products/pk_bigsea5_black/pk_bigsea5_black_guidebook_SP.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"DFBBC0FD59534C5B32D657C4690D176D4B15C8EE8461CAF5EB84335A1600FA15","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"},{"label":"SANYO公式発表資料 2023-09-15","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/information/pdf/sanyo_press_release_20230915_02.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"829E394640A6F599BEA4BBC1806CA20A6C9FA3691031A4D0794E3AF070DD6FB5","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"}],"limitations":["公表約1/44.0を90回で計算すると当選率87.3695%。公式の約87.3%との完全一致は主張せず、未公表の分母を逆算して合わせません。","公式のST継続約74%は通常STとGOLDのトータル値です。通常ST単体の継続率としては使いません。","GOLD終了後の残保留4個は通常ST振り分けです。GOLD継続確約として扱わず、4%だけGOLDへ戻ります。","公表された実質大当り分母1/44.0の独立抽選として計算。小当りはV入賞が条件で、内部の大当り・小当り分母は逆算しません。","GOLDは本機のプレミアムST名称です。2023年導入の本機を制度上のラッキートリガー搭載機とは表記しません。内部groupのltは上位状態の分類です。","450個・1500個は払い出し。打ち出しや右削りは実獲得率で調整し、止め打ち・オーバー入賞・コンプリート上限は個別再現しません。利益非保証。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3208.1870229092783,"max":3208.1870229092783},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":450,"max":450},"states":[{"id":"regular","label":"通常ST本体50回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6831972413547536,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":3.1745678765268965,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2114.6346153431787,"max":2114.6346153431787}},{"id":"regular-reserve","label":"通常ST残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.08785660772829718,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0057118607903028,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":86.14947163012071,"max":86.14947163012071}},{"id":"gold","label":"GOLD本体86回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8615295823750376,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6543418905595431,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":549.6415233116493,"max":549.6415233116493}},{"id":"gold-reserve","label":"GOLD終了後残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.08785660772829718,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.09060699485528735,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":7.761412624329801,"max":7.761412624329801}}]}},{"id":"fire-force-light","slug":"fire-force-light","name":"Pフィーバー炎炎ノ消防隊 Light ver.","shortName":"炎炎ノ消防隊 Light","manufacturer":"SANKYO","introducedAt":"2024-05-07","normalDenominator":129.9,"headline":"約1/129.9・炎上31回＋残保留4個・超炎上100回＋残保留4個","answer":"約70%突入をひとまとめにせず、初当りの1%・65%・34%と、復活チャレンジ・EXTRA BONUS・超炎上RUSHを分けて計算します。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-FIRE-FORCE-LIGHT-PBC129-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・超炎上100回","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"300個・炎上31回","probability":0.65,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"300個・命の呼吸1回","probability":0.34,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"challenge"}],"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"命の呼吸1回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":50.5,"spins":1},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・炎上31回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500個・炎上31回","probability":0.18,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500個・EXTRA10000回","probability":0.32,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"extra"}],"missNextState":"lower-reserve"},{"id":"lower","label":"炎上RUSH本体31回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":50.5,"spins":31},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・炎上31回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500個・炎上31回","probability":0.18,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500個・EXTRA10000回","probability":0.32,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"extra"}],"missNextState":"lower-reserve"},{"id":"lower-reserve","label":"炎上・命の呼吸残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":50.5,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・炎上31回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500個・炎上31回","probability":0.18,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500個・EXTRA10000回","probability":0.32,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"extra"}]},{"id":"extra","label":"EXTRA BONUS10000回","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":50.5,"spins":10000},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・超炎上100回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500個・超炎上100回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"extra-reserve"},{"id":"extra-reserve","label":"EXTRA残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":50.5,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・超炎上100回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500個・超炎上100回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}]},{"id":"upper","label":"超炎上RUSH本体100回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":50.5,"spins":100},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・超炎上100回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500個・超炎上100回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"upper-reserve"},{"id":"upper-reserve","label":"超炎上残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":50.5,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・超炎上100回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500個・超炎上100回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/129.9"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"約1/50.5"},{"label":"初当り","value":"300個・1%超炎上/65%炎上/34%チャレンジ"},{"label":"炎上RUSH","value":"31回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"超炎上RUSH","value":"100回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"払い出し","value":"300個または1500個"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式スペック・脚注","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/pbc/spec/#spec2","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"B2D6D331DDCF3148509AC780A1891FB42654595F431498EF9726B92A38284295","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYO公式Light振り分け図","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/img/machineList/pbc/spec/spec_graph_2_pc.jpg","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"054A7E19E8495C6EB8F16E89F1CE9E49592BCF655DF03171DDCB6A165CEC89C7","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYO公式Lightミニパンフレット","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/pbc/pbc_mp_129.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"6AAB690DF718AB196FFBF10310C12ABEDDCAB0D1DEB5B073354F842B4417B94B","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"}],"limitations":["対象は2024年導入のLight ver.（1/129.9）。319版や別機種の炎炎2ではありません。公表された近似振り分け1/65/34%、32/18/50%を使用します。","公式振り分け図はRUSH最終回転と特図2残保留を含むと明記。上位残保留を別機種の下位振り分けに戻さず、超炎上の振り分けで計算します。","EXTRAは10000回＋残保留4個。無条件で1500個を上乗せせず、公式の300個/1500個各50%で次の当りを計上します。","右打ち公表約1/50.5の独立抽選。V入賞が条件。内部の非公表確率を逆算せず、遊技時間・演出速度・コンプリート上限を再現しません。","出玉は払い出しで、右削り等は実獲得率で調整します。利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2115.6342520571206,"max":2115.6342520571206},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"命の呼吸1回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.01980198019801982,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.34,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":6.059405940594065,"max":6.059405940594065}},{"id":"lower","label":"炎上RUSH本体31回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.4620666804759075,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0217923221469754,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":424.9225677871998,"max":424.9225677871998}},{"id":"lower-reserve","label":"炎上・命の呼吸残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.07688611540138124,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.8829234624494265,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":61.09609970202633,"max":61.09609970202633}},{"id":"extra","label":"EXTRA BONUS10000回","group":"loop","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.17496109277504718,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":157.46498349754245,"max":157.46498349754245}},{"id":"extra-reserve","label":"EXTRA残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.07688611540138124,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":0,"max":0}},{"id":"upper","label":"超炎上RUSH本体100回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.8646737393562086,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.4806179762525564,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1152.226333875888,"max":1152.226333875888}},{"id":"upper-reserve","label":"超炎上残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.07688611540138124,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.2003664941682364,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":13.864861253870286,"max":13.864861253870286}}]}},{"id":"shin-eva-premium","slug":"shin-eva-premium","name":"ぱちんこ シン・エヴァンゲリオン PREMIUM MODEL","shortName":"シンエヴァ PREMIUM","manufacturer":"ビスティ","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-SHIN-EVA-PREMIUM-99-V1","headline":"約1/99.9・ST30回＋時短70回・残保留4個は低確率","answer":"甘デジ版です。RUSHの100回をすべて高確率として計算せず、前半ST30回と後半時短70回を分け、自分の回転率・交換率で収支の目安を出します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1000個・RUSH直行","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush-st"},{"label":"300個・第13号機ST30回","probability":0.58,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"challenge-st"},{"label":"300個・第13号機時短30回","probability":0.41,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"challenge-time"}],"states":[{"id":"challenge-st","label":"第13号機ST30回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":37.5,"spins":30},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・ST30回＋時短70回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush-st"},{"label":"1000個・ST30回＋時短70回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush-st"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"challenge-time","label":"第13号機時短30回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":30},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・ST30回＋時短70回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush-st"},{"label":"1000個・ST30回＋時短70回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush-st"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"rush-st","label":"RUSH前半ST30回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":37.5,"spins":30},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・ST30回＋時短70回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush-st"},{"label":"1000個・ST30回＋時短70回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush-st"}],"missNextState":"rush-time"},{"id":"rush-time","label":"RUSH後半時短70回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":70},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・ST30回＋時短70回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush-st"},{"label":"1000個・ST30回＋時短70回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush-st"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"低確率の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・ST30回＋時短70回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush-st"},{"label":"1000個・ST30回＋時短70回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush-st"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/99.9"},{"label":"ST中","value":"約1/37.5・30回"},{"label":"RUSH","value":"ST30回＋時短70回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"初当り","value":"1000個1%・300個99%"},{"label":"右打ち出玉","value":"300個50%・1000個50%"},{"label":"突入率の目安","value":"直行とST/時短引き戻し込み約46%"}],"sources":[{"label":"メーカー公式PREMIUM MODELスペック","url":"https://www.eva-project.jp/shineva/premium_model/img/img_spec.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"EDCB472DC8D3162CA34F7B447CE365EA390CF2BCF672764D60805F2843000A3B","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"メーカー公式ゲームフロー・残保留脚注","url":"https://www.eva-project.jp/shineva/premium_model/img/img_gameFlow.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"89D5D3423166F42E1EEE428780EF523BAF894388B5D7DCA82FAE13059D4446E2","kind":"manufacturer-page"}],"limitations":["対象はシン・エヴァンゲリオンPREMIUM MODEL（約1/99.9）。Typeレイ、129LT、未来への咆哮PREMIUMとは別機種です。","初当りは公表近似1/58/41%を使用。約46%を直接ST突入率へ設定せず、STと時短それぞれの引き戻しを計算します。","RUSH100回はST30回と低確率時短70回。残保留4個は低確率1/99.9で、公表の引き戻し約3.9%と整合します。残保留をST確率で計算しません。","出玉は払い出し。確率変動は特定ラウンドのV入賞が条件。公表近似確率の独立抽選で、右削りは実獲得率で調整。遊技時間やコンプリート上限の厳密再現はしません。","初当り後のST/時短を一連の出玉として通常回転数とは別に計算します。利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1720.2901126773904,"max":1720.2901126773904},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":307,"max":307},"states":[{"id":"challenge-st","label":"第13号機ST30回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.5555244235413646,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.58,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":209.43270767509443,"max":209.43270767509443}},{"id":"challenge-time","label":"第13号機時短30回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.26052396972307934,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.41,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":69.42963793120065,"max":69.42963793120065}},{"id":"rush-st","label":"RUSH前半ST30回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5555244235413646,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.184292481042139,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":788.7280838948363,"max":788.7280838948363}},{"id":"rush-time","label":"RUSH後半時短70回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5055114544107067,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.9708646596654679,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":319.00908399324015,"max":319.00908399324015}},{"id":"reserve","label":"低確率の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.03944284022157685,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0410624602815675,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":26.69059918301891,"max":26.69059918301891}}]}},{"id":"karakuri2-light","slug":"karakuri2-light","name":"Pフィーバーからくりサーカス2 Light ver.","shortName":"からくり2 Light","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-KARAKURI2-LIGHT-P99-V1","headline":"約1/99.9・突破25回・RUSH125回・出玉なしリセット6.7%","answer":"甘デジ版です。出玉なしのSTリセットと600〜3000個の当りを分け、1パチ・4円それぞれの回転率と交換率で期待収支を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"600個・RUSH125回","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"200個・突破25回","probability":0.99,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"challenge"}],"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"突破チャレンジ25回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.28,"note":"公式公表のc時短・特図2引き戻しを含む突破率約28%"},"outcomes":[{"label":"出玉なし・ST125回リセット","probability":0.067,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"600個・ST125回","probability":0.433,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1200個・ST125回","probability":0.339,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1800個・ST125回","probability":0.133,"rewardBalls":1800,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"2400個・ST125回","probability":0.026,"rewardBalls":2400,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3000個・ST125回","probability":0.002,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"rush","label":"からくりRUSH125回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.81,"note":"公式公表のc時短・特図2引き戻しを含む継続率約81%"},"outcomes":[{"label":"出玉なし・ST125回リセット","probability":0.067,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"600個・ST125回","probability":0.433,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1200個・ST125回","probability":0.339,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1800個・ST125回","probability":0.133,"rewardBalls":1800,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"2400個・ST125回","probability":0.026,"rewardBalls":2400,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3000個・ST125回","probability":0.002,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/99.9"},{"label":"初当り","value":"600個RUSH1%・200個突破99%"},{"label":"突破チャレンジ","value":"25回・突破約28%（c時短込み）"},{"label":"RUSH","value":"125回・継続約81%（c時短込み）"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"600〜3000個・リセット6.7%"},{"label":"運命の一劇","value":"発生約1/66・5回転成功約81%"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式Lightスペック・脚注","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/prw/spec/","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"65D3D0A61DEF69473A849EA3EA67D57FA178CDA0FE21ADA3CA1808EC74C957B3","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYO公式Light専用振り分け図","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/img/machineList/prw/spec/spec_graph_3_pc.jpg","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"9E23A4A29745D531C116B07B10FEA65E09E5FD830EE241927E0A293AE986ACA6","kind":"manufacturer-page"}],"limitations":["対象はPフィーバーからくりサーカス2 Light ver.（約1/99.9）。運命ver.319、魔王ver.399とは別機種です。","公表突破率28%・継続率81%にはc時短と特図2引き戻しが含まれます。約1/66の発生と5回転成功81%を重ね掛けせず、公表合算ゲートを使用します。未公表内部分母は逆算しません。","右打ちリセット6.7%は出玉0個、600個43.3%、1200個33.9%、1800個13.3%、2400個2.6%、3000個0.2%。公表近似振り分けの和100%を維持します。","特図2の5回転を独立した追加残保留として二重に足しません。発生から各当りまでの内部演出や実時間は再現しない、公表集約モデルです。","払い出し玉数、V入賞が条件。右削り等は実獲得率で調整。コンプリート上限の厳密再現はせず、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1667.1385263157902,"max":1667.1385263157902},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":204,"max":204},"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"突破チャレンジ25回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.28,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.99,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":270.10368000000005,"max":270.10368000000005}},{"id":"rush","label":"からくりRUSH125回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.81,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.5115789473684216,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1193.03484631579,"max":1193.03484631579}}]}},{"id":"fire-force","slug":"fire-force","name":"Pフィーバー炎炎ノ消防隊","shortName":"炎炎ノ消防隊 319","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":319.7,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-FIRE-FORCE-319-V1","headline":"1/319.7・バトル約51%・復活1回・炎上と超炎上を分離","answer":"319版です。初当り、BATTLE BONUS、EXTRAの各1500個を別々に数え、1回転の復活と転落あり・なしの炎上モードまで計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1500個・BATTLE BONUSへ","probability":0.51,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"battle"},{"label":"1500個・通常へ","probability":0.49,"rewardBalls":1500}],"states":[{"id":"battle","label":"初回BATTLE BONUS","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.999,"note":"公式の転落なし時短250回継続率約99.9%を使用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・シンラ復活1回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"revival"},{"label":"1500個・EXTRA BONUSへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"entry-extra"}]},{"id":"revival","label":"シンラ復活チャレンジ1回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.5,"note":"公式の時短1回継続率約50%"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・シンラ復活1回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"revival"},{"label":"1500個・EXTRA BONUSへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"entry-extra"}]},{"id":"entry-extra","label":"昇格後EXTRA BONUS","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.999,"note":"公式の転落なし時短250回継続率約99.9%を使用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・炎上モードへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"flaming"}]},{"id":"flaming","label":"炎上250回・転落あり","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.728,"note":"公式の時短250回・転落小当り終了込み継続率約72.8%"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・転落あり炎上","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"flaming"},{"label":"1500個・次回濃厚の超炎上","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"super-flaming"}]},{"id":"super-flaming","label":"超炎上250回・転落なし","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.999,"note":"公式の転落なし時短250回継続率約99.9%を使用"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・転落あり炎上","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"flaming"},{"label":"1500個・次回濃厚の超炎上","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"super-flaming"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/319.7"},{"label":"BATTLE突入","value":"約51%"},{"label":"バトル後","value":"約50%昇格・約50%復活1回"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"図柄揃い約1/2.0・転落約1/5.4"},{"label":"炎上継続","value":"転落あり約72.8%・なし約99.9%"},{"label":"各大当り","value":"1500個（払い出し）"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式319スペック・脚注","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/pbc/spec/","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"B2D6D331DDCF3148509AC780A1891FB42654595F431498EF9726B92A38284295","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"SANKYO公式319ミニパンフレット・ゲームフロー","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/pbc/pbc_mp.pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"94B8A9D472FFDCBB4374E7A535CC7768293D9BD848EBA5828C3F22FDC639353A","kind":"manufacturer-pdf"}],"limitations":["対象は初代Pフィーバー炎炎ノ消防隊の319版です。Light129や炎炎2のスペックではありません。","公表近似値による集約モデルです。51%、50%、72.8%、99.9%をそのまま使い、非公表内部確率を逆算しません。約1/2.0と約1/5.4から求める近似値との差を完全一致と扱いません。","初当り後のBATTLE、昇格後のEXTRA、炎上中の超炎上を別状態にしています。各1500個を獲得時に一度だけ計上し、4500個を別途加算しません。","公式ゲームフローの250回・復活1回で計算します。Light版の残保留4個を319版に流用して追加しません。実際の演出、内部の普電抽選、実時間は再現しません。","超炎上の次回濃厚も100%保証にせず公表99.9%を使用。V入賞が条件で、払い出しと実獲得は異なります。右削りは実獲得率で調整し、コンプリート上限は再現しません。利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":4971.0009467068685,"max":4971.0009467068685},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":1500,"max":1500},"states":[{"id":"battle","label":"初回BATTLE BONUS","group":"other","gateProbability":0.999,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.51,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":764.235,"max":764.235}},{"id":"revival","label":"シンラ復活チャレンジ1回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.5,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.33966,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":254.745,"max":254.745}},{"id":"entry-extra","label":"昇格後EXTRA BONUS","group":"other","gateProbability":0.999,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.33966,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":508.98051000000004,"max":508.98051000000004}},{"id":"flaming","label":"炎上250回・転落あり","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.728,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.2460725437965383,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1360.7112178258196,"max":1360.7112178258196}},{"id":"super-flaming","label":"超炎上250回・転落なし","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.999,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.38860808734137364,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":582.3292188810483,"max":582.3292188810483}}]}},{"id":"gundam-unicorn","slug":"gundam-unicorn","name":"Pフィーバー 機動戦士ガンダムユニコーン","shortName":"初代ユニコーン 319","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":319.7,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-UNICORN-319-V1","headline":"初代319・RUSH60%・転落後の残保留4個まで計算","answer":"初代の1/319.7です。RUSH中の当りと転落、転落後の残保留4個を分けて、あなたの回転率・交換率で期待収支を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"450個・通常へ","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":450},{"label":"450個・RUSHへ","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3000FEVER合計・RUSHへ","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"RUSH・当りと転落の競合","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.7890143737166324,"note":"公表近似1/41.1と転落1/153.7から時短10000回以内に先に当る確率を計算"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・RUSH継続","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"転落後の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":41.1,"spins":4,"note":"P-WORLDの4個とパチ7の残保留抽選・10R復帰を照合"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・通常RUSHへ復帰","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/319.7（初代）"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"60%"},{"label":"右打ち図柄揃い","value":"約1/41.1"},{"label":"転落","value":"約1/153.7"},{"label":"転落後","value":"残保留4個・引き戻し約9.38%"},{"label":"右打ち出玉","value":"1500個（払い出し）"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式 初代スペック画像","url":"https://www.fever-gundam-uc.com/assets/img/spec-model/key_info.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-06","sha256":"14B90FB521ADE01D819B36322ABDC23A666B74E85595D497C26BA44C808301C7","kind":"manufacturer-page"},{"label":"P-WORLD 初代・残保留4個と3000FEVER（補足資料）","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/9424","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"E927A516C69F23BB8DA8C90C4AA3B5DA1F4CDE26F7797D710817CEF0A46229A3","kind":"secondary-page"},{"label":"パチ7 初代・残保留の抽選とRUSH復帰（補足資料）","url":"https://pachiseven.jp/articles/detail/13587","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"DF1F5324B15E5F62AF362A707E12734C3B4A0D86C9C24D76E8EA25457FC165E6","kind":"secondary-page"}],"limitations":["2021年の初代319版です。ユニコーン2、甘デジ、LT機の仕様ではありません。遊タイムはありません。","基本スペックはメーカー公式、残保留4個・当選時10Rと復帰先はP-WORLD・パチ7の補足資料で照合しました。残保留までメーカー一次資料だけで確認済みとは扱いません。","公表近似確率による集約モデルです。初当り20%の3000FEVERは1500個×2回を合計3000個として一度だけ計上。次回濃厚区間の内部抽選・ごくまれな終了は再現せず、V入賞を完了した条件で計算します。","覚醒HYPERと通常RUSHは出玉・当選・転落条件が同じため集約しています。残保留当選後は通常RUSHへ戻り、覚醒への連続回数や消化速度、演出は再現しません。","残保留は4個を貯めた条件です。時短10000回以内の当選確率を使い、転落・時短終了後に残保留へ進みます。約81%には引き戻しを含め、別途81%を掛けません。","払い出しと実獲得は異なります。右削りは実獲得率で調整し、打ち出し速度・ヘソ残保留・閉店・コンプリート上限は再現しません。利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":4767.381943301976,"max":4767.381943301976},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":960,"max":960},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"RUSH・当りと転落の競合","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7890143737166324,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":3.138254628867985,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":3714.1920158393937,"max":3714.1920158393937}},{"id":"reserve","label":"転落後の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.09382890913993314,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6621266183083891,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":93.18992746258355,"max":93.18992746258355}}]}},{"id":"rezero-onigakari-199","slug":"rezero-onigakari-199","name":"P Re:ゼロから始める異世界生活 鬼がかり 199ver.","shortName":"リゼロ鬼がかり 199","manufacturer":"大都技研","introducedAt":"2025-11-04","normalDenominator":199.8,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-REZERO-ONI-199-V1","headline":"199版・RUSH突入55%・出玉なしリセット20%を区別","answer":"鬼がかり199版です。初当り300個、ST144回と出玉なしリセット20%を分け、自分の回転率で期待値を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.44999999999999996,"rewardBalls":300},{"label":"300個・RUSHへ","probability":0.55,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"鬼がかりST144回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":105.9,"spins":144,"note":"大当りと時短図柄の公表合算。リセットを二重に抽選しない"},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個・ST再開","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1500個・ST再開","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"出玉なし・Re:Start","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/199.8"},{"label":"RUSH中（合算）","value":"1/105.9"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"55%"},{"label":"ST","value":"144回"},{"label":"Re:Start","value":"20%・出玉なし"}],"sources":[{"label":"大都技研公式 鬼がかり199・99スペックと振り分け","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/onirezero/img/contents__campaign__img.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","kind":"manufacturer-page","sha256":"28209097E6B2CD127C7A115952588FAE96E4BA53B1809A9ADD3B62A1F672A1D9"}],"limitations":["対象は鬼がかり199ver.です。319版・season2・鬼がかり2とは異なります。","メーカー公表の近似確率・振り分けを使用した集約モデルです。実機内部の非公表抽選は逆算しません。","公表ST回数を使用し、確認できない残保留回数を他の型式から追加しません。通常時のヘソ残保留・消化速度・閉店・コンプリート上限は再現しません。遊タイム非搭載です。","セット出玉はV入賞を完了した公表払い出しの合計で、セット内の当選を重ねて加算しません。V入賞失敗や内部の次回濃厚区間のまれな終了は再現しません。","払い出しと実獲得は異なります。右削りは実獲得率で調整し、期待値は長期平均です。個別の利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3191.3530678946413,"max":3191.3530678946413},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"鬼がかりST144回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7449343095867841,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.1563072599414674,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2891.353067894641,"max":2891.353067894641}}]}},{"id":"rezero-onigakari-99","slug":"rezero-onigakari-99","name":"P Re:ゼロから始める異世界生活 鬼がかり 99ver.","shortName":"リゼロ鬼がかり 99","manufacturer":"大都技研","introducedAt":"2025-11-04","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-REZERO-ONI-99-V1","headline":"99版・RUSH突入50%・出玉なしリセット20%を区別","answer":"鬼がかり99版です。初当り300個、ST104回と出玉なしリセット20%を分け、自分の回転率で期待値を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300},{"label":"300個・RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"鬼がかりST104回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":79.9,"spins":104,"note":"大当りと時短図柄の公表合算。リセットを二重に抽選しない"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1800個・ST再開","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1800,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"900個・ST再開","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300個・ST再開","probability":0.05,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"出玉なし・Re:Start","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/99.9"},{"label":"RUSH中（合算）","value":"1/79.9"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"50%"},{"label":"ST","value":"104回"},{"label":"Re:Start","value":"20%・出玉なし"}],"sources":[{"label":"大都技研公式 鬼がかり199・99スペックと振り分け","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/onirezero/img/contents__campaign__img.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","kind":"manufacturer-page","sha256":"28209097E6B2CD127C7A115952588FAE96E4BA53B1809A9ADD3B62A1F672A1D9"}],"limitations":["対象は鬼がかり99ver.です。319版・season2・鬼がかり2とは異なります。","メーカー公表の近似確率・振り分けを使用した集約モデルです。実機内部の非公表抽選は逆算しません。","公表ST回数を使用し、確認できない残保留回数を他の型式から追加しません。通常時のヘソ残保留・消化速度・閉店・コンプリート上限は再現しません。遊タイム非搭載です。","セット出玉はV入賞を完了した公表払い出しの合計で、セット内の当選を重ねて加算しません。V入賞失敗や内部の次回濃厚区間のまれな終了は再現しません。","払い出しと実獲得は異なります。右削りは実獲得率で調整し、期待値は長期平均です。個別の利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1537.8048843923475,"max":1537.8048843923475},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"鬼がかりST104回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7301370365814861,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.8527922233796148,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1237.8048843923475,"max":1237.8048843923475}}]}},{"id":"rezero-season2-249","slug":"rezero-season2-249","name":"P Re:ゼロから始める異世界生活 season2 249ver.","shortName":"リゼロseason2 249","manufacturer":"大都技研","introducedAt":"2026-03-02","normalDenominator":249.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-REZERO-S2-249-V1","headline":"249版・2400BONUS後は1200個×約25%上乗せ","answer":"season2の249版です。ST163回と2400BONUS、1200個の約25%上乗せループを分けて計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"600個・通常へ","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":600},{"label":"600個・RUSHへ","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"強欲RUSH・ST163回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":163},"outcomes":[{"label":"240個・RUSH再開","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1200個・RUSH再開","probability":0.55,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"2400個・強欲フリーズ抽選へ","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":2400,"nextState":"freeze"}]},{"id":"freeze","label":"強欲フリーズ・1200個上乗せ","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.25,"note":"公式のフリーズ発生の度に1200個・約25%"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1200個・再度フリーズ抽選","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"freeze"}],"missNextState":"rush"}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/249.9"},{"label":"RUSH中","value":"1/99.9"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"60%"},{"label":"ST","value":"163回"},{"label":"上乗せ","value":"2400当り後・1200個×約25%"}],"sources":[{"label":"大都技研公式 season2 249・129スペックと上乗せ脚注","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/rezero2/img/newspec/fe_image.jpg","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","kind":"manufacturer-page","sha256":"6802C335EBF27E06494A575EF6999A702F4F60397AA29D68AEDEA5ACD691656F"}],"limitations":["対象はseason2 249ver.です。349版や鬼がかり2とは異なります。","2400個の内訳は1200個＋600個×2回。上乗せ1200個（600個×2回）を25%ループで別計上する集約モデルです。","メーカー公表の近似確率・振り分けを使用した集約モデルです。実機内部の非公表抽選は逆算しません。","公表ST回数を使用し、確認できない残保留回数を他の型式から追加しません。通常時のヘソ残保留・消化速度・閉店・コンプリート上限は再現しません。遊タイム非搭載です。","セット出玉はV入賞を完了した公表払い出しの合計で、セット内の当選を重ねて加算しません。V入賞失敗や内部の次回濃厚区間のまれな終了は再現しません。","払い出しと実獲得は異なります。右削りは実獲得率で調整し、期待値は長期平均です。個別の利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":4109.646466242593,"max":4109.646466242593},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":600,"max":600},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"強欲RUSH・ST163回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.8059914143969326,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":3.092646637956387,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":3260.381802446954,"max":3260.381802446954}},{"id":"freeze","label":"強欲フリーズ・1200個上乗せ","group":"loop","gateProbability":0.25,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.8308822126521289,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":249.26466379563868,"max":249.26466379563868}}]}},{"id":"rezero-season2-129","slug":"rezero-season2-129","name":"P Re:ゼロから始める異世界生活 season2 129ver.","shortName":"リゼロseason2 129","manufacturer":"大都技研","introducedAt":"2026-03-02","normalDenominator":129.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-REZERO-S2-129-V1","headline":"129版・1500BONUSの50%で300個×約95%ループ","answer":"season2の129版です。ST120回とPREMIUM昇格、300個の約95%ループと終了時の300個を分けて計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300},{"label":"300個・RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"強欲RUSH・ST120回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":120},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・RUSH再開","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"750個・RUSH再開","probability":0.55,"rewardBalls":750,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1500個・通常ボーナス","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1500個・PREMIUM昇格","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"premium"}]},{"id":"premium","label":"PREMIUM・300個95%ループ","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.95,"note":"公式脚注の300個×約95%ループ"},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・ループ継続","probability":1,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"premium"}],"missNextState":"premium-end"},{"id":"premium-end","label":"ループ終了時の300個","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"公式脚注のループ終了時約300個を計上"},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・RUSHへ戻る","probability":1,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/129.9"},{"label":"RUSH中","value":"1/99.9"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"50%"},{"label":"ST","value":"120回"},{"label":"上乗せ","value":"1500当りの50%でPREMIUM"}],"sources":[{"label":"大都技研公式 season2 249・129スペックと上乗せ脚注","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/rezero2/img/newspec/fe_image.jpg","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","kind":"manufacturer-page","sha256":"6802C335EBF27E06494A575EF6999A702F4F60397AA29D68AEDEA5ACD691656F"},{"label":"一撃：PREMIUM終了後のRUSH復帰（二次資料）","url":"https://1geki.jp/pachinko/p_re0season2_129/54/","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","kind":"secondary-page","sha256":"B25E400B1EAD711EA38915701C76C67A3AFC8016D33F9D5AF8B358D7C79237A6"}],"limitations":["対象はseason2 129ver.です。349版や鬼がかり2とは異なります。","1500BONUSの25%という振り分けに、PREMIUM昇格50%を掛けた12.5%を入口にします。初回1500個＋300個×95%ループ＋終了時300個を分けた公表値モデルです。RUSHへの復帰は二次資料にも照合しています。","メーカー公表の近似確率・振り分けを使用した集約モデルです。実機内部の非公表抽選は逆算しません。","公表ST回数を使用し、確認できない残保留回数を他の型式から追加しません。通常時のヘソ残保留・消化速度・閉店・コンプリート上限は再現しません。遊タイム非搭載です。","セット出玉はV入賞を完了した公表払い出しの合計で、セット内の当選を重ねて加算しません。V入賞失敗や内部の次回濃厚区間のまれな終了は再現しません。","払い出しと実獲得は異なります。右削りは実獲得率で調整し、期待値は長期平均です。個別の利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2172.49957836821,"max":2172.49957836821},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"強欲RUSH・ST120回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7009826388113336,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.6721437110286137,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":993.3917950967502,"max":993.3917950967502}},{"id":"premium","label":"PREMIUM・300個95%ループ","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.95,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.9303592775715313,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":835.1523941078864,"max":835.1523941078864}},{"id":"premium-end","label":"ループ終了時の300個","group":"other","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.1465179638785767,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":43.95538916357302,"max":43.95538916357302}}]}},{"id":"bancho-otoko-99-e","slug":"bancho-otoko-99-e","name":"e ぱちんこ押忍!番長 漢の頂 99ver.","shortName":"番長 漢の頂99 e機","manufacturer":"大都技研","introducedAt":"2026-08-03","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-BANCHO99-E-V1","headline":"99版・初当り300個・RUSH突入33%・ST144回","answer":"スマパチのe機の99版です。初当り300個、RUSH突入33%、右打ち2100個と300個を分け、自分の回転率で期待値を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.67,"rewardBalls":300},{"label":"300個・頂RUSHへ","probability":0.33,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"頂RUSH・ST144回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":144},"outcomes":[{"label":"2100個・RUSH再開","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":2100,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300個・RUSH再開","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/99.9"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"1/99.9"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"33%"},{"label":"ST","value":"144回"},{"label":"右の出玉","value":"2100個50%・300個50%"}],"sources":[{"label":"大都技研公式：番長99 e/P共通スペック・振り分け","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/bancho-oi/img/newspec/newspec_pc.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"8061C9E0CD3E84AA8F7128DAFBCDC0B1C422789965244C86A4F358445E37B64F"},{"label":"必勝本：e/P型式・LT/遊タイム非搭載","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/138883/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"76057D1280819033478DC658BAB311EF7782270807B75550076140CBF2555640"}],"limitations":["対象は99版です。親機のLT仕様を流用しません。e機とP機はメーカー公表の計算用スペックが共通です。2100個は1500個＋300個×2の合計として扱います。","メーカーの公表確率と出玉を用いた集約モデルです。セット出玉はV入賞を完了した合計で、内部の当選を重ねて加算しません。V入賞失敗や非公表の特殊終了は再現しません。","公表ST回数で計算します。確認できない残保留を加算せず、通常時のヘソ残保留、消化時間、閉店、コンプリート上限は含めません。遊タイム非搭載です。","出玉は払い出しで、実獲得とは異なります。右削りは実獲得率で調整してください。期待値は長期平均であり、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1590.0074932983885,"max":1590.0074932983885},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"頂RUSH・ST144回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7651255990415007,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.4050062444153237,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1290.0074932983885,"max":1290.0074932983885}}]}},{"id":"bancho-otoko-99-p","slug":"bancho-otoko-99-p","name":"P ぱちんこ押忍!番長 漢の頂 99ver.","shortName":"番長 漢の頂99 P機","manufacturer":"大都技研","introducedAt":"2026-08-03","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-BANCHO99-P-V1","headline":"99版・初当り300個・RUSH突入33%・ST144回","answer":"P機の99版です。初当り300個、RUSH突入33%、右打ち2100個と300個を分け、自分の回転率で期待値を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.67,"rewardBalls":300},{"label":"300個・頂RUSHへ","probability":0.33,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"頂RUSH・ST144回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":144},"outcomes":[{"label":"2100個・RUSH再開","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":2100,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300個・RUSH再開","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/99.9"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"1/99.9"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"33%"},{"label":"ST","value":"144回"},{"label":"右の出玉","value":"2100個50%・300個50%"}],"sources":[{"label":"大都技研公式：番長99 e/P共通スペック・振り分け","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/bancho-oi/img/newspec/newspec_pc.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"8061C9E0CD3E84AA8F7128DAFBCDC0B1C422789965244C86A4F358445E37B64F"},{"label":"必勝本：e/P型式・LT/遊タイム非搭載","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/138883/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"76057D1280819033478DC658BAB311EF7782270807B75550076140CBF2555640"}],"limitations":["対象は99版です。親機のLT仕様を流用しません。e機とP機はメーカー公表の計算用スペックが共通です。2100個は1500個＋300個×2の合計として扱います。","メーカーの公表確率と出玉を用いた集約モデルです。セット出玉はV入賞を完了した合計で、内部の当選を重ねて加算しません。V入賞失敗や非公表の特殊終了は再現しません。","公表ST回数で計算します。確認できない残保留を加算せず、通常時のヘソ残保留、消化時間、閉店、コンプリート上限は含めません。遊タイム非搭載です。","出玉は払い出しで、実獲得とは異なります。右削りは実獲得率で調整してください。期待値は長期平均であり、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1590.0074932983885,"max":1590.0074932983885},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"頂RUSH・ST144回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7651255990415007,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.4050062444153237,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1290.0074932983885,"max":1290.0074932983885}}]}},{"id":"saekano-99","slug":"saekano-99","name":"P冴えない彼女の育てかた 99ver.","shortName":"冴えカノ99","manufacturer":"大都技研","introducedAt":"2026-02-02","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-SAEKANO99-V1","headline":"99版・ST32回から2400個当りでLT66回へ","answer":"甘デジ99版です。通常RUSHのST32回と、2400個当りで移るLTのST66回を分けて、自分の回転率で期待値を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300},{"label":"300個・RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"冴えてる彼女RUSH・32回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":29.6,"spins":32},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・ST再開","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"600個・ST再開","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1200個・ST再開","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"2400個・LTへ","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":2400,"nextState":"lt"}]},{"id":"lt","label":"冴えてる彼女RUSH♭・66回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":29.6,"spins":66},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・ST再開","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"600個・ST再開","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1200個・ST再開","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"2400個・LTへ","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":2400,"nextState":"lt"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/99.9"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"1/29.6"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"50%"},{"label":"ST","value":"通常32回・LT66回"},{"label":"LT昇格","value":"右の2400個当り12.5%"}],"sources":[{"label":"大都技研公式：冴えカノ99スペック・振り分け","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/saenai/img/newspec/newspec_pc.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"2DCCF35D69FAB1B0AFB62A89E3CE995711EB84E306066C3615E2348FF625F56B"},{"label":"パチーモ：LT中の各出玉とLT継続（二次資料）","url":"https://altema.jp/pachimo/esaekano99","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"89D7A5CA505DF397AFDAC1E71B338411A667EE3FF968D00CF9C2835611993938"},{"label":"必勝本：遊タイム非搭載・導入日","url":"https://p.hisshobon.jp/machine/4682/1/113395","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"6F4C06B49D8DD59A7DEFD929D7F2CC1A9415E20DCD74A0F7A4C1F7D2738194D6"}],"limitations":["対象はP機の99版です。179版とは異なります。2400個は1500個＋300個×3の合計。LT中は300個当りでもLTへ戻り、通常STへ降格させません。","メーカーの公表確率と出玉を用いた集約モデルです。セット出玉はV入賞を完了した合計で、内部の当選を重ねて加算しません。V入賞失敗や非公表の特殊終了は再現しません。","公表ST回数で計算します。確認できない残保留を加算せず、通常時のヘソ残保留、消化時間、閉店、コンプリート上限は含めません。遊タイム非搭載です。","出玉は払い出しで、実獲得とは異なります。右削りは実獲得率で調整してください。期待値は長期平均であり、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1551.4246711868916,"max":1551.4246711868916},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"冴えてる彼女RUSH・32回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6670505466066105,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.200968157927113,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":600.8298496518111,"max":600.8298496518111}},{"id":"lt","label":"冴えてる彼女RUSH♭・66回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8965083629797136,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.9675980703220759,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":650.5948215350805,"max":650.5948215350805}}]}},{"id":"yoshimune-3000","slug":"yoshimune-3000","name":"e吉宗 極乗3000ver.","shortName":"吉宗 極乗3000","manufacturer":"大都技研","introducedAt":"2026-01-05","normalDenominator":199.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-YOSHIMUNE3000-V1","headline":"初当り750個・RUSH突入30%・3000個上乗せ約25%ループ","answer":"吉宗 極乗3000の期待値は、RUSH突入30%と3000個の上乗せを分けて計算します。回転率と交換率を入力すると、1パチ・4円それぞれのボーダーと収支目安が分かります。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"750個・通常へ","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":750},{"label":"750個・振舞RUSHへ","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":750,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"振舞RUSH・ST157回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.5,"spins":157},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・ST再開","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3000個・1G連チャレンジへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"bonus"}]},{"id":"bonus","label":"1G連チャレンジ・上乗せ約25%","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.25,"note":"公表の約25%を0.25とした近似。成功ごとに3000個上乗せし、再挑戦。"},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個上乗せ・再挑戦","probability":1,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"bonus"}],"missNextState":"rush"}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/199.9"},{"label":"RUSH中","value":"1/99.5・ST157回"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"30%"},{"label":"初当り","value":"750個"},{"label":"RUSH中出玉","value":"300個50%・3000個＋上乗せ50%"},{"label":"上乗せ","value":"約25%で3000個ループ"}],"sources":[{"label":"大都技研公式：基本スペックと振り分け","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/yoshimune-gj/img/info/info1_basic.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"61E1BED6EB92726DDFA6F17C58FB2D2D1C96FE73BC845BC495E57857D964CBCE"},{"label":"大都技研公式：3000個上乗せと約25%","url":"https://www.daitogiken.com/contents/product/pachinko/yoshimune-gj/img/info/info7_bonus2.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"958F61BF15849DEB553CCC387C03C8AFF1314F2E15440103E733B69BB4677FA8"},{"label":"必勝本：導入日・遊タイム非搭載・ゲーム性","url":"https://p.hisshobon.jp/machine/4660/1/112670","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"A6B05961C0F7F9FD3C8289633315EB4BB102D97528298C7CFCC01DBEAD9C2AC7"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表値による集約モデルです。上乗せの『約25%』を25%ちょうどとして計算するため、内部確率の厳密値とは異なる場合があります。","3000個は750個×4の払い出し合計。セット内部の当選は重ねて加算せず、上乗せ失敗後はSTへ戻します。出玉獲得にはV入賞が必要です。","STは公表157回。未確認の残保留は加算しません。通常時ヘソ残保留、V入賞失敗、消化時間、閉店、コンプリート上限は含みません。遊タイム非搭載です。","払い出しと実獲得は異なります。右削りは実獲得率で調整してください。期待値は長期平均であり、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3254.888664767806,"max":3254.888664767806},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":750,"max":750},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"振舞RUSH・ST157回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7952308577714298,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.46506449524084,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1922.356417147386,"max":1922.356417147386}},{"id":"bonus","label":"1G連チャレンジ・上乗せ約25%","group":"loop","gateProbability":0.25,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.7767096634938934,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":582.53224762042,"max":582.53224762042}}]}},{"id":"gen2-kyokugen-light","slug":"gen2-kyokugen-light","name":"P大工の源さん超韋駄天2 極源LighT","shortName":"源さん2 極源LighT","manufacturer":"三洋","introducedAt":"2024-04-08","normalDenominator":129.7,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-GEN2-LIGHT-V1","headline":"129版・突入56%・LT初回127回・残保留は下位振り分け","answer":"極源LighTは、超源RUSHと極源RUSHで当たるまでの回数が違います。LT終了後の残保留は下位RUSHの振り分けに戻すモデルで、1パチ・4円のボーダーと収支目安を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"240個・通常へ","probability":0.44,"rewardBalls":240},{"label":"240個・超源RUSHへ","probability":0.56,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"超源RUSH・3回＋残保留1個","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":2.44,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"240個・超源RUSH","probability":0.8,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"720個・超源RUSH","probability":0.18,"rewardBalls":720,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"720個・LT初回127回へ","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":720,"nextState":"lt-first"}]},{"id":"lt-first","label":"極源RUSH・初回127回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":2.44,"spins":127},"outcomes":[{"label":"240個・極源RUSH","probability":0.8,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"720個・極源RUSH","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":720,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"lt","label":"極源RUSH・6回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":2.44,"spins":6},"outcomes":[{"label":"240個・極源RUSH","probability":0.8,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"720個・極源RUSH","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":720,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"LT終了後・残保留1個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":2.44,"spins":1},"outcomes":[{"label":"240個・超源RUSH","probability":0.8,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"720個・超源RUSH","probability":0.18,"rewardBalls":720,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"720個・LT初回127回へ","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":720,"nextState":"lt-first"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/129.7"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"約1/2.44"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"56%"},{"label":"超源RUSH","value":"3回＋残保留1個"},{"label":"極源RUSH","value":"初回127回・以後6回"},{"label":"LT後残保留","value":"下位振り分けで抽選"}],"sources":[{"label":"三洋公式：極源LighTガイドブック・振り分け","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/products/pk_daikunogensan_idaten2_light/pk_daikunogensan_idaten2_light_guidebook_PC.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"5B34B8A5E9667D5C73612E91B425DBF16A36C56EC1CB856E6D9E4D88D06E9D48"},{"label":"必勝本：確率・LT後の残保留・遊タイム非搭載","url":"https://p.hisshobon.jp/machine/4266/1/100857","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"FB2A8C35EF97058239F46EB2E8F59BEC6240928F02FC1A166285BACA7463254A"},{"label":"パチンコビスタ：残保留は超源RUSHと同じ振り分け","url":"https://www.pachinkovista.com/pfactory/model.php?dsp=0&nid=23245","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"5B06D166AA839F73EBD50BC97630B12F02581D62FB191C593650078C7D794E99"}],"limitations":["公表の約1/2.44を使用した集約モデルです。大当り・小当りの内部抽選や端数の違いまでは再現しません。","LTの約96%は時短6回の継続目安。残保留まで含めた当選確率と区別し、残保留では下位振り分けに戻します。2%のLT再昇格も別に計算します。","V入賞を完了した払い出しで、実獲得とは異なります。右削りは実獲得率で調整してください。ヘソ残保留・V入賞失敗・消化時間・閉店・コンプリート上限は含みません。遊タイム非搭載です。","期待値は長期平均で、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2104.0013478692063,"max":2104.0013478692063},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":240,"max":240},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"超源RUSH・3回＋残保留1個","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.878691659105431,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":4.2499744563265125,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1254.7641476782426,"max":1254.7641476782426}},{"id":"lt-first","label":"極源RUSH・初回127回","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.07530560114952065,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":25.302681986238937,"max":25.302681986238937}},{"id":"lt","label":"極源RUSH・6回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.9577490970708515,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.7823430016585067,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":573.5645665710193,"max":573.5645665710193}},{"id":"reserve","label":"LT終了後・残保留1個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.4098360655737705,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.07530560114952065,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":10.369951633704481,"max":10.369951633704481}}]}},{"id":"gen2-fullswing-lt","slug":"gen2-fullswing-lt","name":"e大工の源さん超韋駄天2 フルスイングLT","shortName":"源さん2 フルスイングLT","manufacturer":"三洋","introducedAt":"2024-12-02","normalDenominator":199.8,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-GEN2-FULL-V1","headline":"チャージ込み約1/199.8・10R約1/487.3・LTは6回＋残保留1個","answer":"フルスイングLTの約1/199.8には450個のチャージも含まれます。10R当たりとチャージを分け、LT終了後の残保留による復帰も含めて、1パチ・4円のボーダーと収支目安を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"450個チャージ・通常へ","probability":0.589985635132362,"rewardBalls":450},{"label":"1500個・通常へ","probability":0.19598686640673096,"rewardBalls":1500},{"label":"1500個・極源RUSHへ","probability":0.21197742663656888,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"10Rチャージ1500個・極源RUSHへ","probability":0.0020500718243381903,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}],"states":[{"id":"lt","label":"極源RUSH・6回＋残保留1個","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":2.7,"spins":7},"outcomes":[{"label":"300個・極源RUSH継続","probability":0.8,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"900個・極源RUSH継続","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"lt"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時・チャージ込み","value":"約1/199.8"},{"label":"10R当たり・昇格込み","value":"約1/487.3"},{"label":"10RからのLT突入","value":"約52.2%"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"約1/2.7"},{"label":"極源RUSH","value":"6回＋残保留1個"},{"label":"右打ち払い出し","value":"300個80%・900個20%"}],"sources":[{"label":"三洋公式：フルスイングLTガイドブック","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/products/pk_daikunogensan_idaten2_fullswingLT/pk_daikunogensan_idaten2_fullswingLT_PC.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"AF3DC35EBD104BDEAA2E41677A15231873ED2E8F211A17C93209A14B117174DE"},{"label":"必勝本：図柄揃い・チャージ昇格の振り分け","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/94465/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"1C97FBA2115A37EB551BF4F5D1F08B810FFE19D7E590911B416590C397E4F689"},{"label":"必勝本：残保留もLT復帰","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/94466/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"2C7DAD2BDF5BFC6C28DAAA16730BC5A279086DADF772B512428A826F148774A4"},{"label":"必勝本：基本確率・遊タイム非搭載","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/94464/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"5F47C6C5D5838E695037CA6F3521026E051084CFFD7C00C66E6FBD867706AC9C"}],"limitations":["公表分母1/199.8と、10Rチャージ昇格を含む約1/487.3から10R割合を計算する集約モデルです。内部抽選の端数は再現せず、450個チャージは残りの割合で正規化します。チャージ昇格を重複加算しません。","約52.2%は10R当たり（チャージ昇格を含む）からのLT突入率で、すべての1/199.8当たりに対する割合ではありません。図柄のみ51.96%・チャージのみ0.35%とは分母が異なります。","LTは約1/2.7を6回＋残保留1個で抽選するモデルです。残保留もLTへ戻り、極源LighTの下位RUSH復帰とは異なります。","出玉はV入賞完了時の払い出しで、実獲得ではありません。右削りは実獲得率で調整してください。ヘソ残保留・V入賞失敗・消化時間・閉店・コンプリート上限は除外。遊タイム非搭載です。","期待値は長期平均で、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3082.138855305901,"max":3082.138855305901},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":880.51508311102,"max":880.51508311102},"states":[{"id":"lt","label":"極源RUSH・6回＋残保留1個","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.9607720059699021,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":5.455988860829672,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2201.623772194881,"max":2201.623772194881}}]}},{"id":"symphogear4-lt-light","slug":"symphogear4-lt-light","name":"Pフィーバー戦姫絶唱シンフォギア4 LT-Light ver.","shortName":"シンフォギア4 LT-Light","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":99.9,"headline":"甘デジLT版・最終決戦1回、RUSH45回／上位70回","answer":"1/99.9のLT-Light版です。最終決戦と2段階のRUSHを分け、1パチ・4円の回転率、交換率、持ち玉比率からボーダーと収支目安を計算します。199版・LTなしのLight版とは別スペックです。","modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-SYMPHOGEAR4-LT-LIGHT-V1","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1500玉→上位直行","probability":0.002,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"300玉→最終決戦","probability":0.998,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"challenge"}],"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"最終決戦","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":2.2,"spins":1},"outcomes":[{"label":"500玉→下位","probability":1,"rewardBalls":500,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"rush","label":"絶唱RUSH","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":38,"spins":45},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉→上位","probability":0.09,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"500玉→下位","probability":0.91,"rewardBalls":500,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"upper","label":"超絶唱RUSH","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":38,"spins":70},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000玉→上位","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500玉→上位","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1000玉→上位","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"500玉→V-STOCK","probability":0.05,"rewardBalls":500,"nextState":"stock"},{"label":"500玉→上位","probability":0.45,"rewardBalls":500,"nextState":"upper"}]},{"id":"stock","label":"V-STOCK時短255回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":38,"spins":255,"note":"時短255回はパチンコビスタ補完。右普図の公表分母を適用する近似"},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000玉→上位","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500玉→上位","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1000玉→上位","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"500玉→V-STOCK","probability":0.05,"rewardBalls":500,"nextState":"stock"},{"label":"500玉→上位","probability":0.45,"rewardBalls":500,"nextState":"upper"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/99.9"},{"label":"最終決戦","value":"約1/2.2を1回"},{"label":"RUSH中の普図","value":"約1/38"},{"label":"絶唱RUSH","value":"45回・当選時9%で上位へ"},{"label":"超絶唱RUSH","value":"70回・V-STOCK時255回"},{"label":"上位の払い出し","value":"500〜3000玉（複数当りの合計を含む）"}],"sources":[{"label":"メーカー公式スペック画像","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","url":"https://fever-symphogear.com/img/symphogear-4-spec-lt-light/contents01_pc.jpg","sha256":"94934ADBF961D30F0BC333B74BD9B03078A8C36EF34EDD22CD570AAC6D564954"},{"label":"メーカー公式右打ち解説","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","url":"https://fever-symphogear.com/img/symphogear-4-spec-lt-light/contents02_pc.jpg","sha256":"EF0274DA5770046A8AD802090F30D35FA2DCB857ADB8F86C252CEF08BC4E3DC7"},{"label":"パチンコビスタ（V-STOCK255回補完）","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","url":"https://www.pachinkovista.com/sp/model/model_top_pachi.php?code=23542&ctg=0","sha256":"BD6E2523E45FC3836991880D1A4712570D9F4E9EFEDD3AF6CDE1D149FBCF577C"},{"label":"パチガブ（電サポは普図抽選回数・注記2）","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","url":"https://p-gabu.jp/guideworks/machinecontents/detail/6888","sha256":"A7E7AA4133756A69B28B8605C73FFFF65946F7F986F40323421875CD66B5F53A"}],"limitations":["公表確率・振り分けの丸めを含む近似です。最終決戦は約1/2.2を1回で計算し、演出の3パネルを独立した3抽選にはしません。","V-STOCK255回はビスタ、電サポの普図抽選という区分はパチガブで補足。上位RUSHの公表分母1/38と右打ち振り分けを適用する集約モデルです。255回の外れも残し、必ず当たるとは扱いません。","3000・1500・1000玉は500玉を複数回払い出した合計です。その途中のV成功を仮定し、合計出玉へ500玉を重複加算しません。","右打ちの公表回数に残保留4個などを追加しません。特図2約1/1の端数、ヘソ割込み、V失敗、閉店、消化時間、コンプリート上限は再現しません。実獲得率で出玉の削りを調整します。","通常時のハマりで次回の当たりやすさは変わらないモデルです。実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1597.7919214216236,"max":1597.7919214216236},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":302.4,"max":302.4},"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"最終決戦","group":"other","gateProbability":0.4545454545454546,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.998,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":226.8181818181818,"max":226.8181818181818}},{"id":"rush","label":"絶唱RUSH","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6988272078660884,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.2460235713254149,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":513.7455522379562,"max":513.7455522379562}},{"id":"upper","label":"超絶唱RUSH","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.845378841994142,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5196069472599633,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":527.1176632400868,"max":527.1176632400868}},{"id":"stock","label":"V-STOCK時短255回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.9988866736197339,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.023117841140228572,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":27.710524125398827,"max":27.710524125398827}}]}},{"id":"symphogear4-199","slug":"symphogear4-199","name":"Pフィーバー戦姫絶唱シンフォギア4 199 ver.","shortName":"シンフォギア4 199","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":199.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-SYMPHOGEAR4-199-V1","headline":"199版・下位RUSHの初回と2回目、上位LTを分けて計算","answer":"1/199.9の199版です。下位RUSHは大当り2回で上位LTへ。初回だけのLT振り分けも含め、1パチ・4円の回転率と交換率からボーダーと収支目安を計算します。甘デジLT-Light・キャロル版とは別モデルです。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"900玉・通常へ","probability":0.48,"rewardBalls":900},{"label":"900玉・下位初回","probability":0.51,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"first"},{"label":"1500玉・上位実質次回","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"stock"}],"states":[{"id":"first","label":"絶唱RUSH・1回目","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":1.8,"spins":1},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・下位2回目へ","probability":0.8,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"second"},{"label":"1500玉・上位ST1回","probability":0.17,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500玉・上位実質次回","probability":0.03,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"stock"}]},{"id":"second","label":"絶唱RUSH・2回目","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":1.8,"spins":1},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・上位ST1回","probability":0.85,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500玉・上位実質次回","probability":0.15,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"stock"}]},{"id":"upper","label":"超絶唱RUSH・ST1回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":1.2,"spins":1,"note":"メーカー公表の大当り・小当り・c時短込みの集約分母"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・上位ST1回","probability":0.85,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500玉・上位実質次回","probability":0.15,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"stock"}]},{"id":"stock","label":"上位実質次回・10000回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":1.8,"spins":10000,"note":"実回数は二次資料補完。c時短中の再延長は省略し、大当り・小当りの公表合算で計算"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・上位ST1回","probability":0.85,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500玉・上位実質次回","probability":0.15,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"stock"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/199.9"},{"label":"初当りからのRUSH","value":"約52%（上位直行1%込み）"},{"label":"下位RUSH","value":"約1/1.8を1回・2当りで上位へ"},{"label":"上位LT","value":"約1/1.2を1回（c時短込み）"},{"label":"実質次回","value":"特図10000回・残保留なし"},{"label":"払い出し","value":"初回900／1500玉・右1500玉"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式199版スペック・振り分け","url":"https://fever-symphogear.com/img/symphogear-4-spec-p/contents01_pc.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"E3DECF0440FC23D65B2B06AF2A571C4A21F0D48E6188FED2AAA43004E39380A2"},{"label":"SANKYO公式199版RUSHの進み方","url":"https://fever-symphogear.com/img/symphogear-4-spec-p/contents02_pc.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"1D44AE99C341C4A7341D757BBCB162FF95B458003E07FA67F00A81E64B89BD69"},{"label":"ななプレス・199版大当り内訳","url":"https://nana-press.com/kaiseki/machine/872/25406/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"E189F6D349533726738DE8552D7B325A72C68BEB341A3D5206AAF170C4A03A73"},{"label":"パチンコスペック解析・特図10000回と残保留条件","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/149540","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"333BD7B51368214F5B07E88F0D3B5BC107BD80A6DDD4658566AC0E5FC88BCA86"}],"limitations":["公式の公表分母・振り分けを用いる近似です。ビスタには通常時0.5%／51.2%／48.3%の別表記がありますが、本ページはメーカー画像の1%／51%／48%に揃え、混ぜません。","上位約1/1.2は大当り・小当り・c時短から次の大当りまでを集約した値です。c時短自体の出玉を加算せず、当選先の1500玉を1回だけ計上します。内部抽選の端数やc時短の再延長回数は再現しません。","実質次回の特図10000回と残保留なしは二次資料で補完。公表1/1.8を10000回で計算した外れ確率は浮動小数点の精度より小さく、表示・抽選結果は事実上100%となります。実機の大当りを保証する表現ではありません。","3000玉表記は1500玉を2回得た合計です。現在の1500玉と次回の状態を分け、3000玉を重ねて加算しません。下位2回目も1/1.8で、当選後に上位へ進みます。","V入賞完了時の払い出しを使います。実獲得率で削りを調整してください。ヘソ割込み、V失敗、消化時間、閉店、コンプリート上限は除外。遊タイム非搭載です。","通常時のハマりで当り確率が変化しないモデルです。実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3285.2156862745105,"max":3285.2156862745105},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":906,"max":906},"states":[{"id":"first","label":"絶唱RUSH・1回目","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5555555555555556,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.51,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":425.00000000000006,"max":425.00000000000006}},{"id":"second","label":"絶唱RUSH・2回目","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5555555555555556,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.22666666666666668,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":188.8888888888889,"max":188.8888888888889}},{"id":"upper","label":"超絶唱RUSH・ST1回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8333333333333334,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.155555555555556,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1444.4444444444448,"max":1444.4444444444448}},{"id":"stock","label":"上位実質次回・10000回","group":"other","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.21392156862745104,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":320.8823529411766,"max":320.8823529411766}}]}},{"id":"seiryu4-79","slug":"seiryu4-79","name":"PA清流物語4 ウキウキ79ver.","shortName":"清流物語4 ウキウキ79","manufacturer":"サンスリー","normalDenominator":79.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-SEIRYU4-79-V1","headline":"甘デジ79版・210玉とc時短経由の700／1400玉を分けて計算","answer":"約1/79.9の甘デジ版です。初当りの60%で32回のRUSHへ。1400玉を700玉2回に分けて重複を防ぎ、1パチ・4円の回転率と交換率からボーダーと収支目安を計算します。319版のヌシ4000とは別モデルです。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"210玉・RUSH32回","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"210玉・通常へ","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":210}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"ウキウキRUSH・32回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":27.3,"spins":32,"note":"大当りとc時短の公表合算。確変ではなく32回の有限抽選として計算"},"outcomes":[{"label":"直接大当り210玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.34,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"c時短経由・出玉は次の状態で計上","probability":0.66,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"c-award"}]},{"id":"c-award","label":"c時短経由・700玉","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"V入賞完了を条件に、公表された700／1400玉を集約"},"outcomes":[{"label":"700玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":700,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"700玉・残保留の700玉へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":700,"nextState":"reserve"}]},{"id":"reserve","label":"1400玉内訳・残保留700玉","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"サポ1+1の残保留1個。1400玉の後半であり、RUSH終了時の追加抽選ではない"},"outcomes":[{"label":"700玉・RUSHへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":700,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/79.9"},{"label":"初当りからのRUSH","value":"60%・初回210玉"},{"label":"RUSH","value":"約1/27.3を32回・継続約70%"},{"label":"右打ちの内訳","value":"大当り約1/79.9＋c時短約1/41.5"},{"label":"払い出し","value":"210玉34%／700玉33%／1400玉33%"},{"label":"1400玉","value":"700玉×2・残保留分込み"}],"sources":[{"label":"サンスリー公式ガイド・3、4、8ページ","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/products/pk_seiryu4_79ver/pk_seiryu4_79ver_guidebook_PC.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"B07550F267A7873657236F8792B24665D88DA270933C60107EE92DF62C77AEDA"},{"label":"三洋販売・サンスリー公式発表・確率と振り分け","url":"https://www.sanyobussan.co.jp/information/pdf/sanyo_press_release_20251023.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"AB8A31C4BFBAE455689BF6D5D8A1165BE372FFB59AC792BEB14929EF3B27007C"},{"label":"パチンコスペック解析・c時短とサポ1+1の補完","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/164103","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"E51D8F724B93C946129F961F1586AD7A4470A844E65CF4D9B0F98DDC9F8E51DD"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表の約1/79.9・約1/27.3・34%／33%／33%を使った近似です。内部乱数の端数は使わず、右打ちの直接当り34%とc時短経由66%にまとめています。","c時短そのものには出玉を付けず、V入賞完了時の700玉を計上します。二次資料のサポ1とサポ1+1を各50%とし、後者の残保留700玉を合わせて公式の1400玉を再現します。","1400玉は700玉2回の合計です。RUSH32回終了時に追加の残保留抽選を設けず、サポ1+1の残保留を別に重ねて加算しません。内部の即連消化時間・小当り端数・V失敗は再現していません。","出玉は払い出しです。7個賞球・10カウントの打込みだけを差し引く目安は実獲得率約85.7%。削り・こぼし・オーバー入賞は自分の実獲得率で調整してください。","前半12回と後半20回は演出の区分であり、抽選は32回として計算します。ヘソ割込み、閉店、95000玉のコンプリート上限は除外。ハマりによる確率変化や遊タイムは設定していません。","実戦値ではなく、条件付きの理論・シミュレーションです。将来の出玉や利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1265.2442906629701,"max":1265.2442906629701},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":210,"max":210},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"ウキウキRUSH・32回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6970442174288304,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.9804870364507714,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":98.56677440258508,"max":98.56677440258508}},{"id":"c-award","label":"c時短経由・700玉","group":"other","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.9111214440575093,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":637.7850108402565,"max":637.7850108402565}},{"id":"reserve","label":"1400玉内訳・残保留700玉","group":"reserve","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.4555607220287547,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":318.89250542012826,"max":318.89250542012826}}]}},{"id":"bastard-ef","slug":"bastard-ef","name":"eF BASTARD!! ‐暗黒の破壊神‐","shortName":"eF BASTARD!!","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":349.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-BASTARD-EF-V1","headline":"チャージ・下位LT・上位LT・残保留を分けて期待値を計算","answer":"図柄揃いの目安は約1/399.9。チャージを含む大当りは約1/349.9です。右打ち10回と残保留4個で異なる出玉振り分けを反映し、1パチ・4円の回転率と交換率から収支の目安を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"図柄揃い・3000玉で下位RUSH","probability":0.43718132854578096,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"図柄揃い・1500玉で終了","probability":0.43718132854578096,"rewardBalls":1500},{"label":"チャージ300玉・RUSH昇格","probability":0.0005025493716337522,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"チャージ300玉・終了","probability":0.12513479353680432,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"バスタードRUSH・10回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":10.8,"spins":10},"missNextState":"reserve","outcomes":[{"label":"3000玉・超RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500玉・下位RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"}]},{"id":"upper","label":"超バスタードRUSH・10回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":10.8,"spins":10},"missNextState":"reserve","outcomes":[{"label":"4500玉・超RUSHへ","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"3000玉・超RUSHへ","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"upper"}]},{"id":"reserve","label":"ラストバトル・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":10.8,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・超RUSHへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"図柄揃い","value":"約1/399.9（チャージ昇格込み）"},{"label":"大当り全体","value":"約1/349.9・チャージ含む"},{"label":"ラーズちゃーじ","value":"約1/2785・300玉・約0.4%でRUSH"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"約1/10.8・10回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"下位RUSH","value":"1500玉50%／3000玉50%で上位へ"},{"label":"上位RUSH","value":"3000玉70%／4500玉30%"},{"label":"残保留当り","value":"1500玉・上位へ"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式ガイド・1、4ページ","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/prd/prd_mp.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"D6AF6A5D227833F6727A858167E6E08E6E64B146E1920D43E0B9F840C833FEFF"},{"label":"SANKYO公式スペック本文","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/prd/spec/","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"18E4F7C60C8148231261A05BA59A0DFA9DF54F4D0660FEDDEEE6FB846ACFC106"},{"label":"パチンコビスタ・チャージ確率と昇格率の補足","url":"https://www.pachinkovista.com/sp/model/enshutsu_pachi.php?code=23644&ctg=3&l=1&s=0","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"3BEA1FE1236AD0050E9C09F97E3959A60A9637DBE85EDEB542E4799A994B5520"}],"limitations":["メーカーの丸め値と二次資料のチャージ約1/2785・昇格約0.4%を使った近似です。大当り1/349.9の中にチャージを含め、二重抽選にしていません。","非チャージの図柄揃いは公表約50%で3000玉＋下位RUSH、残りは1500玉で終了と近似。チャージ昇格を別に計上するため、合算図柄揃い・RUSH突入率には公式丸め表示と微差があります。内部乱数の精密再現ではありません。","3000玉・4500玉は1500玉2回・3回を含む合計です。V入賞が完了する条件で集約し、上乗せ告知や保留連の表示を追加出玉として二重計上しません。実質次回の微小な終了確率・消化時間は省略しています。","残保留4個の当りは1500玉で上位RUSHへ。右打ち10回の4500／3000玉の振り分けを残保留へ流用しません。","出玉は払い出し。15個賞球の打込みだけを差し引く目安は実獲得率約93.3%。削り・こぼし・オーバー入賞は実測で調整してください。","電サポ中の玉増減、ヘソ割込み、閉店、コンプリート上限は除外。遊タイム・ハマりによる確率変化はありません。実戦値ではなく、利益や出玉を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":5500.971212168064,"max":5500.971212168064},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":2005.0071813285454,"max":2005.0071813285454},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"バスタードRUSH・10回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6215371965586132,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6350318294040573,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":888.0657816898919,"max":888.0657816898919}},{"id":"upper","label":"超バスタードRUSH・10回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.6215371965586132,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0707680006100588,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2296.0513873602736,"max":2296.0513873602736}},{"id":"reserve","label":"ラストバトル・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.32203186713106435,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6455817857769836,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":311.8468617893532,"max":311.8468617893532}}]}},{"id":"dumbbell2","slug":"dumbbell2","name":"eFダンベル何キロ持てる?2","shortName":"ダンベル2","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":149.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-DUMBBELL2-V1","headline":"149版のST127回とゴールデン上乗せを分けて計算","answer":"初当りは300玉、約25%でST127回へ。4500玉の後は追加セットを計算します。1パチ・4円の回転率、交換率、持ち玉比率を変えて、自分の条件のボーダーを確認できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300玉・終了","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"超マッスルRUSH・127回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":97.7,"spins":127},"outcomes":[{"label":"900玉・STへ","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"2100玉・STへ","probability":0.375,"rewardBalls":2100,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3300玉・STへ","probability":0.375,"rewardBalls":3300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"4500玉・ゴールデンへ","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"golden"}]},{"id":"golden","label":"ゴールデン・追加セット","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"V入賞を完了する条件で追加3大当りを合計"},"outcomes":[{"label":"900玉・STへ","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"2100玉・STへ","probability":0.375,"rewardBalls":2100,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3300玉・STへ","probability":0.375,"rewardBalls":3300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"4500玉・ゴールデンへ","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"golden"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/149.9"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"約25%・初当り300玉"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"約1/97.7・ST127回"},{"label":"セット出玉","value":"900／2100／3300／4500玉"},{"label":"ゴールデン","value":"セットの12.5%が4500玉＋追加セット"},{"label":"上乗せ後","value":"追加4500玉なら再上乗せ、それ以外はSTへ"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式ガイド・1、5〜7ページ","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/ply/ply_mp.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"EF923F90AC6EE28215474EBF949E2515F11C516A8CD1C460B667B1F18FBF7262"},{"label":"SANKYO公式スペック","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/ply/spec/","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"A2CC185CF8B1699544B95170711246D28224EFC25E6D43942C32A16615617D00"},{"label":"スペック解析・残保留なしの補足","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/165922/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"67C656AC8569D0156FA699222AC5F40B090A581447E86EFAFEA97247AE08B53F"}],"limitations":["メーカーの公表丸め値149.9・97.7・振分を使う近似です。内部乱数や演出の再現ではありません。","900〜4500玉は3大当り分の払い出し合計です。ゴールデン突入時の5400〜9000玉表示には最初の4500玉が含まれるため、追加分だけを計上します。","V入賞が完了し追加セットを消化する条件。普電ロング開放から特図2の実質1/1当選までを集約し、演出時間や途中中断は再現しません。","残保留なしは二次資料で補足。ST127回に追加抽選を足しません。遊タイムはなく、ハマりで当選確率は変わりません。","払い出しから打込みだけを差し引く目安は14/15（約93.3%）。こぼし・削り・オーバー入賞は実獲得率で調整してください。","電サポ中の玉増減、ヘソ割込み、閉店、コンプリート上限は除外。実戦値ではなく、利益や出玉を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2377.9037435280115,"max":2377.9037435280115},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"超マッスルRUSH・127回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7292598805063122,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.9233947316988926,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1818.16577558701,"max":1818.16577558701}},{"id":"golden","label":"ゴールデン・追加セット","group":"loop","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.0961992473855561,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":259.7379679410015,"max":259.7379679410015}}]}},{"id":"kinnikuman","slug":"kinnikuman","name":"eFキン肉マン","shortName":"eFキン肉マン","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":349.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-KINNIKUMAN-V1","headline":"チャージ込み349版・ST残回数と出玉なしリセットを区別","answer":"図柄揃いの目安は約1/399.9ですが、計算は300玉チャージも含む約1/349.9から始めます。RUSHのリーチ失敗で即終了にはせず、残り回数からの再開とSTリセットを分けた公表値ベースの概算です。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.4374843710927732,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1500玉・終了","probability":0.42873468367091777,"rewardBalls":1500},{"label":"300玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.008749687421855465,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300玉チャージ・終了","probability":0.12503125781445357,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"ST145回・失敗後は残回数から","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.55955056179775,"spins":145,"note":"リーチ1/92.3×(成功89%÷出玉振分96%)の等価抽選。リセットなし失敗を残回数の消費として集約"},"outcomes":[{"label":"出玉またはリセット判定へ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"result"}]},{"id":"result","label":"公表振分・出玉またはリセット","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉","probability":0.331,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3000玉","probability":0.365,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"4500玉","probability":0.202,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"6000玉","probability":0.056,"rewardBalls":6000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"7500玉","probability":0.006,"rewardBalls":7500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"出玉なし・ST145回リセット","probability":0.04,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"図柄揃い","value":"約1/399.9（300玉RUSH含む）"},{"label":"大当り全体","value":"約1/349.9（チャージ含む）"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"図柄揃いの約51%"},{"label":"リーチ","value":"約1/92.3・成功約89%"},{"label":"ST","value":"145回・リセットなし失敗は残回数から再開"},{"label":"右打ち出玉","value":"1500〜7500玉・出玉なしリセットあり"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式ガイド・1、4ページ","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/ppl/ppl_mp.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"2EF71E983937EAF149A8125D5B9A12546C717F0AF8200EDD1CAD6608B56BAC9E"},{"label":"SANKYO公式スペック","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/ppl/spec/","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"A37E46328AE0B31A27874E38FA1B0EB7647161137129875FAFE9F88158D213BE"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表の丸め値による等価モデルです。特図2とc時短の内部確率は確定しておらず、その再現モデルではありません。","リーチ成功89%と出玉またはリセット時の出玉比率96%から、有効イベント率を89%÷96%と近似。リーチ失敗かつリセットなしは残りSTを消費して再開するため、終了扱いにしません。","公表継続率77%をさらに掛けません。等価抽選の145回内イベント率を計算し、出玉なしリセット4%をその中で一度だけ計上します。丸め値により公式表示と微差があります。","349.9と399.9の比から図柄揃い経路と非昇格チャージを分離。図柄揃い50%・49%・1%はその経路内の比率です。","1500〜7500玉は1500玉の最大5回分を含む合計。残保留分の出玉を重ねて足しません。V入賞を完了する条件で、消化時間や中断は省略しています。","出玉は払い出し。打込みだけを差し引く目安は14/15、こぼし・削りは実獲得率で調整してください。電サポ玉増減、ヘソ割込み、閉店、コンプリート上限は除外。実戦値ではなく利益非保証です。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":5611.302625442314,"max":5611.302625442314},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":1339.4628657164294,"max":1339.4628657164294},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"ST145回・失敗後は残回数から","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7686395534433293,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.9287396145534572,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":0,"max":0}},{"id":"result","label":"公表振分・出玉またはリセット","group":"other","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.4825055560388285,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":4271.8397597258845,"max":4271.8397597258845}}]}},{"id":"dead-mount-death-play-9000","slug":"dead-mount-death-play-9000","name":"eF デッドマウント・デスプレイ 魂神9000","shortName":"DMDP 魂神9000","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":349.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-DEADMOUNT9000-V1","headline":"下位RUSHの2回継続と、上位の50%・Vストックを別計算","answer":"初当りは1500玉、約51%でRUSHへ。下位で3000玉を2回獲得すると魂神の一撃に進みます。成功率50%の抽選と成功濃厚のVストックを分け、自分の回転率・交換率で計算できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・屍RUSHへ","probability":0.51,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower1"},{"label":"1500玉・終了","probability":0.49,"rewardBalls":1500}],"states":[{"id":"lower1","label":"屍RUSH・あと2回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"competing","successDenominator":43,"failureDenominator":148},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000玉・あと1回へ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"lower2"}]},{"id":"lower2","label":"屍RUSH・あと1回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"competing","successDenominator":43,"failureDenominator":148},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000玉・魂神の一撃へ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"upper"}]},{"id":"upper","label":"魂神の一撃・成功約50%","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.5},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000玉・魂神の一撃へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"9000玉・魂神の一撃へ","probability":0.47,"rewardBalls":9000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"9000玉・V-STOCKへ","probability":0.03,"rewardBalls":9000,"nextState":"stock"}]},{"id":"stock","label":"V-STOCK・成功濃厚","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"V入賞を完了する条件で次の出玉判定へ"},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000玉・魂神の一撃へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"9000玉・魂神の一撃へ","probability":0.47,"rewardBalls":9000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"9000玉・V-STOCKへ","probability":0.03,"rewardBalls":9000,"nextState":"stock"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/349.9・チャージなし"},{"label":"初当り","value":"1500玉・RUSH約51%"},{"label":"屍RUSH","value":"図柄約1/43・転落約1/148"},{"label":"上位突入","value":"下位3000玉を2回獲得後"},{"label":"魂神の一撃","value":"1回・成功約50%"},{"label":"成功後","value":"3000玉50%・9000玉47%・9000玉＋V3%"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式ガイド・1、5、6ページ","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/pco/pco_mp.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"04B23C7728C7AF666A17743682DB47A80F8D805D862EDA58F9AF0F5A5E33AA20"},{"label":"SANKYO公式スペック","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/pco/spec/","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"E11F5436AC14896A96F694456497681EA997994110C9FBBC417AA3DBF2E6BEE9"},{"label":"なな徹・Vストック後も同じ振分の補足","url":"https://nana-press.com/kaiseki/machine/1176/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"AF4F1DEE14C111382DAF5D7F8DF598F4BB30D7EDA1B0C19680406109DB19667A"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表の丸め値に基づく集約モデルです。普図ロング・ショートを排他的な競合として計算し、継続率78%をさらに掛けません。内部乱数の完全再現ではありません。","下位の3000玉2回は初当り1500玉とは別です。初当りを1回に数えて上位までの条件を短くしません。","3000玉は1500玉×2回、9000玉は1500玉×6回の合計です。9000玉に最初の3000玉を重ねて加算しません。","9000玉＋αの3%は9000玉と成功濃厚Vストックを分離。V消化後も同じ50/47/3振分を使う点はなな徹の二次資料で補足しています。","V入賞を完了する条件で、普電開放後の特図2実質1/1とセット消化をまとめます。独立の残保留抽選や遊タイムは加算しません。","払い出しから打込みだけを差し引く目安は14/15。こぼし・削りは実獲得率で調整してください。電サポ玉増減、ヘソ割込み、閉店、コンプリート上限は除外。実戦値ではなく利益非保証です。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":5498.31080548355,"max":5498.31080548355},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":1500,"max":1500},"states":[{"id":"lower1","label":"屍RUSH・あと2回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.774869109947644,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.51,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1185.5497382198953,"max":1185.5497382198953}},{"id":"lower2","label":"屍RUSH・あと1回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.774869109947644,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.39518324607329847,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":918.6458704531127,"max":918.6458704531127}},{"id":"upper","label":"魂神の一撃・成功約50%","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.5,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.612430580302075,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1837.291740906225,"max":1837.291740906225}},{"id":"stock","label":"V-STOCK・成功濃厚","group":"loop","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.009470575984052706,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":56.82345590431623,"max":56.82345590431623}}]}},{"id":"fire-force2-99","slug":"fire-force2-99","name":"eF炎炎ノ消防隊2 99ver.","shortName":"炎炎2 99ver.","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-FIREFORCE2-99-V1","headline":"甘デジ99版・上位ST64回と残保留4個を別計算","answer":"初当り後は必ず右打ちへ進み、RUSH突入は引き戻し込みで約60%。上位の残保留で当たると99%は下位RUSHへ戻ります。1パチ・4円、自分の回転率と交換率で比較できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"900玉・アドラバーストへ","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"400玉・炎上RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"400玉・命の呼吸チャレンジへ","probability":0.49,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"challenge"}],"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"命の呼吸・ST1回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":23.8,"spins":1},"outcomes":[{"label":"900玉・アドラバーストへ","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"900玉・炎上RUSHへ","probability":0.19,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"400玉・炎上RUSHへ","probability":0.8,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"lower"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"lower","label":"炎上RUSH・ST30回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":23.8,"spins":30},"outcomes":[{"label":"900玉・アドラバーストへ","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"900玉・炎上RUSHへ","probability":0.19,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"400玉・炎上RUSHへ","probability":0.8,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"lower"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"upper","label":"アドラバースト・ST64回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":23.8,"spins":64},"outcomes":[{"label":"900玉・上位継続","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"400玉・上位継続","probability":0.8,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・通常振分","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":23.8,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"900玉・アドラバーストへ","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"900玉・炎上RUSHへ","probability":0.19,"rewardBalls":900,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"400玉・炎上RUSHへ","probability":0.8,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"lower"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/99.9・99ver.専用"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"約1/23.8（大当り・小当り合算）"},{"label":"命の呼吸","value":"ST1回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"炎上RUSH","value":"ST30回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"アドラバースト","value":"ST64回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"残保留当選後","value":"99%下位・1%上位（全状態共通）"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式99ver.ガイド・振分と注7","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/pxj/pxj_mp_e_99.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"9DD52B370B40EB4A63345B47CF23F68F230D209E53B1C34D0F8D2D40C4E77818"},{"label":"SANKYO公式スペック・99ver.節","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/pxj/spec/","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"E7294D6F491657CF1D53C66A9CABCDE86787C1266A928EECFAFD5131678FF133"},{"label":"P-WORLD・残保留振分の照合","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10544","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"9F1926E00BBC4ABAC9DAB67BD0A36633C02E0F5F3C61E2F34E27483D9EFB1095"}],"limitations":["99ver.専用の公表丸め値による集約計算です。シンラ版・紅丸版や初代の数値は流用していません。大当りと小当りの合算23.8を使い、内部乱数や演出は再現しません。","上位ST中の全当り上位継続は残保留を除きます。残保留4個での当りは900玉1%上位・900玉19%下位・400玉80%下位です。68回をすべて上位継続として計算しません。","トータルRUSH突入約60%は初期51%と命の呼吸の引き戻しを含む表示です。別の60%抽選を追加しません。","賞球10・10カウントの払い出し400/900玉を使います。打込みのみ差し引く目安は9/10（90%）。こぼし・削りは実獲得率を入力して調整してください。","V入賞完了を条件とし、ヘソ割込み、電サポ玉増減、閉店、中断、コンプリート上限を除外します。実戦値ではなく、出玉・利益は保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1631.4754178495944,"max":1631.4754178495944},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":405,"max":405},"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"命の呼吸・ST1回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.04201680672268904,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.49,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":10.294117647058815,"max":10.294117647058815}},{"id":"lower","label":"炎上RUSH・ST30回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7241095304566001,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.492943275475218,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":902.5819923296496,"max":902.5819923296496}},{"id":"upper","label":"アドラバースト・ST64回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.9358930734178886,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.47000756022397105,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":219.93841003382784,"max":219.93841003382784}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・通常振分","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.15776834583511667,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.187321795678117,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":93.66089783905846,"max":93.66089783905846}}]}},{"id":"seed-climax-2026","slug":"seed-climax-2026","name":"eフィーバー機動戦士ガンダムSEED クライマックス","shortName":"SEED クライマックス","manufacturer":"SANKYO","normalDenominator":349.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-SEED-CLIMAX-V1","headline":"CLIMAXと通常RUSHの出玉・昇降格を分けて計算","answer":"LTはCLIMAXから開始。4500玉でCLIMAXを維持し、3000玉で通常RUSHへ移ります。通常RUSHも3000玉以上ならCLIMAXへ。チャージを含む公表確率を使った近似で、自分の回転率・交換率から計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"図柄1500玉・CLIMAXへ","probability":0.4546896873541764,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"climax"},{"label":"図柄1500玉・終了","probability":0.4197135575577013,"rewardBalls":1500},{"label":"チャージ300玉・CLIMAXへ（公表確率から逆算）","probability":0.0005654972736687247,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"climax"},{"label":"チャージ300玉・終了","probability":0.1250312578144536,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"climax","label":"FULLBURST RUSH CLIMAX","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":95.6,"spins":130},"outcomes":[{"label":"4500玉・CLIMAX継続","probability":0.51,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"climax"},{"label":"3000玉・通常RUSHへ","probability":0.49,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"rush","label":"FULLBURST RUSH","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":95.6,"spins":130},"outcomes":[{"label":"4500玉・CLIMAXへ","probability":0.03,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"climax"},{"label":"3000玉・CLIMAXへ","probability":0.47,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"climax"},{"label":"1500玉・RUSH継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"大当り全体","value":"約1/349.9・チャージ含む"},{"label":"図柄揃い目安","value":"約1/399.9・チャージLTを含む合算"},{"label":"SEEDチャージ","value":"約1/2785.9・300玉（二次資料）"},{"label":"LT","value":"約1/95.6・ST130回"},{"label":"CLIMAX","value":"4500玉51%継続・3000玉49%降格"},{"label":"通常RUSH","value":"4500玉3%・3000玉47%で昇格、1500玉50%で継続"}],"sources":[{"label":"SANKYO公式ガイド・1、5ページ","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/assets/pdf/poq/poq_mp.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"21288A94D430BA0A31154960D3E7E3AE3966EFA8567C6E01764D57FDC2BF7CE1"},{"label":"SANKYO公式スペック","url":"https://www.sankyo-fever.jp/products/machine_list/poq/spec/","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"FC560BF93EB4EFDFED35D3225469FB70DA3FF4C4B35C16D90EF9568E3DA3421D"},{"label":"ぱちんこキュレーション・チャージ確率の補足","url":"https://pachinko-curation.com/62622/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"B66353DC4FDABDFAF00379C58FC4FC5192CB365974939516132E2AC588644113"}],"limitations":["公表丸め値を整合させた近似モデルです。大当り1/349.9からチャージ1/2785.9を引いたものを1500玉図柄確率とし、公式合算1/399.9との差を300玉チャージLT確率に割り当てます。チャージ時LT約0.450%は逆算値で、メーカーが直接公表した条件付き振分ではありません。","1500玉図柄の52%をCLIMAX、48%を終了とします。別計上するチャージLTと公表値の丸めにより、合算対象全体の突入率は表示52%と微差があります。内部乱数の精密再現ではありません。","ST130回を約1/95.6で抽選し、公表継続率75%をさらに掛けません。CLIMAX内の4500玉と3000玉で移行先を分け、通常RUSHでは3000玉でも昇格します。","3000玉・4500玉は1500玉2回・3回を含む合計です。V入賞完了と指示どおりの消化を条件とし、出玉告知を追加当りとして重ねません。普電開放後の実質1/1を集約し、独立の残保留当りは加算しません。","払い出しから打込みだけを差し引く目安は14/15。こぼし・削りは実獲得率で調整。電サポ玉増減、閉店、ヘソ割込み、コンプリート上限は除外。遊タイムは非搭載。実戦値ではなく利益非保証です。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":5640.63005714887,"max":5640.63005714887},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":1349.2838938942532,"max":1349.2838938942532},"states":[{"id":"climax","label":"FULLBURST RUSH CLIMAX","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7451282292076826,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.1291475211304676,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":3167.7192438972243,"max":3167.7192438972243}},{"id":"rush","label":"FULLBURST RUSH","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7451282292076826,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6570651426439387,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1123.6269193573924,"max":1123.6269193573924}}]}},{"id":"madoka-magica3","slug":"madoka-magica3","name":"P魔法少女まどか☆マギカ3","shortName":"まどか☆マギカ3","manufacturer":"京楽","normalDenominator":199.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-MADOKA3-V1","headline":"通常RUSH60回・上位120回・残保留4個を分けて計算","answer":"初当りは54%でマギカRUSH、1%で上位RUSHへ。右打ちは1500玉です。上位終了後の残保留は通常RUSHの振分に戻る点まで含め、1パチ・4円の回転率と交換率で計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"400玉・終了","probability":0.45,"rewardBalls":400},{"label":"400玉・マギカRUSHへ","probability":0.54,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500玉・上位直行","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"マギカRUSH","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":62.2,"spins":60},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・マギカRUSHへ","probability":0.725,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500玉・アルティメット超RUSHへ","probability":0.275,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"upper","label":"アルティメット超RUSH","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":62.2,"spins":120},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・上位継続","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":62.2,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・マギカRUSHへ","probability":0.725,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500玉・アルティメット超RUSHへ","probability":0.275,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/199.9"},{"label":"初当り","value":"400玉54%通常RUSH・400玉45%終了・1500玉1%上位"},{"label":"マギカRUSH","value":"約1/62.2・60回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"LT昇格","value":"BONUS50%でワルプルギス・勝率55%（合計27.5%）"},{"label":"アルティメット超RUSH","value":"約1/62.2・120回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"残保留の振分","value":"通常RUSHと同じ・1500玉"}],"sources":[{"label":"KYORAKU公式スペック・残保留注記と振分図","url":"https://www.kyoraku.co.jp/product_site/2024/madoka_magica3/img/spec/img_1.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"8E35B5F27B2C9C7F1DC5D9C5B8E49B92006FC631A7696163B9B745D52C85550A"},{"label":"P-WORLD・10046の機種照合","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10046","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"67DE5F2BFBDF286F0E9ADC4E54F15C25A2CFAC4AF3003A42EF860B27A249F207"}],"limitations":["公表された丸め確率に基づく集約モデルです。下位のワルプルギス発生50%と勝率55%を合わせ、27.5%で上位へ移行します。内部乱数の完全再現ではありません。","上位の120回と残保留4個を分離。残保留は通常RUSHの振分に戻り、72.5%で下位、27.5%で上位へ。124回すべてを上位継続にはしません。公表65%・87%を抽選確率に重ねません。","通常時の1%上位直行は1500玉、それ以外は400玉。ワルプルギスの勝敗判定は当った1500玉に付随するため、勝利時に1500玉を重ねて足しません。","出玉は払い出し。初当り400玉は賞球10なので打込み控除だけなら360玉、右1500玉は賞球15なので1400玉が目安です。計算ツールの実獲得率は全出玉共通の近似のため、両方の控除率を個別再現しません。実測に合わせて調整してください。","V入賞完了が条件。電サポ中の玉増減、ヘソ割込み、閉店、コンプリート上限は除外。遊タイムはなく、ハマりで当選率は変わりません。実戦値ではなく利益非保証です。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3196.282481439687,"max":3196.282481439687},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":411,"max":411},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"マギカRUSH","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.621851617318037,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.031958545796845,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":962.5876360634063,"max":962.5876360634063}},{"id":"upper","label":"アルティメット超RUSH","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8570038006750156,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.374896441829613,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1767.4372142738007,"max":1767.4372142738007}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.06277438462336582,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5868384207349866,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":55.25763110247994,"max":55.25763110247994}}]}},{"id":"fuyu-no-sonata-my-memory-sweet","slug":"fuyu-no-sonata-my-memory-sweet","name":"P 冬のソナタ My Memory SWEET Version","shortName":"冬ソナ My Memory SWEET","manufacturer":"京楽","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-FUYUSONA-SWEET-V1","headline":"確変60%・時短30回＋残保留4個。2Rの玉増加はゼロの近似","answer":"通常時の1000玉は10.5%、確変・時短中は20%。確変60%と時短30回後の残保留4個を含め、自分の回転率・交換率で計算します。賞球1個の2Rは玉の増加をゼロとして扱い、1パチ・4円に対応します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・確変","probability":0.105,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"400玉・確変","probability":0.295,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"2R・実獲得増分ゼロ近似・確変","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"400玉・時短30回","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"jitan"}],"states":[{"id":"high","label":"確変","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"約1/19.9で次回まで。玉増減・時間は別途"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・確変","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"400玉・確変","probability":0.32,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"2R・実獲得増分ゼロ近似・確変","probability":0.08,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"400玉・時短30回","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"jitan"}]},{"id":"jitan","label":"時短30回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":30},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・確変","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"400玉・確変","probability":0.32,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"2R・実獲得増分ゼロ近似・確変","probability":0.08,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"400玉・時短30回","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"jitan"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"特図2残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・確変","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"400玉・確変","probability":0.32,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"2R・実獲得増分ゼロ近似・確変","probability":0.08,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"high"},{"label":"400玉・時短30回","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"jitan"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"機種","value":"My Memory SWEET・MA2（GORAKU版ではありません）"},{"label":"通常時／確変中","value":"約1/99.9／約1/19.9"},{"label":"確変割合","value":"60%・次回まで"},{"label":"通常大当り後","value":"時短30回＋特図2残保留4個"},{"label":"通常時の払出","value":"1000玉10.5%・400玉69.5%・2R20%"},{"label":"確変・時短・残保留の払出","value":"1000玉20%・400玉72%・2R8%"},{"label":"2Rの計算","value":"賞球1個。実獲得増分ゼロとして相殺"}],"sources":[{"label":"DMMぱちタウン・2Rは賞球1個で玉増加ほぼなし","url":"https://p-town.dmm.com/machines/4883","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"11DB6D1254F695A5BD0E2FE410472152D6CDC1332E5A3FE4671E4472EE51503E"},{"label":"KYORAKU公式スペック","url":"https://www.kyoraku.co.jp/product_site/2025/fuyusona_mms/_nuxt/assets202510021422/images/img_1-lkSqh7F5.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"0411068DA9F840C1016FECDF3E308FCF11A00FC588E20C03142A7322B8B3CFF9"},{"label":"P-WORLD・型式照合。右時短100回の記載は採用しない","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10343","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"C5D5936B2F01E92711120E8AFCCDEDF6F4ED7CCBAEB8C9C165FC0BBFD0B1B4F5"},{"label":"パチンコスペック解析・時短30回と特図2残保留4個の補足","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/160897/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"8E837C5A01B99045A599C0179DB4BF94269AC70247FE0B5ECAF70A4F37AD65F2"}],"limitations":["メーカーの公表丸め確率・振分に基づくモデルです。通常時は特図1と2の合算振分。設定付きのGORAKU版とは異なり、同版の遊タイムを加算しません。","2Rは公式で1R約2.4秒の短時間開放、DMM本文で賞球1個・玉増加ほぼなしを確認。入賞した玉が1個戻る部分は相殺し、計算上ゼロとする近似です。入賞数や実際の払出総数をゼロと断定していません。2R時のこぼしや打ち損じは別途です。","400玉・1000玉は払い出しで入力し、打込み控除のみの実獲得目安は90%。2Rの相殺済みゼロは共通実獲得率を掛けてもゼロのままです。そのため計算の払出合計は2Rの相殺分を除いた値で、実機の表示出玉総数とは一致しません。","時短30回は公式・DMMを採用。P-WORLDの右打ち表にある100回は同ページの基本仕様とも矛盾するため不採用。特図2残保留4個と振分は二次資料で補足し、満タン消化を条件とします。通常時の8個保留を残保留8個とは扱いません。","確変中は次の大当りまで消化する条件。高確率約1/19.9は待ち時間には影響しますが、確変60%にさらに継続率として掛けません。残保留も1/99.9の通常確率です。","電サポ中の玉増減、特図1の割込み、閉店・時間上限、コンプリート上限は除外。実戦結果ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1612.562367867264,"max":1612.562367867264},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":383,"max":383},"states":[{"id":"high","label":"確変","group":"loop","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.1117570096728655,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1030.5374207203583,"max":1030.5374207203583}},{"id":"jitan","label":"時短30回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.26052396972307934,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.4078380064485772,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":178.98646652950063,"max":178.98646652950063}},{"id":"reserve","label":"特図2残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.03944284022157685,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0410624602815675,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":20.038480617404968,"max":20.038480617404968}}]}},{"id":"azur-lane-trigger-79","slug":"azur-lane-trigger-79","name":"P アズールレーン THE ANIMATION 異次元トリガー 79ver.","shortName":"アズールレーン 異次元79","manufacturer":"京楽","normalDenominator":79.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-AZUR79-V1","headline":"時短40回からSS RUSHへ。覚醒BONUSの追加当りも計算","answer":"初当り後は必ず時短40回。突破後はSS RUSH100回へ進みます。覚醒BONUSは最初の当り＋3当りを分け、最後の24%で再び3当りを追加する部分まで計算します。1パチ・4円の回転率と交換率を入力できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"210玉・時短40回","probability":1,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"challenge"}],"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"SS RUSHチャレンジ40回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":79.9,"spins":40,"note":"普図時短の成功確率を集約"},"outcomes":[{"label":"420玉・覚醒3当りを補充","probability":0.24,"rewardBalls":420,"nextState":"stock3"},{"label":"420玉・SS RUSHへ","probability":0.46,"rewardBalls":420,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"210玉・SS RUSHへ","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"rush","label":"SS RUSH100回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":69.5,"spins":100,"note":"普図STの成功確率を集約"},"outcomes":[{"label":"420玉・覚醒3当りを補充","probability":0.24,"rewardBalls":420,"nextState":"stock3"},{"label":"420玉・SS RUSHへ","probability":0.46,"rewardBalls":420,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"210玉・SS RUSHへ","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"stock3","label":"覚醒・残り3当り","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed"},"outcomes":[{"label":"420玉・残りを消化","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":420,"nextState":"stock2"},{"label":"210玉・残りを消化","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"stock2"}]},{"id":"stock2","label":"覚醒・残り2当り","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed"},"outcomes":[{"label":"420玉・残りを消化","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":420,"nextState":"last"},{"label":"210玉・残りを消化","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"last"}]},{"id":"last","label":"覚醒・最終当り","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed"},"outcomes":[{"label":"420玉・覚醒3当りを補充","probability":0.24,"rewardBalls":420,"nextState":"stock3"},{"label":"420玉・SS RUSHへ","probability":0.46,"rewardBalls":420,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"210玉・SS RUSHへ","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/79.9・210玉＋時短40回"},{"label":"SS RUSH","value":"約1/69.5・100回"},{"label":"右打ち振分","value":"420玉＋覚醒24%・420玉46%・210玉30%"},{"label":"覚醒途中","value":"420玉70%・210玉30%・補充抽選なし"},{"label":"覚醒最終","value":"24%で3当りを追加・それ以外SS RUSHへ"}],"sources":[{"label":"KYORAKU公式スペック","url":"https://www.kyoraku.co.jp/product_site/2025/azurlane_79/_nuxt/assets202509031656/images/img_1-Asc_hchT.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"D0C89E78D15184CB58BA98197597CBF5EB4338C08C527D8472981B0C803F3331"},{"label":"パチ＆スロ必勝本・覚醒途中と最終当りの振分","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/98767/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"3080A42ED74C90FC2D9E45C84E4A47354C287319480411E1639CEB6CF181F4B2"}],"limitations":["公表丸め値の集約モデルです。通常時・時短中79.9とSS RUSH中69.5を区別。公表突破率40%・継続率77%を重ねて掛けません。","覚醒は突入当り420玉に加えて3当り。当該変動と特図2保留2つの消化を必勝本の説明で補足しています。途中の当りは70対30、最後は24対46対30で、最後の24%だけ次の3当りを補充。すべての当りに補充抽選を置きません。","普図の時短・STを成功確率に集約し、電チューロング開放後のV入賞と指定どおりの消化を完了する条件です。覚醒用の当該変動＋保留を別管理し、ST100回の後に独立した特図2残保留抽選を加算しません。","210玉・420玉は払い出し。賞球7から打込みだけを控除する実獲得率の目安は6/7。こぼしや削りは実測に合わせて調整してください。電サポ中の玉増減、閉店・時間・コンプリート上限は除外。遊タイムはなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1382.120695123905,"max":1382.120695123905},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":210,"max":210},"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"SS RUSHチャレンジ40回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.39576071773945565,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":141.28657623298568,"max":141.28657623298568}},{"id":"rush","label":"SS RUSH100回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7652656266378124,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.6859938835153456,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":460.6132401819927,"max":460.6132401819927}},{"id":"stock3","label":"覚醒・残り3当り","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5324191211101091,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":190.07362623630897,"max":190.07362623630897}},{"id":"stock2","label":"覚醒・残り2当り","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5324191211101091,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":190.07362623630897,"max":190.07362623630897}},{"id":"last","label":"覚醒・最終当り","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5324191211101091,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":190.07362623630897,"max":190.07362623630897}}]}},{"id":"sao-senko-99","slug":"sao-senko-99","name":"e ソードアート・オンライン 閃光の軌跡 99Ver.","shortName":"SAO 閃光の軌跡99","manufacturer":"京楽","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-SAO99-V1","headline":"SWORD32回・上位77回・残保留と次回までを分けて計算","answer":"初当りの54%でSWORD RUSH、1%で上位の実質次回までへ。上位RUSHの残保留で当ると下位の振分に戻る点も含め、自分の回転率・交換率で計算します。1パチと4円に対応します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"240玉・終了","probability":0.45,"rewardBalls":240},{"label":"240玉・SWORDへ","probability":0.54,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"800玉・上位次回まで","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"long"}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"SWORD RUSH32回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":35.2,"spins":32},"outcomes":[{"label":"240玉・SWORD継続","probability":0.35,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"800玉・SWORD継続","probability":0.485,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"800玉・LIGHTNINGへ","probability":0.155,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"800玉・次回まで","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"long"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"upper","label":"LIGHTNING77回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":35.2,"spins":77},"outcomes":[{"label":"240玉・LIGHTNING継続","probability":0.35,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"800玉・LIGHTNING継続","probability":0.32,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"800玉・次回まで","probability":0.33,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"long"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・下位振分","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":35.2,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"240玉・SWORD継続","probability":0.35,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"800玉・SWORD継続","probability":0.485,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"800玉・LIGHTNINGへ","probability":0.155,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"800玉・次回まで","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"long"}]},{"id":"long","label":"上位・時短10000回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":35.2,"spins":10000},"outcomes":[{"label":"240玉・LIGHTNING継続","probability":0.35,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"800玉・LIGHTNING継続","probability":0.32,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"800玉・次回まで","probability":0.33,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"long"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時／右打ち","value":"約1/99.9／約1/35.2"},{"label":"SWORD","value":"32回＋残保留4個・上位15.5%＋次回まで1%"},{"label":"LIGHTNING","value":"77回＋残保留4個・大当り後33%は10000回"},{"label":"残保留","value":"上位終了後もSWORD中の振分へ戻る"},{"label":"出玉","value":"3R240玉・10R800玉（払い出し）"}],"sources":[{"label":"KYORAKU公式スペック・残保留注記","url":"https://www.kyoraku.co.jp/product_site/2025/sao_99/_nuxt/assets202512261237/images/img_1-SROuQb6b.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"8678205BA45F31347BB0C2504718DEF69B036A1F136587D0A9105D82CEFFC079"},{"label":"P-WORLD10398・99Ver.の状態別振分","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10398","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"BDBA205C343929F60C5DBB2B82EA1F424B73AD4FEA6D6F0550B4466218D8FB18"}],"limitations":["公表された丸め確率による集約モデルです。公表継続率65%・94%を当選確率に重ねて掛けません。上位の77回と残保留4個を分離し、残保留では下位振分へ戻します。","下位の800玉継続は通常12.5%とLAST ATTACK敗北36%を合計48.5%で扱います。勝率30%超を別に掛けず、上位15.5%と次回まで1%の公表振分を採用します。","実質次回までは時短10000回として上位振分で消化します。1/35.2で10000回外れる確率は約10のマイナス126乗で、倍精度では当選率が1に丸められます。絶対保証を意味せず、この端数と10000回後の残保留は結果に反映できません。","出玉は払い出し。賞球8から打込みだけを控除する実獲得率の目安は7/8です。V入賞と指定どおりの消化が条件。電サポ中の玉増減、ヘソ割込み、閉店・時間・コンプリート上限は除外します。","遊タイムはありません。実戦値ではなく、利益を保証する計算ではありません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1775.7997772233334,"max":1775.7997772233334},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":245.60000000000002,"max":245.60000000000002},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"SWORD RUSH32回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6023782224285785,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.199393459978082,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":436.3830542500919,"max":436.3830542500919}},{"id":"upper","label":"LIGHTNING77回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8913011176887324,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.2907152629313796,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":694.8512377070614,"max":694.8512377070614}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・下位振分","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.10888496681881954,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6172042660267575,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":40.591376680161446,"max":40.591376680161446}},{"id":"long","label":"上位・時短10000回","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5933346168642701,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":358.3741085860192,"max":358.3741085860192}}]}},{"id":"kamen-rider-deno-239","slug":"kamen-rider-deno-239","name":"e 仮面ライダー電王 デカヘソ239","shortName":"電王 デカヘソ239","manufacturer":"京楽","normalDenominator":239.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-DENO239-V1","headline":"出玉なしのSTリセットと残保留を分けて計算","answer":"初当りの55%で電王RUSHへ。上位中の3000玉だけでなく、出玉なしのSTリセットと残保留で下位振分へ戻る経路も含め、自分の回転率・交換率で計算します。1パチと4円に対応します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300玉・終了","probability":0.45,"rewardBalls":300},{"label":"300玉・電王へ","probability":0.55,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lower"}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"電王RUSH16回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":22.5,"spins":16},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・電王継続","probability":0.68,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500玉・CLIMAXへ","probability":0.12,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"出玉なし・電王リセット","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"出玉なし・CLIMAXへ","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"upper","label":"CLIMAX31回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":22.5,"spins":31},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000玉・CLIMAX継続","probability":0.8,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"出玉なし・CLIMAXリセット","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・電王振分","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":22.5,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・電王継続","probability":0.68,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500玉・CLIMAXへ","probability":0.12,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"出玉なし・電王リセット","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"出玉なし・CLIMAXへ","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"upper"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時／右打ち","value":"約1/239.9／約1/22.5（C時短含む）"},{"label":"電王RUSH","value":"16回＋残保留4個・初当り55%で突入"},{"label":"CLIMAX","value":"31回＋残保留4個・約80%3000玉／約20%出玉なし"},{"label":"残保留","value":"上位終了後も電王RUSHの振分へ"},{"label":"出玉","value":"300玉・1500玉・3000玉（払い出し）"}],"sources":[{"label":"KYORAKU公式スペック・状態別振分","url":"https://www.kyoraku.co.jp/product_site/2025/kamenrider_den-o_239/_nuxt/assets202512161325/images/img_1-BFLeR_Ds.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"CF255FF28CF6B8D471670976199D39CBF0730ED455A0148AF9672797CF66CD13"},{"label":"DMMぱちタウン・電王239大当り詳細","url":"https://p-town.dmm.com/upload/machines/4889/hit_rate.jpg?t=1788778048","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"3C8D12801E6AD64D5D3ABEB2C8B51BFA7655BB038CEB6266380AA60F4B0600D1"},{"label":"DMMぱちタウン・電王239基本解説","url":"https://p-town.dmm.com/machines/4889","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"3DFE47C4D2645F39F0919DB2B4A6C98B3C1AAE85D742AFDE30FE8388D50A70EC"}],"limitations":["公表された丸め確率による集約モデルです。約1/22.5には大当り・小当りV入賞・C時短を含みます。C時短を出玉のある大当りに置き換えず、出玉なしのリセットとして分けています。","下位の最終決戦約30%×勝率約40%を1500玉上位12%へ、敗北18%と通常50%を1500玉下位68%へ集約。C時短約20%は約半分ずつ上位・下位へ。公開値の丸め幅による誤差があります。","上位31回と残保留4個は別状態。残保留は電王の振分へ戻します。公表継続率60%・80%は再度掛けません。3000玉は1500玉2回分の合計で、別途1500玉を加算しません。","出玉は払い出し。賞球15から打込みだけを控除する実獲得率の目安は14/15です。V入賞と指定どおりの消化が条件。電サポ中の玉増減、ヘソ割込み、時間・閉店・コンプリート上限は除外します。","遊タイムはありません。実戦値ではなく、利益を保証する計算ではありません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2169.998353991802,"max":2169.998353991802},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"電王RUSH16回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5168354428052022,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.064819462618047,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":660.403726163755,"max":660.403726163755}},{"id":"upper","label":"CLIMAX31回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7556939646554413,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5943589942490801,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1077.968411502499,"max":1077.968411502499}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・電王振分","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.1662731900624903,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6596885136046233,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":131.62621632554792,"max":131.62621632554792}}]}},{"id":"hokuto-kyoteki-lt","slug":"hokuto-kyoteki-lt","name":"P北斗の拳 強敵 LT","shortName":"北斗の拳 強敵LT","manufacturer":"サミー","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-HOKUTO-KYOTEKI-V1","headline":"強敵50回・HYPER130回・残保留のLT復帰を分けて計算","answer":"初当りの50%で強敵RUSHへ。大当り時のLT突入はRUSH中10%、残保留では0.5%です。上位終了後の残保留も分け、自分の回転率・交換率で計算できます。1パチと4円に対応します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"400玉・終了","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":400},{"label":"400玉・強敵へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"lower"}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"強敵RUSH50回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":45.2,"spins":50},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・HYPERへ","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1000玉・強敵へ","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"600玉・強敵へ","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"300玉・強敵へ","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lower"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"upper","label":"HYPER強敵130回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":45.2,"spins":130},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・HYPER継続","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"600玉・HYPER継続","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"300玉・HYPER継続","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・LTは0.5%","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":45.2,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・HYPERへ","probability":0.005,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1000玉・強敵へ","probability":0.195,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"600玉・強敵へ","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"300玉・強敵へ","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lower"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時／右打ち","value":"約1/99.9／約1/45.2"},{"label":"強敵RUSH","value":"50回＋残保留4個・初当り50%で突入"},{"label":"HYPER強敵","value":"130回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"LT突入振分","value":"強敵RUSH中10%／残保留0.5%"},{"label":"出玉","value":"初回400玉、右打ち300・600・1000玉（払い出し）"}],"sources":[{"label":"サミー公式・強敵LT基本スペック","url":"https://www.sammy.co.jp/japanese/product/pachinko/hok_ke_tomo/img/spec/spec-pc.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"DA490B8FCB43E670A0EC8BA39BF81687F5182AB036B7C2B2D79CE1D2F28098C1"},{"label":"サミー公式・LT振分とHYPER詳細","url":"https://www.sammy.co.jp/japanese/product/pachinko/hok_ke_tomo/img/feature/shosai-pc.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"07512DA75ECC69905D1D365165C7031E51257AAD636BF5D0B106F2D13CC9A0D7"},{"label":"必勝本・残保留0.5%とLT終了条件","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/90692/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"2FFA02D15F0C7F540246DB90EAB5F5A94E3A97C1ACD8E526354508F589C5A112"}],"limitations":["公表された丸め確率によるモデルです。継続率70%・95%はSTと残保留から計算するため、追加の抽選として掛けません。","残保留当りは99.5%で強敵RUSH、0.5%でHYPER強敵RUSHへ。出玉振分は10R20%・6R20%・3R60%のまま、10Rのうち0.5%をLT復帰に割り当てます。","メーカーの約10300玉は初回400玉・突破1000玉・LT期待出玉を合計した参考値です。計算では各当りを1回ずつ数え、この参考値を別途加算しません。","出玉は払い出し。賞球10から打込みだけを控除する実獲得率の目安は90%です。V入賞と指定どおりの消化が条件。電サポ中の玉増減、ヘソ割込み、時間・閉店・コンプリート上限は除外します。","遊タイムはありません。実戦値ではなく、利益を保証する計算ではありません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1701.4130107198798,"max":1701.4130107198798},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":400,"max":400},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"強敵RUSH50回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6732679580945573,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.3870358055606185,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":466.92338230691854,"max":466.92338230691854}},{"id":"upper","label":"HYPER強敵130回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.9454369687063633,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.715790215879141,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":811.0857503184059,"max":811.0857503184059}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・LTは0.5%","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.08560185121610164,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5468077561891107,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":23.403878094555317,"max":23.403878094555317}}]}},{"id":"bakemonogatari-oni-99","slug":"bakemonogatari-oni-99","name":"e 化物語 鬼99ver.","shortName":"化物語 鬼99","manufacturer":"サミー","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-BAKEMONO99-V1","headline":"血闘ノ刻の突破と盛盛CHANCEの上乗せを分けて計算","answer":"初当りの50%で血闘ノ刻へ。5回の抽選を突破すると特別ノ刻へ進み、大当りの半数で盛盛CHANCEに入ります。上乗せの50%ループまで含め、自分の回転率・交換率で計算します。1パチと4円に対応します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300玉・終了","probability":0.499,"rewardBalls":300},{"label":"300玉・血闘ノ刻へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"challenge"},{"label":"1500玉・特別ノ刻直行","probability":0.001,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"血闘ノ刻1回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":17.3,"spins":1},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・特別ノ刻へ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"challenge-reserve"},{"id":"challenge-reserve","label":"血闘の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":17.3,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・特別ノ刻へ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}]},{"id":"upper","label":"特別ノ刻22回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":17.3,"spins":22},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・特別ノ刻継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500玉・盛盛CHANCEへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"mori"}],"missNextState":"upper-reserve"},{"id":"upper-reserve","label":"特別ノ刻の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":17.3,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・特別ノ刻継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1500玉・盛盛CHANCEへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"mori"}]},{"id":"mori","label":"盛盛CHANCE上乗せ抽選","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.5,"note":"初回成功率・成功後ループ率とも50%"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉上乗せ・再抽選","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"mori"}],"missNextState":"upper"}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時／右打ち","value":"約1/99.9／約1/17.3"},{"label":"血闘ノ刻","value":"1回＋残保留4個・初当り50%で突入"},{"label":"特別ノ刻","value":"22回＋残保留4個・直行0.1%"},{"label":"盛盛CHANCE","value":"特別ノ刻の大当り50%で突入・成功率と上乗せループ率50%"},{"label":"出玉","value":"初回300・1500玉、右打ち1500玉単位（払い出し）"}],"sources":[{"label":"サミー公式・鬼99基本スペックと盛盛CHANCE","url":"https://www.sammy.co.jp/japanese/product/pachinko/e_bak_mo_99/img/feature/fe_01.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"3D854DCBB1817F44F7899169D6C94D52F46B103DA1498694B45190E631B8A9CC"},{"label":"サミー公式・鬼99ゲームフローと50%上乗せ","url":"https://www.sammy.co.jp/japanese/product/pachinko/e_bak_mo_99/img/feature/fe_02.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"E85F89726BE1CFF9C1243D408040E7A9F9B4822ECFE8618A6E0E2FFE6CE50CAC"},{"label":"777パチガブ・鬼99の発生率、成功率、ループ率","url":"https://p-gabu.jp/guideworks/machinecontents/detail/7020","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"CFD96A36EF0267836EE4A069FC47B40AB242A4CAD94B544170F390EA4862D25D"}],"limitations":["公表された丸め確率による集約モデルです。血闘1回＋4個、特別ノ刻22回＋4個を分け、公表突破率26%・継続率79%を重ねて掛けません。","盛盛CHANCEは突入50%、初回成功50%、以後も50%で1500玉を上乗せします。失敗時は出玉を加えず特別ノ刻へ戻します。上乗せ告知のまとめ表示や演出時間は再現しません。","4500玉・7500玉の告知は1500玉3回分・5回分の合計として扱い、別の追加出玉として加算しません。超盛盛CHANCEを独立した上乗せ抽選として重ねません。","出玉は払い出し。賞球15から打込みだけを控除する実獲得率の目安は14/15です。V入賞と指定どおりの消化が条件。電サポ中の玉増減、ヘソ割込み、閉店・時間・コンプリート上限は除外します。","遊タイムはありません。実戦値ではなく、利益を保証する計算ではありません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1575.1059743104756,"max":1575.1059743104756},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":301.2,"max":301.2},"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"血闘ノ刻1回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.05780346820809246,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":43.35260115606934,"max":43.35260115606934}},{"id":"challenge-reserve","label":"血闘の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.21192780457715077,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.47109826589595377,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":149.75823184714847,"max":149.75823184714847}},{"id":"upper","label":"特別ノ刻22回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7301558371390922,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6100939514720377,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":668.1954898058435,"max":668.1954898058435}},{"id":"upper-reserve","label":"特別ノ刻の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.21192780457715077,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.16463029160147535,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":52.334604398995225,"max":52.334604398995225}},{"id":"mori","label":"盛盛CHANCE上乗せ抽選","group":"loop","gateProbability":0.5,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.4803533961365592,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":360.2650471024194,"max":360.2650471024194}}]}},{"id":"toaru2-light","slug":"toaru2-light","name":"Pとある魔術の禁書目録2 Light PREMIUM 2000 ver.","shortName":"禁書目録2 甘デジ","manufacturer":"JFJ","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-TOARU2-LIGHT-V1","headline":"甘デジの通常RUSHとLTを分けて収支を計算","answer":"初当りは200玉で、50%が70回のRUSHへ。RUSH中の2000玉当たりで162回のLTに進みます。1パチ・4円、交換率と自分の回転率に合わせて計算できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"200玉・通常へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":200},{"label":"200玉・最強激突へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"最強激突70回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":68,"spins":70},"outcomes":[{"label":"300玉（2回分）","probability":0.445,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1150玉（2回分）","probability":0.445,"rewardBalls":1150,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"2000玉（2回分）・LTへ","probability":0.11,"rewardBalls":2000,"nextState":"lt"}]},{"id":"lt","label":"最強領域162回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":68,"spins":162},"outcomes":[{"label":"300玉（2回分）","probability":0.445,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1150玉（2回分）","probability":0.445,"rewardBalls":1150,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"2000玉（2回分）・LTへ","probability":0.11,"rewardBalls":2000,"nextState":"lt"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/99.9・初当り200玉・RUSH突入50%"},{"label":"最強激突","value":"約1/68.0を70回・継続約65%"},{"label":"最強領域（LT）","value":"約1/68.0を162回・継続約91%"},{"label":"右打ちの出玉","value":"300玉44.5%・1150玉44.5%・2000玉11%（各2回分の払い出し）"}],"sources":[{"label":"必勝本・初当りと右打ちの振り分け","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/95695/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"3DA88EECFFB8987ABB565AE8F555844C1A5F2E56CC8D0A04A5DB39AF33F09D5E"},{"label":"JFJ公式・通常時とRUSH/LTのスペック表","url":"https://www.fujimarukun.co.jp/products/machine/p_toaru2ama/sp/img/09-pc.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"ECD2704CF613BE970FDC976C03D8C17D1B26C1B4320D53304248D051DFA6D387"},{"label":"JFJ公式・ゲームフロー","url":"https://www.fujimarukun.co.jp/products/machine/p_toaru2ama/sp/img/04-pc.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"547DEBD54F71BC6A92EEDF9078376D26152437B4FF9525C21DC3FB640A418340"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表の丸め確率による集約モデルです。通常時は特図1小当りからのV当り、右打ちは電チューロング開放確率を使用します。V入賞と指定どおりの消化が条件です。","70回・162回は公式の抽選回数をそのまま用い、残保留を追加しません。継続率65%・91%を重ねて掛けません。","300・1150・2000玉は特図2大当り2回分の合計です。2回セットを1回の報酬にまとめ、別の大当り出玉を足しません。LT突入前の累計出玉をLTの初期報酬へ加算しません。","出玉は払い出し。賞球10から打込みだけを控除する目安は90%です。電サポ中の玉増減、ヘソ割込み、時間・閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリート上限は再現しません。","遊タイムは非搭載です。実戦値ではなく、利益を保証するものではありません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1579.9567644124918,"max":1579.9567644124918},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":200,"max":200},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"最強激突70回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.645503215991647,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.1750822278436683,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":656.3088737547573,"max":656.3088737547573}},{"id":"lt","label":"最強領域162回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.9092860288866673,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.9197825677789748,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":723.6478906577347,"max":723.6478906577347}}]}},{"id":"momokyun-sword-99","slug":"momokyun-sword-99","name":"P モモキュンソード 速撃99ver.","shortName":"モモキュン速撃99","manufacturer":"ソフィア","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-MOMOKYUN99-V1","headline":"1回決着のRUSHと1000玉上乗せを分けて計算","answer":"初当りの約50%からRUSHへ。RUSHは1回転で決着し、当たりの30%で1000玉と時短100回を獲得します。上乗せの繰り返しも含め、自分の回転率・交換率で計算できます。1パチ・4円に対応します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"400玉・通常へ","probability":0.499,"rewardBalls":400},{"label":"400玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.499,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1000玉・神絶対無敵BONUSへ","probability":0.002,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"bonus"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"RUSH1回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":1.36,"spins":1},"outcomes":[{"label":"400玉・RUSH1回へ","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1000玉・時短100回へ","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"bonus"}]},{"id":"bonus","label":"神絶対無敵・時短100回","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":1.36,"spins":100},"outcomes":[{"label":"400玉・RUSH1回へ","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1000玉・時短100回へ","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"bonus"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時／右打ち","value":"約1/99.9／約1/1.36（大当り・小当り合算）"},{"label":"初当り","value":"400玉99.8%・1000玉0.2%、RUSH側50.1%"},{"label":"RUSH","value":"電サポ1回・当選約73.5%"},{"label":"右打ち当たり後","value":"400玉＋1回70%／1000玉＋100回30%"}],"sources":[{"label":"ソフィア公式・速撃99スペックと振り分け","url":"https://www.sophia-net.co.jp/machine/2026/mo7a/img/spec_01.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"2F6C4F8E1638A48F2FD0405C882A28B9596448C5353835AC8E16FE1DFF59567F"},{"label":"ソフィア公式・速撃99ゲームフロー","url":"https://www.sophia-net.co.jp/machine/2026/mo7a/img/gameflow_01.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"F5186DD138819ECBA35E63DC967E0E10DAE6CE4A220729078DB0544794009C08"},{"label":"777パチガブ・速撃99の1000玉上乗せループ","url":"https://p-gabu.jp/guideworks/machinecontents/detail/7030","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"08EB46E07911D1088A40FA05293E3D62DEB87897E96A85D00186F150E1D410DE"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表の丸め値で計算します。49.9%＋0.2%からRUSH側50.1%となり、公表の約50%と区別します。1/1.36を1回・100回で抽選し、トータル継続率81%を重ねて掛けません。","1000玉＋αは1000玉を払い出した後に時短100回へ進む構造です。次の当たりの30%で1000玉＋時短100回、70%で400玉＋RUSH1回へ戻ります。固定1400玉や別の上乗せ報酬を重ねて加えません。","時短100回の外れ確率は理論上ゼロではありませんが、公表分母を使う倍精度計算では成功率が1に丸められます。全体は70%の1回RUSH経路から終了する吸収モデルです。残保留の抽選回数は追加しません。","出玉は払い出し。賞球10から打込みだけを控除する目安は90%。V入賞と指定どおりの消化が条件で、電サポ中の玉増減、ヘソ割込み、時間・閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリート上限は再現しません。","速撃99ver.には遊タイムがありません。旧99シリーズや速撃3000+とは別機種です。実戦値ではなく利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1555.952380952381,"max":1555.952380952381},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":401.2,"max":401.2},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"RUSH1回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7352941176470588,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.892666666666666,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":807.1666666666664,"max":807.1666666666664}},{"id":"bonus","label":"神絶対無敵・時短100回","group":"loop","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5992857142857141,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":347.5857142857142,"max":347.5857142857142}}]}},{"id":"ring-ni-kakero1-129","slug":"ring-ni-kakero1-129","name":"Pリングにかけろ1 129ver.","shortName":"リングにかけろ129","manufacturer":"ニューギン","normalDenominator":129.77,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-RINKAKE129-V1","headline":"RUSHと最後の5回転を分けて期待値を計算","answer":"初当りの50%からK.O.RUSHへ。49回転と最後の5回転を突破するとLTへ進みます。LT中も最後の5回転では確率・出玉振り分けが変わるため、別々に計算。1パチ・4円、交換率と自分の回転率で確かめられます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"720玉・通常へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":720},{"label":"720玉・K.O.RUSHへ","probability":0.45,"rewardBalls":720,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1200玉・K.O.RUSHへ","probability":0.05,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"lower"}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"K.O.RUSH・49回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":129.77,"spins":49},"missNextState":"chance","outcomes":[{"label":"1200玉・LTへ","probability":0.704,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"出玉なし・LTへ","probability":0.296,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"upper"}]},{"id":"upper","label":"超K.O.RUSH・129回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":89.79,"spins":129},"missNextState":"chance","outcomes":[{"label":"2400玉（1200玉×2）・LT継続","probability":0.545,"rewardBalls":2400,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1200玉・LT継続","probability":0.195,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"480玉・LT継続","probability":0.055,"rewardBalls":480,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"出玉なし・STリセット","probability":0.205,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"upper"}]},{"id":"chance","label":"リンかけチャンス・最後1回＋残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":36.16,"spins":5},"outcomes":[{"label":"1200玉・LTへ","probability":0.895,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"480玉・LTへ","probability":0.022,"rewardBalls":480,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"出玉なし・LTへ","probability":0.083,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"upper"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時／RUSH突入","value":"約1/129.77／50%"},{"label":"K.O.RUSH","value":"49回・約1/129.77＋最後の5回転"},{"label":"超K.O.RUSH（LT）","value":"129回・約1/89.79＋最後の5回転"},{"label":"リンかけチャンス","value":"ラスト1回＋残保留4個・約1/36.16、成功でLT"}],"sources":[{"label":"ニューギン公式・129ver.スペックと振り分け","url":"https://www.newgin.co.jp/pub/machine/p-rinkake1_129/images/section1/sp/part2/part2-1/spec.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"02569DB165F5B31CFB74EB7D6361928D291489CD1546403A8EEF908817321AAA"},{"label":"ニューギン公式・ゲームフロー","url":"https://www.newgin.co.jp/pub/machine/p-rinkake1_129/images/section1/sp/part2/part2-2/flow.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"91289F13BDA05B218015475701D159E45232D61944FD457779872B32590CCC57"},{"label":"ニューギン公式・2段階RUSH","url":"https://www.newgin.co.jp/pub/machine/p-rinkake1_129/images/section1/sp/part2/part2-3/korush.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"66DC3277043D79D7D5F892A7909F40658E3653DF673BF4879F1AE3B1270F076A"},{"label":"777パチガブ・リンかけチャンスのLT移行と内訳","url":"https://p-gabu.jp/guideworks/machinecontents/detail/6963","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"BDFDAE97B2D9C2BE4D0121C0087F2C1DEF05387C2DA6385FFE4B3AE0CBBC2BDB"}],"limitations":["公表された丸め値による理論モデルです。大当り・小当り・STリセットを含む実質確率と条件付き振り分けを使います。内部の未丸め値は再現せず、利益を保証しません。","49回または129回で当たらなかった場合だけ、ラスト1回＋残保留4個の5回へ進みます。表示上の50回・130回にさらに5回を足しません。リンかけチャンス成功後はLTへ進みます。","出玉なしのSTリセットも成功に含み、0玉で次状態へ進みます。2400玉は1200玉×2回の合計払い出しで、別途1200玉を追加しません。最後の5回は2400玉振り分けを使いません。","出玉は払い出し。賞球12から打込みを控除するだけの目安は約91.67%。電サポ中の玉増減、ヘソ割込み、消化時間、資金枯渇、閉店・コンプリート上限は再現しません。V入賞と指定どおりの消化が条件です。","129ver.専用です。別スペックのリングにかけろと混同しないでください。遊タイムはなく、現在のハマり回数で次回の初当り確率は変わりません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2143.2440937582537,"max":2143.2440937582537},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":744,"max":744},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"K.O.RUSH・49回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.31549100113096973,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":133.2633988777216,"max":133.2633988777216}},{"id":"upper","label":"超K.O.RUSH・129回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7641939783304148,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.9881438704370854,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1184.351531201225,"max":1184.351531201225}},{"id":"chance","label":"リンかけチャンス・最後1回＋残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.13083501322199675,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5752647743594703,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":81.6291636793071,"max":81.6291636793071}}]}},{"id":"gifu-dodo3-99","slug":"gifu-dodo3-99","name":"PA義風堂々!!～兼続と慶次～3 99Ver.","shortName":"義風堂々3 99","manufacturer":"ニューギン","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-GIFUU99-V1","headline":"チャンスタイム突破とLT終了後の引き戻しまで計算","answer":"初当りの大半は1回転＋残保留4個のチャンスタイムへ。RUSHを経て1%でLTへ進み、LT終了後も残保留で引き戻す可能性があります。この流れを分け、1パチ・4円と自分の回転率・交換率で期待値を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"340玉・チャンスタイム","probability":0.99,"rewardBalls":340,"nextState":"chance"},{"label":"920玉・初回の次回保証","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":920,"nextState":"initial-long"}],"states":[{"id":"chance","label":"チャンスタイム1回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":7.73,"spins":1},"outcomes":[{"label":"920玉・LTへ","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":920,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"920玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.49,"rewardBalls":920,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"340玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":340,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"initial-long","label":"初回の次回保証500回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":7.73,"spins":500},"outcomes":[{"label":"920玉・LTへ","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":920,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"920玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.49,"rewardBalls":920,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"340玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":340,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"rush","label":"天衣無縫RUSH6回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":7.73,"spins":6},"outcomes":[{"label":"920玉・LTへ","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":920,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"920玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.49,"rewardBalls":920,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"340玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":340,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"lt","label":"天下無双モード500回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":7.73,"spins":500},"outcomes":[{"label":"920玉・LT継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":920,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"340玉・LT継続","probability":0.44,"rewardBalls":340,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"340玉・LT終了、残保留へ","probability":0.06,"rewardBalls":340,"nextState":"reserve"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・通常RUSH振分","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":7.73,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"920玉・LTへ","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":920,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"920玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.49,"rewardBalls":920,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"340玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":340,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時／右打ち","value":"約1/99.9／約1/7.73"},{"label":"初当り後","value":"99%は1回＋残保留4個、1%は次回保証500回"},{"label":"RUSH／LT","value":"RUSH6回＋残保留4個、右当り1%でLT"},{"label":"LTの継続と終了","value":"94%は500回、6%は出玉獲得後に残保留4個へ"}],"sources":[{"label":"ニューギン公式・99ver.基本スペック","url":"https://www.newgin.co.jp/pub/machine/gifuu3_99ver/img/pc/spec_04.png?250818","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"825820E62E8592D1C05C2C123F75614F5CA920B143BFD7133EBBB293839B4410"},{"label":"ニューギン公式・通常時/RUSH/LT振り分け","url":"https://www.newgin.co.jp/pub/machine/gifuu3_99ver/img/pc/spec_05.png?250818","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"633C0B63D6A6513361DEEF08177C903354B93BE0F7D32C1BA0D182F86E82A67E"},{"label":"一撃・その他入賞口込みの出玉定義","url":"https://1geki.jp/pachinko/p_gifudd3_99/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"566CC45455A1D9F7CABEB022A41391A77B7FE8F30A5CAAE6A6D09EC28D84DA12"},{"label":"777パチガブ・LT終了後の残保留振り分け","url":"https://p-gabu.jp/guideworks/machinecontents/detail/6923","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"34ADDA317C90247DE1CF837E960EBA3DB0EBB55E4DD2B1932FAD19D007FE330C"}],"limitations":["公表された丸め値による理論計算です。突入率50.5%やRUSH継続率75%を別途掛けず、1回・6回・500回と残保留4個から算出します。","初回1%の時短500回はLTではありません。次の当たりは通常RUSHの振り分けです。LT中6%の4R通常も340玉を獲得してから残保留へ進み、引き戻し時は通常RUSH振分（1%でLT）に戻ります。","920玉は10Rの760玉＋その他入賞口の目安160玉、340玉は4Rの280玉＋同60玉の合算払い出しです。固定の純増や全員が得る実測出玉ではありません。打込み・こぼしを含む実測値に合わせて出玉反映率を調整してください。","時短500回の外れは数学上ゼロではありませんが、倍精度の成功率は1へ丸められます。LT6%終了と残保留の外れにより、全体は終了するモデルです。","99Ver.専用で遊タイムはありません。V入賞と指定どおりの消化が条件です。ヘソ割込み、電サポ中の玉増減、時間・閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリート上限を再現せず、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1809.4140063598434,"max":1809.4140063598434},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":345.8,"max":345.8},"states":[{"id":"chance","label":"チャンスタイム1回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.12936610608020693,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.99,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":80.68564036222507,"max":80.68564036222507}},{"id":"initial-long","label":"初回の次回保証500回","group":"other","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.01,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":6.3,"max":6.3}},{"id":"rush","label":"天衣無縫RUSH6回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5644746666491467,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.9713984575459118,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":701.0668269081985,"max":701.0668269081985}},{"id":"lt","label":"天下無双モード500回","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.33188526221311626,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":209.08771519426324,"max":209.08771519426324}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・通常RUSH振分","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.4254308800898109,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.7404346411034233,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":466.4738238951568,"max":466.4738238951568}}]}},{"id":"sengoku-musou-100","slug":"sengoku-musou-100","name":"デカスタP戦国無双 100ver.","shortName":"戦国無双100","manufacturer":"ニューギン","normalDenominator":100.98,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-SENGOKU100-V1","introducedAt":"2026-05-07","headline":"RUSH25%の入口とLT終了後の残保留まで計算","answer":"初当たりの25%でRUSHまたはLTへ。通常RUSHの右当たり5%でLTに進みます。LTを抜けた残保留4個は通常RUSHの振り分けに戻るため、この違いも含めて1パチ・4円の期待値を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"250玉・通常へ","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":250},{"label":"250玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.24,"rewardBalls":250,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1000玉・LTへ","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lt"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"戦国RUSH60回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":40.23,"spins":60},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・LTへ","probability":0.05,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1000玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"lt","label":"超戦国RUSH105回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":40.23,"spins":105},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・LT継続","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"300玉・LT継続","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・通常RUSH振分","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":40.23,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・LTへ","probability":0.05,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1000玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時／右打ち","value":"約1/100.98／約1/40.23"},{"label":"初当たり後","value":"24%はRUSH、1%はLT、75%は通常へ"},{"label":"RUSH／LT","value":"60回／105回＋各残保留4個"},{"label":"払い出し","value":"初回250または1000玉、右300または1000玉"}],"sources":[{"label":"ニューギン公式・100ver.専用スペック図","url":"https://www.newgin.co.jp/pub/machine/sengokumuso2025/images/section4/content_100ver--pc.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"84CBD88FCE245C835A083D59A2156515201A344B7DD1ABF5ABA80AD83744E8AA"},{"label":"必勝本・アタッカー賞球と残保留数","url":"https://p.hisshobon.jp/machine/4745/1/115266","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"B959DF719407B0DA02C851491598F47C0F8A795586E56FCDE6BF7502F74D894E"},{"label":"必勝本・LT終了後の残保留振分","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/101810/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"3543CEB03AEF8B2EBB97C68532E4C18F57A1542CF8C06076AB6A1D0A96F20BF1"}],"limitations":["100ver.専用。メーカー公表の丸め値を使い、60回・105回・残保留4個から当選率を計算します。継続率80%や94%を重ねて掛けません。遊タイムは非搭載です。","LT105回を外れた後の残保留は、5%LT・95%通常RUSHの振り分けです。LT継続として扱いません。ヘソ残保留の割り込みと入賞順は追跡しません。","上アタッカー5Rは5個賞球×10個×5Rで250玉、下アタッカーは10個賞球で3R300玉・10R1000玉です。払い出しであり手取りではありません。アタッカーごとの実獲得率の違いを個別追跡せず、全出玉へ同じ補正率を適用します。","V入賞と指定どおりの消化が条件です。右打ち玉増減、閉店、遊技時間、資金枯渇、コンプリートによる打切りは再現せず、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":964.5759953532875,"max":964.5759953532875},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":257.5,"max":257.5},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"戦国RUSH60回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7791504424669088,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0205954625792568,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":377.71876796796505,"max":377.71876796796505}},{"id":"lt","label":"超戦国RUSH105回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.928850978183289,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.7179855802697693,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":316.77826406365904,"max":316.77826406365904}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・通常RUSH振分","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.09578209561324125,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.2764820280456072,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":12.578963321663418,"max":12.578963321663418}}]}},{"id":"zatoichi-lt99","slug":"zatoichi-lt99","name":"P真・座頭市物語 LT99ver.","shortName":"座頭市LT99","manufacturer":"ニューギン","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-ZATO99-V1","headline":"初回20回・RUSH51回・LT130回を分けて計算","answer":"初当たり後は99.5%が20回の突破チャレンジ、0.5%がRUSHへ進みます。各状態の残保留4個と、LT終了後は通常RUSHの振り分けに戻る違いも含めて、1パチ・4円の期待値を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.005,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"400玉・突破チャレンジへ","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"chance"},{"label":"200玉・突破チャレンジへ","probability":0.795,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"chance"}],"states":[{"id":"chance","label":"激闘の鼓動20回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":46.64,"spins":20},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・LTへ","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1000玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.195,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.705,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"rush","label":"竜騰虎闘モード51回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":46.64,"spins":51},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・LTへ","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1000玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.195,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.705,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"lt","label":"神速一閃モード130回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":46.64,"spins":130},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・LT継続","probability":0.295,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"300玉・LT継続","probability":0.705,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・通常RUSH振分","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":46.64,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・LTへ","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1000玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.195,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300玉・RUSHへ","probability":0.705,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時／右打ち","value":"約1/99.90／約1/46.64"},{"label":"初当たり後","value":"99.5%は突破チャレンジ、0.5%はRUSH"},{"label":"チャレンジ／RUSH／LT","value":"20回／51回／130回＋各残保留4個"},{"label":"払い出し","value":"初回200・400・1000玉、右300・1000玉"}],"sources":[{"label":"ニューギン公式・LT99基本スペック","url":"https://www.newgin.co.jp/pub/machine/shinzatouichi/images/spec99/img2.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"3FA8AA1540485992C9D45066FE6D4C774DE639753ED06CCF55DF6DDD8217BB82"},{"label":"ニューギン公式・LT99振り分けと残保留","url":"https://www.newgin.co.jp/pub/machine/shinzatouichi/images/spec99/img3.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"6341CE218B9EF146A8C2D06707B862E3E4F8A441DF700ABB1C7C3B129CE87099"},{"label":"必勝本・LT終了後の残保留振り分け","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/98813/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"38F4EE37EB210586FE7781CBF4F4556823D77D8BB01AFA34D8FCC0DDF422F3A7"}],"limitations":["LT99ver.専用です。メーカー公表の丸め値から20回・51回・130回と残保留4個の当選率を計算します。公称突破率・継続率を重ねて掛けません。","LT130回の後の残保留は10%LT・90%通常RUSHの振り分けです。初回0.5%はLT直行ではありません。ヘソ残保留の割り込みと入賞順は追跡しません。","出玉は払い出しであり手取りではありません。全出玉に共通の実獲得率補正を適用します。V入賞と指定どおりの消化が条件です。","右打ち玉増減、閉店、遊技時間、資金枯渇、コンプリートによる打切りは再現せず、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1698.0032833962114,"max":1698.0032833962114},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":244,"max":244},"states":[{"id":"chance","label":"激闘の鼓動20回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.35175096356059743,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.9950000000000001,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":177.27105372822544,"max":177.27105372822544}},{"id":"rush","label":"竜騰虎闘モード51回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6689132553355845,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0088536847743046,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":341.8042326356978,"max":341.8042326356978}},{"id":"lt","label":"神速一閃モード130回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.9402521586159701,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.8668339428588863,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":889.0567374648942,"max":889.0567374648942}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・通常RUSH振分","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.08304425469804355,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0905651719000864,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":45.87125956739377,"max":45.87125956739377}}]}},{"id":"ghost-in-the-shell-2045-lt99","slug":"ghost-in-the-shell-2045-lt99","name":"P攻殻機動隊SAC_2045 LT99ver.","shortName":"攻殻機動隊LT99","manufacturer":"ディ・ライト","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-KOUKAKU99-CANDIDATE-V1","headline":"初回と連チャン後で異なるRUSH確率を計算","answer":"初回64回は1/94、連チャン後64回とLT155回は1/69です。残保留抽選のない普電タイプとして、1パチ・4円の期待値を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"200玉・通常","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":200},{"label":"200玉・初回RUSH","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"first"}],"states":[{"id":"first","label":"初回RUSH64回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":94,"spins":64},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・LT","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1500玉・RUSH","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"200玉・RUSH","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"rush","label":"連チャン後RUSH64回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":69,"spins":64},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・LT","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1500玉・RUSH","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"200玉・RUSH","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"lt","label":"LT155回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":69,"spins":155},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500玉・LT継続","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"200玉・LT継続","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"lt"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"初回／以後／LT","value":"1/94×64回／1/69×64回／1/69×155回"}],"sources":[{"label":"メーカー公式・LT99機種説明書","url":"https://daiichi777.jp/images/upload/actual_product/koukaku-LT99_pdf_1.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"C4F807A895153FEF1964B3B6331C3AF44E8AD68205EBFCA3862A3AF957BB7A66"},{"label":"必勝本・普電タイプのST、残保留抽選なし","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/101149/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"F2BC659B9B05108482B4639BBD833477C3A3FF26059C9A42EB3639255E0648CC"}],"limitations":["普電タイプのSTで残保留抽選はありません。メーカー公表の64回・155回を使い、継続率50%・61%・90%を重ねて掛けません。遊タイムは非搭載です。","200玉と1500玉はメーカー公表の総払い出しです。単純な下アタッカー賞球×ラウンド数へ置き換えません。","公表概数による計算です。V入賞が条件で、右打ち玉増減・閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリート打切りは追跡せず、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1656.010385328937,"max":1656.010385328937},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":200,"max":200},"states":[{"id":"first","label":"初回RUSH64回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.49565690752554326,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":275.0895836766765,"max":275.0895836766765}},{"id":"rush","label":"連チャン後RUSH64回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.607148327867133,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.38551420880733045,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":259.8113810434945,"max":259.8113810434945}},{"id":"lt","label":"LT155回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.895942735405779,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.9262068590565768,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":921.109420608766,"max":921.109420608766}}]}},{"id":"shin-ultraman-79","slug":"shin-ultraman-79","name":"e シン・ウルトラマン 79ver.","shortName":"シン・ウルトラマン79","manufacturer":"オッケー.","normalDenominator":79.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-ULTRA79-V1","headline":"1回転の突破と1回転の継続を分けて計算","answer":"初当たり500玉の後、約1/3.1のバトルを突破するとゼットンATTACKへ。以後は約1/1.26の1回転勝負として計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"500玉・バトルへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":500,"nextState":"battle"}],"states":[{"id":"battle","label":"ウルトラバトルモード1回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":3.1,"spins":1},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・ゼットンATTACK","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300玉・ゼットンATTACK","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"rush","label":"ゼットンATTACK1回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":1.26,"spins":1},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000玉・ゼットンATTACK","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300玉・ゼットンATTACK","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/79.9"},{"label":"初当たり","value":"500玉、バトル突入100%"},{"label":"バトル／ゼットンATTACK","value":"約1/3.1／約1/1.26、各1回"},{"label":"右打ち払い出し","value":"1000玉30%／300玉70%"}],"sources":[{"label":"オッケー公式・79ver.スペックとゲームフロー","url":"https://www.ok777.co.jp/lineup/shin_ultraman_79/_nuxt/assets202609021243/images/img_2-Cz-pNngC.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"E893BD9C96040DC732E11CDA1A004FB92ADCD0139574A9A42AEE4B1ABF82EF98"},{"label":"ちょんぼりすた・公表確率と出玉振り分け照合","url":"https://chonborista.com/pachinko/kyoraku/268395/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"21A268E6B25D34386274D745C079D151590A713D758BA1B462EB4DFF11F28E0A"},{"label":"パチンコスペック解析・普図1回と残保留なし（確率表記に相違あり）","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/171866/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","sha256":"7D47A70EDA4607997A5FB9C48D21EB0BC43A8DD409E5F3A000360A42C6BBC94E"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表の丸め分母を使用します。約33%・約80%を重ねて掛けません。演出の3ATTACKを3回の独立抽選として扱いません。","普図1回の当選から出玉獲得までを1つの実質当選として扱い、残保留抽選は加えません。普図当選後の特図・V入賞の内部過程は個別抽選しません。","一部の二次資料には継続確率1/1.3とありますが、現行メーカー公式と照合資料の1/1.26を採用しています。非公表の厳密値を断定するモデルではありません。","出玉は払い出しでV入賞が条件です。右打ち玉増減・閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリートを追跡せず、利益を保証しません。Pスキップによる時間短縮も計算外です。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1297.270471464019,"max":1297.270471464019},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":500,"max":500},"states":[{"id":"battle","label":"ウルトラバトルモード1回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.32258064516129026,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":164.51612903225802,"max":164.51612903225802}},{"id":"rush","label":"ゼットンATTACK1回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7936507936507936,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.5632754342431747,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":632.7543424317611,"max":632.7543424317611}}]}},{"id":"konosuba-final-49","slug":"konosuba-final-49","name":"P【超甘LT】この素晴らしい世界に祝福を！ 最終クエスト1／49","shortName":"このすば 最終クエスト49","manufacturer":"豊丸産業","normalDenominator":49.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-KONOSUBA49-V1","headline":"RUSH最終回転と残保留のLT振り分けも計算","answer":"初当たり後は6回転＋残保留4個のチャレンジへ。このすばRUSHは33回転＋残保留4個ですが、最後の1回転と残保留はLT突入割合が10%に変わります。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"200玉・チャレンジ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"challenge"}],"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"チャレンジ6回＋残4","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":25.1,"spins":10},"outcomes":[{"label":"490玉・祝福RUSH","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"200〜220玉・このすばRUSH","probability":0.9,"rewardBalls":{"min":200,"max":220},"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"rush","label":"このすばRUSH先頭32回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":25.1,"spins":32},"missNextState":"last","outcomes":[{"label":"490玉・祝福RUSH","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"490玉・RUSH継続","probability":0.09,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"200〜220玉・RUSH継続","probability":0.9,"rewardBalls":{"min":200,"max":220},"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"last","label":"RUSH最終1回＋残4","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":25.1,"spins":5},"outcomes":[{"label":"490玉・祝福RUSH","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"200〜220玉・このすばRUSH","probability":0.9,"rewardBalls":{"min":200,"max":220},"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"lt","label":"祝福RUSH・実質次回まで","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"実質次回を当選保証で近似"},"outcomes":[{"label":"490玉・LT継続","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"200〜220玉・LT継続","probability":0.87,"rewardBalls":{"min":200,"max":220},"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"220玉・このすばRUSHへ","probability":0.03,"rewardBalls":220,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時／右打ち","value":"約1/49.9／約1/25.1"},{"label":"チャレンジ","value":"6回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"このすばRUSH","value":"33回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"祝福RUSH","value":"97%継続、3%でこのすばRUSHへ"}],"sources":[{"label":"豊丸公式・全状態振り分けと最終回転の注記","url":"https://www.toyomaru.jp/machine/upload/pkonosuba49_hp_material.webp","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","kind":"manufacturer-page","sha256":"BD836BCAEC1A651FB613FC158272D0ED9CC403D8CD9A123DEB4EFC68C01FE336"},{"label":"なな徹・出玉とLT終了時の移行先","url":"https://nana-press.com/kaiseki/machine/1079/33189/","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","kind":"secondary-page","sha256":"2A4826AF303A364A6B771AC68EF66189DDB33CA4D6C6D235FC9E7F251C3D2DD7"},{"label":"P-WORLD・最終変動と残保留の振り分け照合","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10377","checkedAt":"2026-09-07","kind":"secondary-page","sha256":"FD1E02108F7910C40E2CA9919467867FDE7267DDA910C57690DE21C0BDF85DC3"}],"limitations":["公表分母の丸め値を使用し、33%・78%を重ねて掛けません。祝福RUSHの実質次回を当選保証として近似します。","4Rの200玉と220玉の内訳比率は推測せず、該当当たりを全て200玉とする下限と全て220玉とする上限を計算します。この幅は信頼区間ではありません。LT終了3%は220玉で固定です。","P-WORLDの説明文には50回転という表記もありますが、メーカー公式と同サイトのスペック表が一致する33回転を採用しています。","出玉は設計上の払い出しで、小当たり経由はV入賞が条件です。右打ち玉増減・閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリートを追跡せず、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":941.3637839995997,"max":998.5177900749323},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":200,"max":200},"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"チャレンジ6回＋残4","group":"other","gateProbability":0.33406289937730804,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":76.50040395740355,"max":82.5135361461951}},{"id":"rush","label":"このすばRUSH先頭32回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7277384736022432,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.5035759332208603,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":250.57410250047278,"max":270.26988348304263}},{"id":"last","label":"RUSH最終1回＋残4","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.18395030750407615,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.40936587863364304,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":17.244382249700703,"max":18.599835876314735}},{"id":"lt","label":"祝福RUSH・実質次回まで","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.7292896136412141,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":397.0448952920228,"max":427.13453456937987}}]}},{"id":"no-game-no-life-199","slug":"no-game-no-life-199","name":"e ノーゲーム・ノーライフ 199Ver.","shortName":"ノゲノラ199","manufacturer":"高尾","normalDenominator":199.8,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-NOGENORA-199-V1","headline":"初回300個・RUSH突入50%・残保留当たりは下位へ","answer":"199Ver.の初当たりは300個、RUSH突入は50%です。残保留で当たると上位LTから下位RUSHへ戻る分岐まで含め、1パチ・4円の回転率と交換率でボーダー・収支目安を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300},{"label":"300個・下位RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lower"}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"ノゲノラッシュ・電サポ10回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":17.7,"spins":10},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・上位LTへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"upper","label":"ノゲノラッシュHYPER・電サポ32回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":17.7,"spins":32},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・上位LT継続","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・当たれば下位へ","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":17.7,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・下位RUSHへ戻る","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/199.8"},{"label":"初回払い出し","value":"300個"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"50%"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"約1/17.7・1500個"},{"label":"下位／上位","value":"10回／32回＋各残保留4個"},{"label":"残保留での当たり","value":"下位RUSHへ戻る"}],"sources":[{"label":"高尾公式：199・319スペック","url":"https://www.takao.gr.jp/sp/special/no-game-no-life/img/spec/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"66F994CAA636A661B07E2C205611B7236D0ADCC5E855C6FEFCA5627C83C6276E"},{"label":"高尾公式：ゲームフロー・残保留注記","url":"https://www.takao.gr.jp/sp/special/no-game-no-life/img/flow/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"42E23C1E295B476386673B3B134C05176B6137C7419123F67249CC0520222C36"},{"label":"高尾公式：RUSHと残保留","url":"https://www.takao.gr.jp/sp/special/no-game-no-life/img/rush/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"D3F2D3228D8AA4B6A554D771C13873263FF735D6838FEAB549E4219F764566E6"},{"label":"P-WORLD：199の特図1・特図2振り分け","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10329","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"7517DD11AA2CC4973582B4DCFEEA2F038AF8D63705837A469CA18892B5162F8D"},{"label":"パチンコスペック解析：199の状態別振り分け","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/161619/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"432C671A526A550E6D7F6873A08B1D033C8011EDEB21B1E7E8B2EB64D6BF1A3E"}],"limitations":["公表値の約1/17.7を各右打ち抽選に使う近似です。大当たり・小当たりを合算し、内部確率の端数は再現しません。199と319は初回出玉と突入率が異なり、119Ver.のモデルではありません。","319の通常時分母はメーカー公表の319.6を採用しています。二次資料の319.69や実測シミュレート値は代入していません。","電サポ10回または32回の当たりは上位へ進み、外れた後の残保留4個は下位へ戻ります。残保留を上位継続として扱いません。残保留が4個ある条件で、ヘソ残保留と消化順の影響は除外します。","V入賞を完了したときの払い出し玉数です。実獲得率で削りを調整してください。V入賞失敗、閉店、消化時間、コンプリート上限を含めません。通常時の回転数による救済はモデルにありません。","初当たり後のRUSHを終了まで消化する条件の長期平均です。短期の利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3180.0363111715897,"max":3180.0363111715897},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"ノゲノラッシュ・電サポ10回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.4409739476136586,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6309532550488883,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":417.3509214578938,"max":417.3509214578938}},{"id":"upper","label":"ノゲノラッシュHYPER・電サポ32回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8444813229651223,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.7890709523988382,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2266.2555071403635,"max":2266.2555071403635}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・当たれば下位へ","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.20754826764265077,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6309532550488883,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":196.42988257333258,"max":196.42988257333258}}]}},{"id":"no-game-no-life-319","slug":"no-game-no-life-319","name":"e ノーゲーム・ノーライフ 319Ver.","shortName":"ノゲノラ319","manufacturer":"高尾","normalDenominator":319.6,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-NOGENORA-319-V1","headline":"初回1500個・RUSH突入60%・残保留当たりは下位へ","answer":"319Ver.の初当たりは1500個、RUSH突入は60%です。残保留で当たると上位LTから下位RUSHへ戻る分岐まで含め、1パチ・4円の回転率と交換率でボーダー・収支目安を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1500個・通常へ","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":1500},{"label":"1500個・下位RUSHへ","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"ノゲノラッシュ・電サポ10回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":17.7,"spins":10},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・上位LTへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"upper","label":"ノゲノラッシュHYPER・電サポ32回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":17.7,"spins":32},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・上位LT継続","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・当たれば下位へ","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":17.7,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・下位RUSHへ戻る","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/319.6"},{"label":"初回払い出し","value":"1500個"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"60%"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"約1/17.7・1500個"},{"label":"下位／上位","value":"10回／32回＋各残保留4個"},{"label":"残保留での当たり","value":"下位RUSHへ戻る"}],"sources":[{"label":"高尾公式：199・319スペック","url":"https://www.takao.gr.jp/sp/special/no-game-no-life/img/spec/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"66F994CAA636A661B07E2C205611B7236D0ADCC5E855C6FEFCA5627C83C6276E"},{"label":"高尾公式：ゲームフロー・残保留注記","url":"https://www.takao.gr.jp/sp/special/no-game-no-life/img/flow/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"42E23C1E295B476386673B3B134C05176B6137C7419123F67249CC0520222C36"},{"label":"高尾公式：RUSHと残保留","url":"https://www.takao.gr.jp/sp/special/no-game-no-life/img/rush/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"D3F2D3228D8AA4B6A554D771C13873263FF735D6838FEAB549E4219F764566E6"},{"label":"P-WORLD：319の特図1・特図2振り分け","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10328","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"F0D0833A0CD6BC10654F926F5B24338900456E036E5BAA8ABA053253CE0BB304"},{"label":"パチンコスペック解析：319の状態別振り分け","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/161625/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"E4683F68CD394D89AB2304AFC395660F0B55CCDFC1AE30E3404464BC484C23CC"}],"limitations":["公表値の約1/17.7を各右打ち抽選に使う近似です。大当たり・小当たりを合算し、内部確率の端数は再現しません。199と319は初回出玉と突入率が異なり、119Ver.のモデルではありません。","319の通常時分母はメーカー公表の319.6を採用しています。二次資料の319.69や実測シミュレート値は代入していません。","電サポ10回または32回の当たりは上位へ進み、外れた後の残保留4個は下位へ戻ります。残保留を上位継続として扱いません。残保留が4個ある条件で、ヘソ残保留と消化順の影響は除外します。","V入賞を完了したときの払い出し玉数です。実獲得率で削りを調整してください。V入賞失敗、閉店、消化時間、コンプリート上限を含めません。通常時の回転数による救済はモデルにありません。","初当たり後のRUSHを終了まで消化する条件の長期平均です。短期の利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":4956.043573405907,"max":4956.043573405907},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":1500,"max":1500},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"ノゲノラッシュ・電サポ10回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.4409739476136586,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.757143906058666,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":500.82110574947257,"max":500.82110574947257}},{"id":"upper","label":"ノゲノラッシュHYPER・電サポ32回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8444813229651223,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.146885142878606,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2719.5066085684366,"max":2719.5066085684366}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・当たれば下位へ","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.20754826764265077,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.757143906058666,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":235.7158590879991,"max":235.7158590879991}}]}},{"id":"highschool-of-the-dead3","slug":"highschool-of-the-dead3","name":"e 学園黙示録ハイスクール・オブ・ザ・デッド3","shortName":"HOTD3","manufacturer":"高尾","normalDenominator":299.2,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-HOTD3-V1","headline":"初回660個・下位47回＋残4から上位80回＋残4へ","answer":"HOTD3は初当たりの49.5%で下位RUSH、0.5%で上位LTへ入ります。残保留での当たりも上位へ進む分岐と、360〜1200個の出玉振り分けを含め、自分の回転率・交換率で1パチと4円の期待値を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"660個・通常へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":660},{"label":"660個・奴RUSHへ","probability":0.495,"rewardBalls":660,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"660個・奴RUSH SUPERへ直行","probability":0.005,"rewardBalls":660,"nextState":"upper"}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"奴RUSH・47回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":32.4,"spins":47},"outcomes":[{"label":"3R・360個","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":360,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"6R・720個","probability":0.03,"rewardBalls":720,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"7R・840個","probability":0.06,"rewardBalls":840,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"8R・960個","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":960,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"10R・1200個","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"upper","label":"奴RUSH SUPER・80回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":32.4,"spins":80},"outcomes":[{"label":"3R・360個","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":360,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"6R・720個","probability":0.03,"rewardBalls":720,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"7R・840個","probability":0.06,"rewardBalls":840,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"8R・960個","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":960,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"10R・1200個","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・当たりは上位へ","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":32.4,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"3R・360個","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":360,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"6R・720個","probability":0.03,"rewardBalls":720,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"7R・840個","probability":0.06,"rewardBalls":840,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"8R・960個","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":960,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"10R・1200個","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"upper"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/299.2"},{"label":"右打ち合算","value":"約1/32.4"},{"label":"初回","value":"660個・RUSH突入50%"},{"label":"下位／上位","value":"47回／80回＋各残保留4個"},{"label":"右払い出し","value":"360個50%・1200個40%・720〜960個10%"},{"label":"残保留の当たり","value":"奴RUSH SUPERへ"}],"sources":[{"label":"高尾公式：HOTD3スペック","url":"https://takao.gr.jp/special/hotd3/img/spec/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"6C652EA2D625CD0A386DE0D3F830ADDD45FE65F4286817C2558D4228F4177A32"},{"label":"高尾公式：ゲームフロー","url":"https://takao.gr.jp/special/hotd3/img/flow/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"9F30169A766418F3FEF37FD1B2368F4FB8D90063285519802AC17071353C9344"},{"label":"高尾公式：RUSH中の大当たり","url":"https://takao.gr.jp/special/hotd3/img/rush/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"BF7CC6CCECFA6AB430EBE95640CBF8DAEDD4BA42B6FE2E5F652B4A57FDE1019A"},{"label":"パチンコスペック解析：残保留と6〜8R内訳","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/169050/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"E405F1C8A27AC4095C04E2C606A20D09A46ECE31703E587B6B0C52BD9D328C4B"},{"label":"P-WORLD：HOTD3の初回・右打ち振り分け","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10457","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"849C0FA06E76F00438AAE32130D0E381A091DCEB1B2E74AEF0C5BB185E50FD3E"}],"limitations":["通常299.2・右合算32.4はメーカーの公表値を使う近似です。二次資料の299.25・36.47やシミュレート値へ置き換えず、内部確率の端数は再現しません。","メーカーが合計10%とする720〜960個の内訳は、二次資料で確認した720個3%・840個6%・960個1%です。一種・二種、下位・上位・残保留の全表で同じ割合と上位移行を確認しました。メーカー単独で内訳まで確認したモデルではありません。","残保留4個を持つ条件です。残保留の当たりも上位へ進み、ノゲノラの下位復帰モデルとは異なります。ヘソ残保留・V入賞失敗・閉店・消化時間・コンプリート上限は除外します。","払い出しは実獲得ではありません。初回と右でアタッカー賞球が異なりますが、実獲得率は共通の入力値を掛ける近似です。削りの差が大きい台では実測値との誤差が出ます。","通常時の回転数による救済は含めません。期待値はRUSHを終了まで消化する長期平均であり、短期の利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":4785.480236694554,"max":4785.480236694554},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":660,"max":660},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"奴RUSH・47回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7708720973640917,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.495,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":282.98097996557914,"max":282.98097996557914}},{"id":"upper","label":"奴RUSH SUPER・80回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.9185725134791756,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":5.5679453029861845,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":3792.958817209162,"max":3792.958817209162}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・当たりは上位へ","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.11785789532029634,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5668021029123699,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":49.54043951981354,"max":49.54043951981354}}]}},{"id":"oda-nobuna-hairun-start","slug":"oda-nobuna-hairun-start","name":"P入るんスタート×織田信奈の野望","shortName":"入るんスタート織田信奈","manufacturer":"高尾","normalDenominator":249.1,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-HAIRUN-V1","headline":"C時短は出玉0個。激戦ゾーンからの引き戻しも計算","answer":"初当たり750個の後は激戦ゾーンへ。突破時の約82.8%は出玉なしのC時短なので、継続率だけを1500個に掛けると期待値を過大評価します。公表突破率を使う近似モデルで、下位・上位RUSHと引き戻しを分け、1パチ・4円を自分の回転率で計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"5R・750個→激戦ゾーン","probability":1,"rewardBalls":750,"nextState":"zone"}],"states":[{"id":"zone","label":"激戦ゾーン・1回＋残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.305,"note":"公表突破率30.5%（大当たりとC時短を含む）の近似。1変動の排他確率を逆算しません。"},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R・1500個→上位","probability":0.057,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"10R・1500個→下位","probability":0.115,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"C時短・出玉0個→下位","probability":0.828,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"lower"}]},{"id":"lower","label":"関ヶ原乱舞・35回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.347,"note":"公表のRUSH本体継続率34.7%。激戦ゾーンの引き戻しは別状態で計算。"},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R・1500個→上位","probability":0.33,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"10R・1500個→下位","probability":0.67,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"}],"missNextState":"zone"},{"id":"upper","label":"関ヶ原乱舞・極・155回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.849,"note":"公表のLT本体継続率84.9%。激戦ゾーン当選での下位復帰を含めます。"},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R・1500個→上位継続","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"zone"}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/249.1"},{"label":"初回","value":"750個→激戦ゾーン100%"},{"label":"激戦ゾーン","value":"突破約30.5%・突破時C時短82.8%"},{"label":"RUSH／LT本体","value":"35回／155回・継続約34.7%／84.9%"},{"label":"引き戻し","value":"本体終了後は激戦ゾーン1＋残4"},{"label":"右払い出し","value":"大当たり1500個／C時短0個"}],"sources":[{"label":"高尾公式：スペック","url":"https://takao.gr.jp/special/hairun-oda-nobuna/img/spec/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"A4F510D749BF9D6287648763386C2483C2FE40C1533C1D73E1C3437FD4E99AA2"},{"label":"高尾公式：ゲームフロー","url":"https://takao.gr.jp/special/hairun-oda-nobuna/img/flow/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"116D4EA38FBBA9ADFDEFDCCFBA604C5A3C02BF439CB2CF068D563E131B7F446C"},{"label":"高尾公式：機種の特徴","url":"https://takao.gr.jp/special/hairun-oda-nobuna/img/feature/key.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"D56B969572A5A11582E457DBF85DDCA8D9BF3F232962DEAA20E38A6ACB6BE3A0"},{"label":"P-WORLD：激戦ゾーンの当選内訳","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10476","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"8152AC6F1088B4179C4E431800C42E51834E82C144801B926C815C9FE278B388"},{"label":"777パチガブ：電サポ36／156回と本体継続率","url":"https://p-gabu.jp/guideworks/machinecontents/detail/7099","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"6C8A7C1B4B7983A5FA00372D172B4F8D925DA01DA3509A1C21F96DBC9FF31F87"}],"limitations":["公表された30.5%・34.7%・84.9%と当選振り分けを使う集約モデルです。内部確率や1回転ごとの抽選順序を再現したモデルではなく、丸めによる誤差があります。","激戦ゾーン突破時の1500個・上位5.7%、1500個・下位11.5%、C時短・下位82.8%はP-WORLDの二次資料で補完しています。メーカー単独で全内訳まで確認した値ではありません。","RUSH本体35／155回の後に激戦ゾーン1回＋残保留4個が続く構成です。パチガブの電サポ36／156回と整合します。一部解析資料の最終変動の区分とは数え方が異なるため、その区分を混在させて回数を増減していません。","上位終了後の激戦ゾーンでは、C時短や一部大当たりで下位へ戻ります。公表の継続約90%を上位1500個の単純ループには置き換えていません。残保留4個を持つ条件です。","払い出しは実獲得ではありません。削りは入力した共通の実獲得率で近似します。ヘソ残保留、V入賞失敗、消化時間、閉店、コンプリート上限は含みません。通常時の天井救済は含めず、短期の利益も保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1875.5622974906746,"max":1875.5622974906746},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":750,"max":750},"states":[{"id":"zone","label":"激戦ゾーン・1回＋残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.305,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.4388489208633095,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":113.22302158273382,"max":113.22302158273382}},{"id":"lower","label":"関ヶ原乱舞・35回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.347,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5391910624931281,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":280.64894802767316,"max":280.64894802767316}},{"id":"upper","label":"関ヶ原乱舞・極・155回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.849,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.574550708975475,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":731.6903278802674,"max":731.6903278802674}}]}},{"id":"queens-blade-nanael-79","slug":"queens-blade-nanael-79","name":"Pクイーンズブレイド奈落ナナエル79Ver.","shortName":"ナナエル79","manufacturer":"高尾","normalDenominator":79.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-NANAEL79-V1","headline":"RUSHは3000個で継続、600個で終了。初回33%を分けて計算","answer":"ナナエル79は初当たり120個の33%からRUSHへ進みます。右打ちは50%で3000個セットと継続、残り50%も600個を受け取って終了する構成です。終了時の出玉まで含め、1パチ・4円の期待値を自分の回転率と交換率で計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"2R・120個→RUSH","probability":0.33,"rewardBalls":120,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"2R・120個→通常","probability":0.67,"rewardBalls":120}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"QUEEN’S BLADE・1回決着","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"公表右1/1を採用。V入賞・セットを最後まで消化する条件。"},"outcomes":[{"label":"600個×5回・3000個→RUSH継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"10R・600個→通常","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":600}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/79.9"},{"label":"初回","value":"120個・突入33%"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"1/1・1回決着"},{"label":"継続","value":"3000個（600個×5回）・50%"},{"label":"終了","value":"600個・50%"},{"label":"遊タイム","value":"非搭載"}],"sources":[{"label":"高尾公式：商品ページ下部のナナエル79表","url":"https://www.takao.gr.jp/product/2025/qb-naraku.html","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"9FFA21A885716BF9E79DB7EC1770234EBA49F18EEA0B81529CA2D7E656EBFD2C"},{"label":"P-WORLD：初回と右打ちの大当たり割合","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10437","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"6287508CA7E5FD1988B4B0ABDFF2B7ABD26C4A8AA1B7C73CFD9CF4AA3C56858C"},{"label":"なな徹：特図1・特図2の出玉と移行先","url":"https://nana-press.com/kaiseki/machine/1133/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"7AF2664110FB98958C933135701DD4BCB242210999B5CC003C197CCA3CD85145"}],"limitations":["初回120個・2Rと、右3000個で継続／600個で終了する内訳はP-WORLD・なな徹で補完しました。メーカー単独で全振り分けを確認したモデルではありません。","公式商品表には小当たり1/1012とありますが、同じ表の合算1/1と整合しません。二次資料では1/1.012です。本モデルは公表合算1/1を使い、内部確率をこれらの丸め値から逆算しません。","3000個は600個の当たり5回の合計です。セットをまとめた状態モデルなので、セット途中の時間や閉店打ち切りは再現しません。V入賞を満たし、RUSH終了まで消化する条件です。","右600個終了は資料の通常復帰として扱い、資料にない残保留の追加抽選を加えていません。ヘソ残保留、V入賞失敗、コンプリート上限は対象外です。","払い出しと実獲得は異なります。削りは入力した実獲得率で近似します。通常79.9や振り分けは公表値で、内部確率の端数は再現せず、短期の利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1308,"max":1308},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":120,"max":120},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"QUEEN’S BLADE・1回決着","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.66,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1188,"max":1188}}]}},{"id":"konosuba-199","slug":"konosuba-199","name":"Pこの素晴らしい世界に祝福を！199LT","shortName":"このすば199LT","manufacturer":"豊丸産業","normalDenominator":199.8,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-KONOSUBA199-V1","headline":"初回は必ずRUSH。最終回転・残保留のLT振り分けも計算","answer":"このすば199は初当たり420個の後、必ず77回＋残保留4個のRUSHへ進みます。最終回転と残保留では当選時のLT移行が88.6%に変わるため、本体76回とは分けて計算します。240／330個の内訳は推測せず、期待値を幅で表示します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"420個・このすばRUSH","probability":1,"rewardBalls":420,"nextState":"rush"}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"このすばRUSH・先頭76回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":67.3,"spins":76},"missNextState":"last","outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・祝福RUSH","probability":0.005,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1500個・RUSH継続","probability":0.495,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"240〜330個・RUSH継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":{"min":240,"max":330},"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"last","label":"最終1回＋残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":67.3,"spins":5},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・祝福RUSH","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"240〜330個・祝福RUSH","probability":0.386,"rewardBalls":{"min":240,"max":330},"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"330個・このすばRUSH","probability":0.114,"rewardBalls":330,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"lt","label":"祝福RUSH・実質次回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"10000回の実質次回を当選保証で近似"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・祝福RUSH","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"240〜330個・祝福RUSH","probability":0.386,"rewardBalls":{"min":240,"max":330},"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"330個・このすばRUSH","probability":0.114,"rewardBalls":330,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常／右","value":"約1/199.8／約1/67.3"},{"label":"初回","value":"420個・RUSH100%"},{"label":"下位RUSH","value":"77回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"LT継続","value":"88.6%・終了後も下位へ"},{"label":"右払い出し","value":"1500個／240〜330個"}],"sources":[{"label":"豊丸公式：全振り分け・最終変動の注記","url":"https://www.toyomaru.jp/machine/upload/4d21b9ecb09f254f272ff7d9cd9d81ac4431cbf8.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"CEC77843B179278CD7B1D6FCB97942FCC9CC423ED6C3BDA3F3BDF8DF3683C999"},{"label":"P-WORLD：ST回数と当たり後の移行先","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/9974","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"39FD512112B47DE040050C811F257EB741FC4E70A6C10332FF3DD8364A703175"}],"limitations":["公式注記に従い、下位RUSH最終変動は残保留と同じ振り分けに分離します。77回に追加で最終回を加えず、76＋1＋4回としています。","240個と330個の内訳比率は推測せず、該当当たりを全て240個とする下限と全て330個とする上限を表示します。これは信頼区間ではありません。LT終了11.4%は330個固定です。","公表確率の丸め値を使います。祝福RUSH10000回は当選保証で近似し、89%継続を当選確率として二重に掛けません。LT終了後は下位へ戻ります。","払い出しは実獲得ではありません。削りは入力した共通の実獲得率で近似します。残保留4個とV入賞を満たしRUSHを最後まで消化する条件で、閉店・ヘソ割込み・コンプリート上限を含みません。利益は保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3095.8530724524235,"max":3225.821067585319},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":420,"max":420},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"このすばRUSH・先頭76回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6794592286057948,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":3.3622066388428116,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1987.4996264400345,"max":2090.3013312558983}},{"id":"last","label":"最終1回＋残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.07211891659949654,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0777243096013926,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":68.41760076972206,"max":71.11774328527444}},{"id":"lt","label":"祝福RUSH・実質次回","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.7042644732722908,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":619.9358452426667,"max":644.4019930441461}}]}},{"id":"ring3-lt","slug":"ring3-lt","name":"Pリング 呪いの7日間3 ラッキートリガーVer.","shortName":"リング3LT","manufacturer":"JFJ","normalDenominator":199.8,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-RING3LT-V1","headline":"初回70%でST。LT最終回・残保留の振り分けも計算","answer":"初当たりは300個で、70%が下位STへ進みます。下位の当たりの約10%でLTへ。LTは本体124回と最終1回・残保留4個を分け、最終回以降は下位と同じ振り分けで計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・下位ST","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"300個・通常","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"呪いの連鎖70回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":57.6,"spins":70},"outcomes":[{"label":"1200個・貞子夢爽","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1200個・呪いの連鎖","probability":0.65,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"450個・呪いの連鎖","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"lower"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"upper","label":"貞子夢爽本体124回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":57.6,"spins":124},"outcomes":[{"label":"1200個・LT継続","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"450個・LT継続","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"upper-final"},{"id":"reserve","label":"下位ST後の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":57.6,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1200個・貞子夢爽","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1200個・呪いの連鎖","probability":0.65,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"450個・呪いの連鎖","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"lower"}]},{"id":"upper-final","label":"LT最終1回＋残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":57.6,"spins":5},"outcomes":[{"label":"1200個・貞子夢爽","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"1200個・呪いの連鎖","probability":0.65,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"450個・呪いの連鎖","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"lower"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常／右","value":"199.8／57.6"},{"label":"ST","value":"70／125回＋残4"}],"sources":[{"label":"JFJ：JSG基本仕様","url":"https://www.fujimarukun.co.jp/products/p_ring3/","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"5782075AE08C223DAF0D29473B25744585A953C55B7CC8ACDD463DB8277B29E6"},{"label":"なな徹：振分表","url":"https://nana-press.com/kaiseki/machine/811/23029/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"0C176B5ACBFA55E6402A5708D6A25DAA01C3B1EDA14064944021C8EE76CB442F"},{"label":"必勝本：残保留説明（割合に資料差）","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/93483/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"124DEBEE7A33C7C48E23FC57F02EA107E5A97D87B70D392F01FAE3E3BB8BDC5A"},{"label":"必勝本：最終変動＋残保留の注記","url":"https://p.hisshobon.jp/machine/list.php?c=1&d=103781&mid=4358&p=2","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"C019212A1DB4748BE678FE5F77D5A41A93490D89AB885CFA17F21D844A540A36"},{"label":"パチンコビスタ：LT後残保留は下位振分","url":"https://www.pachinkovista.com/sp/model/enshutsu_list_pachi.php?code=23324&ctg=3&l=2","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"4EEA130A68FAD3C2415B6A3718240FFE87F862A6DB728E4CF0A5FA528C56655E"},{"label":"パチガブ：大当り内訳表","url":"https://img.p-gabu.jp/assets/machine/f806de8665ae8014a61207ce8318fe0b/bigwin_65a3a7eda556fde8557ab7fef08db8fa54bab954.jpg","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"F65978F94351C65E7749F7A53ECF2D637E09CEFF71C1947711B7265220937E08"}],"limitations":["メーカーJSG欄で基本仕様を照合し、振り分けと最終回の扱いは二次資料で補っています。319版・甘デジ版とは別仕様です。","下位10/65/25%は一撃・なな徹・パチガブ・必勝本の表が一致。必勝本本文の1200個時20%という記述は同ページの表と整合しないため採用していません。","LTの125回目と残保留は下位振り分けです。最終回の区分は必勝本の明記、LT後残保留の下位復帰はパチンコビスタでも確認しています。","57.6は公表合算値の近似です。V入賞、残保留4個、RUSH終了まで消化する条件。ヘソ残保留・閉店・コンプリート上限・時間消化は含めません。","実獲得率は全当たりに共通の入力値で近似します。ホールや打ち方による削りを個別再現するものではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3008.069196623093,"max":3008.069196623093},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"呪いの連鎖70回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7065214642717363,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.054394978785764,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1469.6175754617734,"max":1469.6175754617734}},{"id":"upper","label":"貞子夢爽本体124回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.8860145225048418,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.3202412647925994,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1184.3748454891083,"max":1184.3748454891083}},{"id":"reserve","label":"下位ST後の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.06765683564702274,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6029208301815432,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":41.301611959706165,"max":41.301611959706165}},{"id":"upper-final","label":"LT最終1回＋残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.0838433489170397,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.150488330976196,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":12.775163712504908,"max":12.775163712504908}}]}},{"id":"shaka-rush-z-jr","slug":"shaka-rush-z-jr","name":"PシャカRUSH Z Jr.","shortName":"シャカRUSH Z Jr.","manufacturer":"マルホン","normalDenominator":98.7,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-SHAKAZJR-V1","headline":"初当たりからRUSHへ。回転率と交換率で期待値を計算","answer":"初当たり後は100%でRUSHへ進みます。98%は50回、2%はLTの3000回へ。通常RUSHとLTでは当たり後の回転数が異なるため、別々に計算します。1円・4円、交換率と持ち玉比率を指定できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"730玉・LT3000","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":730,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"490玉・下位","probability":0.28,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"170玉・下位","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":170,"nextState":"lower"}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"下位50回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":45.7,"spins":50},"outcomes":[{"label":"730玉・LT3000","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":730,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"490玉・下位","probability":0.76,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"170玉・下位","probability":0.22,"rewardBalls":170,"nextState":"lower"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"upper","label":"LT108回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":45.7,"spins":108},"outcomes":[{"label":"730玉・3000","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":730,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"490玉・3000","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"170玉・3000","probability":0.06,"rewardBalls":170,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"490玉・108","probability":0.56,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"170玉・108","probability":0.16,"rewardBalls":170,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"long","label":"LT3000回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":45.7,"spins":3000},"outcomes":[{"label":"730玉・3000","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":730,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"490玉・3000","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"170玉・3000","probability":0.06,"rewardBalls":170,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"490玉・108","probability":0.56,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"170玉・108","probability":0.16,"rewardBalls":170,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・下位振り分け","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":45.7,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"730玉・LT3000","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":730,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"490玉・下位","probability":0.76,"rewardBalls":490,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"170玉・下位","probability":0.22,"rewardBalls":170,"nextState":"lower"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時の大当たり","value":"約1/98.7"},{"label":"右打ち中","value":"約1/45.7（公表合算値）"},{"label":"下位RUSH","value":"50回＋残保留最大4個"},{"label":"LT","value":"108回または3000回＋残保留最大4個"},{"label":"払い出し","value":"2R約170個／6R約490個／9R約730個"}],"sources":[{"label":"メーカー公式スペック画像","url":"https://maruhon-kogyo.co.jp/special/srzj/images/img-spec_2.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","kind":"manufacturer-page","sha256":"81EFE51287D213E9F96A8892341732919DE19B873EBC545621ED0C8E75B7F9B8"},{"label":"パチンコスペック解析：残保留の遷移を補完","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/169410","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","kind":"secondary-page","sha256":"F9A719BFEB3923D796E66AD26E0FFAE8399742CB835E1E6FDE9BAFED642F5EA8"}],"limitations":["PシャカRUSH Z Jr.（型式PシャカRUSH ZA）の計算です。旧・真シャカRUSH Jr.やミドル版とは異なります。","基本確率・出玉・振り分けはメーカー公式表、残保留の下位復帰はパチンコスペック解析の状態表を採用しています。二次資料の補完を含む理論モデルです。","LTは資料に記載された108回／3000回のあとに残保留4個を消化する区分です。残保留の当たりは98%が下位50回、2%がLT3000回へ。実機プログラムを検証した値ではありません。","通常RUSHの公表継続率は公式の69.7%を採用。二次サイトにある67.9%とは一致しないため、その数値は使用しません。","約1/45.7と払い出しは公表丸め値。V入賞・残保留4個・RUSH終了まで消化する条件です。ヘソ保留割込み、閉店、コンプリート、右打ち中の増減は追跡しません。","実獲得率は全当たり共通の補正です。実戦値ではなく、短期の収支や利益を保証しません。"],"introducedAt":"2026-06-22","expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1601.7403735594332,"max":1601.7403735594332},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":270.8,"max":270.8},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"下位50回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.66919950320392,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":3.1107813860237674,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":883.4876371789585,"max":883.4876371789585}},{"id":"upper","label":"LT108回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.9083224727864706,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6924852397118251,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":266.9475598106683,"max":266.9475598106683}},{"id":"long","label":"LT3000回","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.33278514985213636,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":141.2340175972467,"max":141.2340175972467}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・下位振り分け","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.0846961434038277,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.092533362329309,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":39.271158972558815,"max":39.271158972558815}}]}},{"id":"tensura-129","slug":"tensura-129","name":"P転生したらスライムだった件129ver.","shortName":"転スラ129","manufacturer":"サンセイR&D","normalDenominator":129.7,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-TENSURA129-V1","headline":"リミット1回と255回を分けて、期待値・ボーダーを計算","answer":"初当たり後は必ずST72回へ進みます。ただし、ずっと75%で継続するわけではありません。リミット1回を選んでいた場合、次の大当たり後は時短72回へ。時短や残保留で当たるとリミットを再抽選します。1円・4円、回転率・交換率・持ち玉比率を入れて計算できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・リミット1回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"st1"},{"label":"300個・リミット255回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"st255"}],"states":[{"id":"st1","label":"ST・リミットまで1回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":53.1,"spins":72},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R1000個","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"time"},{"label":"2R200個","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"time"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"st2","label":"ST・リミットまで2回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":53.1,"spins":72},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R1000個","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st1"},{"label":"2R200個","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"st1"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"st3","label":"ST・リミットまで3回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":53.1,"spins":72},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R1000個","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st2"},{"label":"2R200個","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"st2"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"st4","label":"ST・リミットまで4回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":53.1,"spins":72},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R1000個","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st3"},{"label":"2R200個","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"st3"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"st5","label":"ST・リミットまで5回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":53.1,"spins":72},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R1000個","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st4"},{"label":"2R200個","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"st4"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"st6","label":"ST・リミットまで6回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":53.1,"spins":72},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R1000個","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st5"},{"label":"2R200個","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"st5"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"st7","label":"ST・リミットまで7回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":53.1,"spins":72},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R1000個","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st6"},{"label":"2R200個","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"st6"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"st8","label":"ST・リミットまで8回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":53.1,"spins":72},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R1000個","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st7"},{"label":"2R200個","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"st7"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"st9","label":"ST・リミットまで9回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":53.1,"spins":72},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R1000個","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st8"},{"label":"2R200個","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"st8"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"st10","label":"ST・リミットまで10回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":53.1,"spins":72},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R1000個","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st9"},{"label":"2R200個","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"st9"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"st11","label":"ST・リミットまで11回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":53.1,"spins":72},"outcomes":[{"label":"10R1000個","probability":0.7,"r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・100回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計1900個・100回","probability":0.06400000000000002,"rewardBalls":1900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・3000回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・100回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計1900個・100回","probability":0.06400000000000002,"rewardBalls":1900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・3000回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・100回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計1900個・100回","probability":0.06400000000000002,"rewardBalls":1900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計1900個・3000回","probability":0.06400000000000002,"rewardBalls":1900,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計1900個・100回","probability":0.06400000000000002,"rewardBalls":1900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計600個・100回","probability":0.5120000000000001,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"long","label":"EXTRA3000回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":31,"spins":3000},"outcomes":[{"label":"3回合計4500個・3000回","probability":0.0010000000000000002,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計4500個・100回","probability":0.0010000000000000002,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・100回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計4500個・3000回","probability":0.0010000000000000002,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計4500個・100回","probability":0.0010000000000000002,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・100回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・3000回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・100回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計1900個・100回","probability":0.06400000000000002,"rewardBalls":1900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計4500個・3000回","probability":0.0010000000000000002,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計4500個・100回","probability":0.0010000000000000002,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・100回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計4500個・3000回","probability":0.0010000000000000002,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計4500個・100回","probability":0.0010000000000000002,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・100回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・3000回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・100回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計1900個・100回","probability":0.06400000000000002,"rewardBalls":1900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・3000回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・100回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計1900個・100回","probability":0.06400000000000002,"rewardBalls":1900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・3000回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計3200個・100回","probability":0.008000000000000002,"rewardBalls":3200,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計1900個・100回","probability":0.06400000000000002,"rewardBalls":1900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計1900個・3000回","probability":0.06400000000000002,"rewardBalls":1900,"nextState":"long"},{"label":"3回合計1900個・100回","probability":0.06400000000000002,"rewardBalls":1900,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"3回合計600個・100回","probability":0.5120000000000001,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"対象型式","value":"Pとある科学の超電磁砲FSB（初代）"},{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/239.2"},{"label":"初当たり","value":"400個・7%でRUSH直行"},{"label":"CHALLENGE","value":"約1/163.02を100回"},{"label":"RUSH EXTRA","value":"約1/68.2を100回"},{"label":"3000回モード","value":"約1/31を3000回"},{"label":"3回セット出玉","value":"600／1900／3200／4500個"},{"label":"計算の出玉範囲","value":"アタッカーのみ。一般入賞口分は含まない"}],"sources":[{"label":"藤商事公式スペック","url":"https://www.fujimarukun.co.jp/products/machine/p_railgun/sp/assets/img/ptoarukagaku/pc/content_02.png","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","kind":"manufacturer-page","sha256":"2009FBD09821E2F40DEF6FF5877E4C3CA5EC01560F7D5EEE6E966CF892F644C2"},{"label":"スペック解析・FSB状態別振分","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/26809/","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","kind":"secondary-page","sha256":"335AB9A7386996F8CA916C6D45102F219AEDFD4D4447E75DAFAF64110A11D35D"},{"label":"一撃・通常時とRUSH中の確率","url":"https://1geki.jp/pachinko/p_scirailgun/","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","kind":"secondary-page","sha256":"6B5FC38ACA02830AA98CF46AD3F55767596E65C82349E95214CC65EB69C1701B"},{"label":"ちょんぼりすた・3回目の当りと次回時短の関係","url":"https://chonborista.com/pachinko/fujishouji/151604/","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","kind":"secondary-page","sha256":"1A0EF11D43B49B47ECD3360A9D145CA7E0B520E32BAFED8BB0AF8415F49F89B4"}],"limitations":["普図当選1回から特図2の当該1個＋保留2個で大当り3回を消化。3回目が10Rなら50%で次回3000回となる二次資料の説明を使用。保留2個は3回セットに含め、RUSH終了後に重ねて加算しない。","各回10R20%/2R80%、最終回10%が3000回という二次公表値を使用。3回合算600/1900/3200/4500個はアタッカーのみで、公式の一般入賞口込み約650/2000/3350/4700個とは異なる。","初回も8R×5個×10カウントの400個のみ。一般入賞口の加算を推測しない。実獲得率補正はアタッカーへの補正として扱う。","通常239.2、EXTRA68.2は一撃の本文値を使用し、メーカーの239/68は丸め表示として扱う。CHALLENGE163.02、3000回モード31はスペック解析の値。普図中の玉減り、ヘソ割込み、閉店は追跡しない。利益非保証。","1回ごとの公表振分20%/80%から計算した3回合計の割合は51.2%/38.4%/9.6%/0.8%。メーカーの約50%/39%/10%/1%と完全一致する精密内部値ではなく、公表近似値による計算。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3633.2152197078285,"max":3633.2152197078285},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":400,"max":400},"states":[{"id":"challenge","label":"CHALLENGE100回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.45952712403826224,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.93,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":589.7571109907059,"max":589.7571109907059}},{"id":"rush","label":"EXTRA100回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.771708448447,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.1786186215485834,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2320.1365867463396,"max":2320.1365867463396}},{"id":"long","label":"EXTRA3000回","group":"rush","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.23429095794984264,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":323.3215219707829,"max":323.3215219707829}}]}},{"id":"ultraman-4500-light","slug":"ultraman-4500-light","name":"e ULTRAMAN 4500 超ライト","shortName":"ULTRAMAN 4500超ライト","manufacturer":"オッケー.","normalDenominator":111.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-ULTRAMAN4500-V1","headline":"初当たり300個・突入33%。10回のRUSHで4500個か9000個","answer":"4500超ライト版です。初当たりは300個で、その33%がRUSHへ。RUSH中の当たりは4500個が99%、9000個が1%です。貸玉1円・4円、交換率と自分の回転率を入れて収支の長期平均を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・RUSHへ","probability":0.33,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.67,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"リミッター解除RUSH・10回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":15.1,"spins":10},"outcomes":[{"label":"4500個・RUSH再開","probability":0.99,"rewardBalls":4500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"9000個・RUSH再開","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":9000,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/111.9"},{"label":"RUSH中","value":"約1/15.1"},{"label":"初当たり","value":"300個・突入33%"},{"label":"RUSH","value":"10回・継続約50%"},{"label":"右払い出し","value":"4500個99%／9000個1%"}],"sources":[{"label":"オッケー公式：4500超ライトのスペック・振り分け","url":"https://www.ok777.co.jp/lineup/heros_ultraman_4500/_nuxt/assets202601151835/images/img_1-sd3u2ZXG.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"65E5EF46B4A40D396CDD88C7001E6C0AF8B92905E79759F8F8CA7B46FD5BC5A2"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表の約1/111.9・約1/15.1と10回を用いた集約モデルです。約50%を固定せず、この確率から継続率を計算します。2400★80版とは別機種です。","4500個は1500個×3、9000個は1500個×6の合計。セット内をもう一度抽選して出玉を重複加算しません。V入賞とセット完走が条件です。","RUSHは公表の10回まで。公表されていない追加残保留やヘソ割り込みは加算しません。内部セットの消化時間、閉店、コンプリート上限、遊タイムはモデルに含めません。","出玉は払い出しで、手元に残る玉とは異なります。実獲得率と持ち玉比率は入力した一定値による近似です。シミュレーションは実戦記録ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1776.1037250613065,"max":1776.1037250613065},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"リミッター解除RUSH・10回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.4960103084368013,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6547752970431917,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1476.1037250613062,"max":1476.1037250613062}}]}},{"id":"ultraman-mebius-319","slug":"ultraman-mebius-319","name":"P ウルトラマンメビウス デカヘソ319","shortName":"メビウス デカヘソ319","manufacturer":"オッケー.","normalDenominator":319.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-MEBIUS319-V1","headline":"当たるたびRUSHが昇格。残保留の当たりは最上位へ","answer":"初当たりの51%でRUSHへ。ST10回で当たるたびに段階が上がり、最上位では1050個と5250個が各50%です。残保留4個の当たりは1050個で最上位へ直行。この違いを分け、1円・4円と自分の回転率で計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"5250個・最上位へ","probability":0.005,"rewardBalls":5250,"nextState":"top"},{"label":"600個・RUSH1へ","probability":0.505,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"rush1"},{"label":"600個・通常へ","probability":0.49,"rewardBalls":600}],"states":[{"id":"rush1","label":"RUSH1・10回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":12.3,"spins":10},"outcomes":[{"label":"1050個・次段階へ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1050,"nextState":"rush2"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"rush2","label":"RUSH2・10回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":12.3,"spins":10},"outcomes":[{"label":"2100個・次段階へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":2100,"nextState":"rush3"},{"label":"1050個・次段階へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1050,"nextState":"rush3"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"rush3","label":"RUSH3・10回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":12.3,"spins":10},"outcomes":[{"label":"3150個・次段階へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":3150,"nextState":"top"},{"label":"1050個・次段階へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1050,"nextState":"top"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"top","label":"最上位RUSH・10回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":12.3,"spins":10},"outcomes":[{"label":"5250個・最上位を継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":5250,"nextState":"top"},{"label":"1050個・最上位を継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1050,"nextState":"top"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"皇帝決戦・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":12.3,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1050個・最上位へ直行","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1050,"nextState":"top"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/319.9"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"約1/12.3"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"51%（最上位直行0.5%含む）"},{"label":"RUSH","value":"10回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"残保留当選","value":"1050個・最上位へ"}],"sources":[{"label":"オッケー公式：段階別出玉と残保留の移行先","url":"https://www.ok777.co.jp/lineup/ultraman_mebius/_nuxt/assets202604021508/images/img_1-YP1MDtSg.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"9B216F80F1ADDB069CF7310899764795B3CB6D6937B3FDF483C93969875DEF0A"},{"label":"必勝本：各RUSH・皇帝決戦の振り分け","url":"https://hisshobon.com/machineinfo/101529/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"D8B3CB3FBD39306A1EEB5ECA5A6F07D3E3CE3343D817D5DB1BEF3FF0D8EA15F6"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表の丸めた確率による集約モデルです。ST10回と残保留4個は移行先・出玉が異なるため分けています。14回にさらに残保留を加算しません。","2100・3150・5250個は1050個を2・3・5回獲得するセット合計です。セット完走とV入賞が条件で、内部の当たりを重ねて加算しません。","出玉は払い出し。実獲得率・持ち玉比率は入力した一定値による近似です。ヘソ割り込み、消化時間、閉店、コンプリート上限は再現しません。","Seed付きの理論シミュレーションで、実戦記録や利益の保証ではありません。通常回転数を固定し、最後に入ったRUSHを終了まで消化します。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2884.5856257992004,"max":2884.5856257992004},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":623.25,"max":623.25},"states":[{"id":"rush1","label":"RUSH1・10回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5717145500632232,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.505,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":303.15164017102416,"max":303.15164017102416}},{"id":"rush2","label":"RUSH2・10回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5717145500632232,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.28871584778192777,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":259.97430534195786,"max":259.97430534195786}},{"id":"rush3","label":"RUSH3・10回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5717145500632232,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.16506305101076688,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":198.17479067543528,"max":198.17479067543528}},{"id":"top","label":"最上位RUSH・10回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5717145500632232,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.712864075897224,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1283.797507884623,"max":1283.797507884623}},{"id":"reserve","label":"皇帝決戦・残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.2876501647817882,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.7159403635487237,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":216.2373817261599,"max":216.2373817261599}}]}},{"id":"toloveru-199","slug":"toloveru-199","name":"P ToLOVEるダークネス 199ver.","shortName":"ToLOVEる199","manufacturer":"平和","normalDenominator":199.8,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-TOLOVE199-V1","headline":"10Rを2回連続でLTへ。最終回転と残保留は別ルール","answer":"初当たりの約60%でRUSHへ。通常のST中は10Rを2回続けて引くとLTへ進みます。ただし最終回転と残保留の10Rは1回目として扱われ、LT中でも下位の振り分けに戻ります。この違いを含めて、1円・4円と自分の回転率で計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・RUSH","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"base"},{"label":"300個・通常","probability":0.4,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"base","label":"楽園計画・最初の65回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":48.5,"spins":65},"outcomes":[{"label":"4R・600個","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"base"},{"label":"10R・1回目","probability":0.495,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"after10"},{"label":"10R・直接LT","probability":0.005,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"last5"},{"id":"after10","label":"10R後・最初の65回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":48.5,"spins":65},"outcomes":[{"label":"600個・連続をリセット","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"base"},{"label":"1500個・LTへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"last5"},{"id":"lt","label":"超ハーレムTIME・最初の99回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":48.5,"spins":99},"outcomes":[{"label":"600個・LT継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1500個・LT継続","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"last5"},{"id":"last5","label":"最終1回＋残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":48.5,"spins":5},"outcomes":[{"label":"4R・600個","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":600,"nextState":"base"},{"label":"10R・1回目","probability":0.495,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"after10"},{"label":"10R・直接LT","probability":0.005,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/199.8"},{"label":"右打ち合算","value":"約1/48.5"},{"label":"突入","value":"約60%"},{"label":"下位／LT","value":"66回／100回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"右の払い出し","value":"600個／1500個 各約50%"}],"sources":[{"label":"平和公式：199ver.ゲームガイド","url":"https://www.heiwanet.co.jp/assets/images/products/guide/p-tdlt.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"77C863D4E9C3C7722B5DE3162820DB047676EC57A9ED0E6A9A6917AE85E92F98"},{"label":"P-WORLD：最終変動・残保留の注記と振り分け","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10130","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"BBD4A28DCCCCD42B72CE1F8F256C6D73C2E666304A0B4B1CC7765B5DFC5D1459"}],"limitations":["公表された丸め値を使う近似モデルです。10Rの約1%による直接LTは全当たりの約0.5%として分離しています。","最終変動と残保留4個は下位・LT共通の振り分けです。65＋5、99＋5に分け、総抽選回数を増やしていません。","出玉は払い出しで、実獲得率・持ち玉比率は入力した一定値で近似します。V入賞と入賞条件が前提です。ヘソ割り込み・消化時間・閉店・コンプリート機能は再現しません。","通常回転数固定で最後に入ったRUSHを終了まで消化する理論シミュレーションです。実戦記録ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3198.109304638808,"max":3198.109304638808},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"base","label":"楽園計画・最初の65回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7418503048822633,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.3087387304399345,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1019.4326374974961,"max":1019.4326374974961}},{"id":"after10","label":"10R後・最初の65回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7418503048822633,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5131971787814031,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":399.7512577208864,"max":399.7512577208864}},{"id":"lt","label":"超ハーレムTIME・最初の99回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8728737514697443,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.53816819043467,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1409.7579707149457,"max":1409.7579707149457}},{"id":"last5","label":"最終1回＋残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.0989282893859369,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6658737511480762,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":69.16743870548004,"max":69.16743870548004}}]}},{"id":"etotama2-ama","slug":"etotama2-ama","name":"Pえとたま2 神祭 干支甘","shortName":"えとたま2 干支甘","manufacturer":"メーシー","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-ETOTAMA-AMA-V1","headline":"まず40回＋残保留4個を突破。LT終了後の残保留は下位へ","answer":"初当たりの70%で40回＋残保留4個のチャンスへ。そこで当たると下位RUSHに入り、下位の本体中は当たりの10%でLTへ進みます。LTの残保留で当たっても戻る先は下位RUSHです。この違いを分け、1パチ・4円と自分の条件で計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"210個・チャンスへ","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"chance"},{"label":"210個・終了","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":210}],"states":[{"id":"chance","label":"えとたまチャンス40回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":63.44,"spins":40},"outcomes":[{"label":"910個・RUSHへ","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":910,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"210個・RUSHへ","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"rush","label":"えとたまRUSH祭83回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":63.44,"spins":83},"outcomes":[{"label":"910個・LTへ","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":910,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"910個・下位継続","probability":0.6,"rewardBalls":910,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"210個・下位継続","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"lt","label":"超えとたまRUSH祭160回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":63.44,"spins":160},"outcomes":[{"label":"910個・LT継続","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":910,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"210個・LT継続","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・下位復帰","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":63.44,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"910個・RUSHへ","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":910,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"210個・RUSHへ","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":210,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/99.9"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"約1/63.44"},{"label":"チャンス突入","value":"70%・40回＋残4"},{"label":"RUSH／LT","value":"83回／160回＋残4"},{"label":"右の払い出し","value":"910個70%・210個30%"}],"sources":[{"label":"メーカー公式：ゲームフローと残保留の復帰先","url":"https://www.universal-777.com/product/digitalguide/pc/etotama2_etoama/etotama2_etoama_01.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"5C5A4C824E9FCE4F9B244917FFEE5279849B3684C4EC207D9BF385FA867AFE06"},{"label":"P-WORLD：右確率・ラウンド別出玉と振り分けの補足","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10404","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"827A2775863A6CB8AB183EDDDAC5B5C246D45A19107F75999691C6CB954130C7"}],"limitations":["公式のゲームフローを土台に、右確率1/63.44・3R210個などの詳細はP-WORLDの編集資料で補足しています。公表された丸め値の近似です。","残保留は全段階共通で下位RUSHへ復帰。LT160回に残4を加えますが、残保留当選をLT維持や10%昇格として計算しません。","910個と210個は払い出し。実獲得率・持ち玉比率は入力した一定値で近似します。V入賞と液晶指示どおりの遊技が前提です。","通常回転数固定で最後のRUSHを完走する理論シミュレーションです。実戦記録ではなく、利益を保証しません。ヘソ割り込み・時間・閉店・コンプリートは再現しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1698.247891122289,"max":1698.247891122289},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":210,"max":210},"states":[{"id":"chance","label":"えとたまチャンス40回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.4703502114546788,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.7,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":230.47160361279256,"max":230.47160361279256}},{"id":"rush","label":"えとたまRUSH祭83回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7325289597854734,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.101117276477467,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":564.6202051978967,"max":564.6202051978967}},{"id":"lt","label":"超えとたまRUSH祭160回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.9213035371029523,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0249511394115176,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":661.0037770682726,"max":661.0037770682726}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・下位復帰","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.061576488163437415,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.7459318646333247,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":32.152305243327305,"max":32.152305243327305}}]}},{"id":"haruichiban-2026","slug":"haruichiban-2026","name":"P 春一番 2026","shortName":"春一番2026","manufacturer":"ソフィア","normalDenominator":89.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-HARU2026-V1","headline":"初当たり後は必ずST60回。残保留は低確率で計算","answer":"初当たり後は100%でST60回へ。ST中は約1/65.9ですが、終了後の残保留4個は約1/89.9に戻ります。通常時と右打ちでは出玉の割合も異なるため、別々に計算。1パチ・4円、交換率と自分の回転率で収支を確かめられます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1000個・STへ","probability":0.15,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st"},{"label":"400個・STへ","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"st"},{"label":"200個・STへ","probability":0.15,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"st"}],"states":[{"id":"st","label":"乱舞モード・ST60回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":65.9,"spins":60},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000個・STへ","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st"},{"label":"400個・STへ","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"st"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"低確率の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":89.9,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000個・STへ","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"st"},{"label":"400個・STへ","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":400,"nextState":"st"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/89.9"},{"label":"ST中","value":"約1/65.9・60回"},{"label":"ST突入","value":"100%"},{"label":"残保留","value":"低確率1/89.9・4個"},{"label":"右の払い出し","value":"1000個25%・400個75%"}],"sources":[{"label":"メーカー公式：確率と出玉振り分け","url":"https://www.sophia-net.co.jp/machine/2026/hia/img/spec_01.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"03457ABE119A7DB0EFF78F1E5C2C490AB046D05036B4E564E4238F4AA6E527C4"},{"label":"メーカー公式：ゲームフロー","url":"https://www.sophia-net.co.jp/machine/2026/hia/img/gameflow_01.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"9E9595CE85C8B168FE4DF757F45090FDC0F1455A3FABC20104FFD6215448CE65"},{"label":"パチンコスペック解析：残保留の条件を補足","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/171450/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"052EE2BC81F3F92000849DDF3AD9C7302302FD46D02315850ACA2CB4F07D64AC"}],"limitations":["メーカー公式の丸め値1/89.9・1/65.9を使用。残保留4個・低確率・特図2振り分けは二次資料で補足した近似モデルです。公式の継続率約60%はST本体の値で、残保留込みの計算値とは異なります。","通常時は公式の特図1・2合算15%/70%/15%を毎初当たりに適用する平均化モデルです。実際の入賞順やヘソ保留の割り込みは追跡せず、右終了時の特図2保留4個を満たす条件です。","1000・400・200個は払い出し。実獲得率と持ち玉比率は一定値で近似します。スタート安定装置の効果を勝手に加算せず、入力した実測回転率を使います。","有料通常回転数を固定し、最後のST・残保留まで消化する理論シミュレーションです。実戦値ではなく利益非保証。閉店・時間・資金枯渇・コンプリートは再現しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1349.5855547770234,"max":1349.5855547770234},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":460,"max":460},"states":[{"id":"st","label":"乱舞モード・ST60回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6004630661674615,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.6174282814127694,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":864.4179562317975,"max":864.4179562317975}},{"id":"reserve","label":"低確率の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.043756982501939046,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0457592700822287,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":25.167598545225747,"max":25.167598545225747}}]}},{"id":"revue-starlight-99-lt3000","slug":"revue-starlight-99-lt3000","name":"P少女☆歌劇 レヴュースタァライト 99 LT3000","shortName":"レヴュースタァライト99","manufacturer":"豊丸","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-REVUE99-V1","headline":"初回45回を突破。追劇70%ZONEの最終回転は別ルール","answer":"初当たりの50%で45回＋残保留4個のRUSHへ。2連目以降は100回＋残保留4個になります。70%ZONEでは追劇に入りやすくなりますが、最終回転と残保留は通常RUSHの振り分けに戻ります。上乗せと復帰先を分け、1パチ・4円で自分の条件を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"200個・初回RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"first"},{"label":"200個・終了","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":200}],"states":[{"id":"first","label":"初回45回＋残4","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":72.1,"spins":49},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個・追劇へ","probability":0.016,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"loop"},{"label":"1000個・70%ZONEへ","probability":0.133,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"zone"},{"label":"1000個・通常RUSHへ","probability":0.851,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"rush","label":"通常RUSH100回＋残4","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":72.1,"spins":104},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個・追劇へ","probability":0.016,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"loop"},{"label":"1000個・70%ZONEへ","probability":0.133,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"zone"},{"label":"1000個・通常RUSHへ","probability":0.851,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"zone","label":"追劇70%ZONE・1〜99回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":72.1,"spins":99},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個・追劇へ","probability":0.695,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"loop"},{"label":"2000個・獲得チャンスへ","probability":0.305,"rewardBalls":2000,"nextState":"chance"}],"missNextState":"final"},{"id":"final","label":"ZONE最終1回＋残4","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":72.1,"spins":5},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個・追劇へ","probability":0.016,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"loop"},{"label":"1000個・70%ZONEへ","probability":0.133,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"zone"},{"label":"1000個・通常RUSHへ","probability":0.851,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"chance","label":"追劇獲得チャンス・追加分","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"抽選結果の分岐。追加の通常回転ではありません。"},"outcomes":[{"label":"追加2000個・追劇へ","probability":0.016,"rewardBalls":2000,"nextState":"loop"},{"label":"追加なし・70%ZONEへ","probability":0.133,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"zone"},{"label":"追加なし・通常RUSHへ","probability":0.851,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"loop","label":"追劇・公表セット上乗せ","group":"loop","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"公表された上乗せ結果を集約。個々の内部当たり回数ではありません。"},"outcomes":[{"label":"追加2000個・追劇継続","probability":0.005,"rewardBalls":2000,"nextState":"loop"},{"label":"追加1000個・追劇継続","probability":0.695,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"loop"},{"label":"上乗せなし・70%ZONEへ","probability":0.04,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"zone"},{"label":"上乗せなし・通常RUSHへ","probability":0.26,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/99.9・200個"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"1/72.1"},{"label":"初回／通常RUSH","value":"45回／100回＋残4"},{"label":"70%ZONE","value":"最終1回＋残4は通常振分"},{"label":"追劇","value":"公表セット上乗せを集約"}],"sources":[{"label":"メーカー公式発表：確率・初回突入・出玉","url":"https://www.toyomaru.jp/news/2025/11/010002.html","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"921251A1E9A899471BD17F497A236C778F5B1A3D425A11D40B0C9137B2616F97"},{"label":"ちょんぼりすた：振り分け・最終回転・獲得チャンスを補足","url":"https://chonborista.com/pachinko/toyomaru/248923/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"0B72B3EDEF0CC2E9225B5A0ECFC01C2A94B2024B396550C08C5FB612B258C0B5"},{"label":"情報島：追劇と復帰条件の照合","url":"https://p-johojima.jp/machine_spec/post-18312/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"EF74C7B3BF5BDEFF8CD0FBA1E8F3811FC18DB3322049BA47A9D8CBA82346C7C5"}],"limitations":["メーカー公式発表の確率・出玉を土台とし、45/100回・残保留・各セットの振り分けは二次資料で補足した近似です。メーカー機種詳細URLは取得時404で、公式発表本文を照合しています。","通常RUSHは本体と残保留の確率・振り分けが共通のため合算。70%ZONEだけは99回と最終1回＋残4を分離します。追劇中は公表されたセット結果を集約し、内部の当たり回数や消化時間は再現しません。","追劇獲得チャンスの2000個は、その前の2000個とは別の追加分です。追劇終了後の上乗せなし分岐を通常の大当たりとして加算しません。公表された丸め割合を使います。","払い出しと実獲得は異なり、実獲得率・持ち玉比率を一定値で近似します。V入賞と液晶指示どおりの遊技が前提。ヘソ割り込み・閉店・コンプリートは再現しません。","通常回転数固定で最後のRUSHを完走する理論シミュレーションです。実戦データではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1684.075160408796,"max":1684.075160408796},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":200,"max":200},"states":[{"id":"first","label":"初回45回＋残4","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.49559142094674136,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":255.72517320851853,"max":255.72517320851853}},{"id":"rush","label":"通常RUSH100回＋残4","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.766024197735513,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.9160844785789952,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":724.1986498497964,"max":724.1986498497964}},{"id":"zone","label":"追劇70%ZONE・1〜99回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7491008066621123,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.1429810661274679,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":288.65399016856907,"max":288.65399016856907}},{"id":"final","label":"ZONE最終1回＋残4","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.0674509584835925,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.035873834153972876,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2.4971556821082483,"max":2.4971556821082483}},{"id":"chance","label":"追劇獲得チャンス・追加分","group":"other","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.03266770575191598,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1.0453665840613113,"max":1.0453665840613113}},{"id":"loop","label":"追劇・公表セット上乗せ","group":"loop","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.30064514172445717,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":211.9548249157423,"max":211.9548249157423}}]}},{"id":"senran-kagura-189","slug":"senran-kagura-189","name":"P閃乱カグラ 189大入りver.","shortName":"閃乱カグラ189","manufacturer":"D-light","normalDenominator":189.4,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-KAGURA189-V1","headline":"RUSH90回からLT136回へ。4200個は4回セット","answer":"初当たりの50%でRUSH90回へ。そこで当たった際の11%が4200個のセットとLT136回につながります。LT中は当たりの50%が4200個。RUSH突入とLT突入を分け、1パチ・4円、交換率と実測回転率に合わせて収支を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・RUSH90回へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"絶・秘伝RUSH90回（普図）","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":90},"outcomes":[{"label":"4200個セット・LTへ","probability":0.11,"rewardBalls":4200,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1050個・RUSHへ","probability":0.89,"rewardBalls":1050,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"lt","label":"絶・秘伝RUSH LT136回（普図）","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.9,"spins":136},"outcomes":[{"label":"4200個セット・LTへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":4200,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1050個・LTへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1050,"nextState":"lt"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/189.4"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"50%"},{"label":"右の普図抽選","value":"約1/99.9"},{"label":"RUSH / LT","value":"90回 / 136回"},{"label":"4200個","value":"1050個×4回のセット"}],"sources":[{"label":"メーカー公式：機種説明PDF・スペックとフロー","url":"https://daiichi777.jp/images/upload/actual_product/ekagura-189_pdf_1.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"25708B1473A5CABE69E3D895ED4D66DFD00E077C31AD1E0042BC483A70AD4CF3"}],"limitations":["公式PDFの丸め値を用いたセット単位の近似モデルです。右の1/99.9は普図抽選。4200個は1050個×4回を集約し、4回を独立したLT継続判定として数えません。","公表されたRUSH90回・LT136回の当選機会で計算します。普図時短の突入・終了境界の保留やヘソ割り込みは追跡しません。セット用の特図保留を1/99.9の追加抽選として加算せず、内部の全入賞順を再現したものではありません。","300・1050・4200個は払い出しです。V入賞を満たしてセットを完走する条件で、実獲得率と持ち玉比率は一定値で近似します。大入りスタートの効果を別途加算せず、入力した実測回転率を使います。","有料通常回転数を固定し、最後のRUSH・LTまで消化する理論シミュレーションです。実戦値ではなく利益非保証。時間・閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリートは再現しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1721.0465568826728,"max":1721.0465568826728},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"絶・秘伝RUSH90回（普図）","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5956361681166467,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0640928437174817,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":885.1187148892843,"max":885.1187148892843}},{"id":"lt","label":"絶・秘伝RUSH LT136回（普図）","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7454405297698066,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.27388232766079773,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":535.9278419933886,"max":535.9278419933886}}]}},{"id":"bofuri-129","slug":"bofuri-129","name":"P痛いのは嫌なので防御力に極振りしたいと思います。 極振り129ver","shortName":"防振り129","manufacturer":"藤商事","normalDenominator":129,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-BOFURI129-V1","headline":"30回で当ててLTジャッジへ。1500個ならチャレンジ継続","answer":"初当たり後は必ず30回のLT GETチャレンジへ。ここで当たったときの約50%がLT170回へ進み、残りは1500個で30回に戻ります。出玉とLT移行は連動するため、別々の抽選として計算しません。1パチ・4円、交換率と自分の回転率で収支を確かめられます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・チャレンジへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"chance"}],"states":[{"id":"chance","label":"LT GETチャレンジ30回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":106,"spins":30},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個セット","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"chance"},{"label":"2450個セット・LTへ","probability":0.39,"rewardBalls":2450,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"3400個セット・LTへ","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":3400,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"4350個セット・LTへ","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":4350,"nextState":"lt"}]},{"id":"lt","label":"NewWorld Online極振り170","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":106,"spins":170},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個セット","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"2450個セット・LTへ","probability":0.39,"rewardBalls":2450,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"3400個セット・LTへ","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":3400,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"4350個セット・LTへ","probability":0.01,"rewardBalls":4350,"nextState":"lt"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/129（特図1小当たり）"},{"label":"初当たり後","value":"300個・チャレンジ30回"},{"label":"右の当選","value":"1/106（電チューロング開放）"},{"label":"LT","value":"170回・約80%継続"},{"label":"右の出玉","value":"1500〜4350個・3回セット"}],"sources":[{"label":"メーカー公式：FVZ・129ver.のスペック","url":"https://www.fujimarukun.co.jp/products/boufuri/","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"F88247750E889E790496193D335C97BBEE0A3EA3A2305C2A61A441952275AB6C"},{"label":"一撃：チャレンジ中の出玉・移行先を補足","url":"https://images.1geki.jp/machines/pachinko/p_boufuri129/p_boufuri129-gazou3.png?f=webp","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"673A2853DA64903E86964EF51FD8504915D54F344B49A34704A9BA150F0D4803"},{"label":"一撃：LT中の出玉・継続先を補足","url":"https://images.1geki.jp/machines/pachinko/p_boufuri129/p_boufuri129-gazou4.png?f=webp","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"886A8557382C543979B9C74B928F5D0FA968359B190B75607B006283DE6BC488"}],"limitations":["公式FVZの1/129・1/106・30回/170回を使用。出玉別50%/39%/10%/1%と移行先は一撃の129ver.専用表で補足しています。399系FHZの確率やチャージを流用していません。","右打ちの払い出しは特図2大当たり3回分を1セットに集約した近似です。出玉とLT移行の相関は維持しますが、セット内部の当たり回数・時間・入賞順は追跡しません。V入賞とセット完走が条件です。","1/106は電チューロング開放の確率で、特図2の大当たり確率そのものではありません。公表の30回/170回で計算し、境界の普図保留やヘソ割り込みは追跡せず、セット用特図保留を追加抽選にしません。","300・1500・2450・3400・4350個は払い出し。実獲得率と持ち玉比率は一定値で近似します。有料通常回転数を固定し最後のRUSHまで消化。実戦値ではなく利益非保証。閉店・時間・資金枯渇・コンプリートは再現しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2073.063536644683,"max":2073.063536644683},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"chance","label":"LT GETチャレンジ30回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.24750604727429937,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.141230756824779,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":590.0621020139272,"max":590.0621020139272}},{"id":"lt","label":"NewWorld Online極振り170","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.800389332525619,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.7075311084910099,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1183.001434630756,"max":1183.001434630756}}]}},{"id":"sengoku-otome7-99","slug":"sengoku-otome7-99","name":"P戦国乙女7 終焉の関ヶ原 99ver.","shortName":"戦国乙女7 99ver.","manufacturer":"アムテックス","normalDenominator":99.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-OTOME99-V1","headline":"天剣チャンスからLTへ。残保留の復帰先も分けて計算","answer":"初当たりの約63%で右打ちへ。下位RUSH中の天剣チャンスを経由すると、次の当たりの約50%でLT138回へ進みます。LT終了後の残保留当たりは下位RUSHへ戻るため、LT本体と分けて計算します。1パチ・4円と交換率、自分の回転率を入力してください。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1000個・LTへ","probability":0.006,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"300個・RUSHへ","probability":0.624,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300個・終了","probability":0.37,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"乙女RUSH60回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":47.23897690398931,"spins":60,"note":"図柄当たりとC時短の合算"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000個","probability":0.2249475090666158,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300個","probability":0.6748425271998474,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"C時短・天剣チャンスへ","probability":0.10020996373353692,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"chance"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4回","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":47.23897690398931,"spins":4,"note":"C時短も別経路として含む"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000個","probability":0.2249475090666158,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300個","probability":0.6748425271998474,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"C時短・天剣チャンスへ","probability":0.10020996373353692,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"chance"}]},{"id":"lt","label":"極乙女RUSH138回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":52.5,"spins":138},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000個","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"300個","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"chance","label":"天剣チャンス10000回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":52.5,"spins":10000},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000個・LTへ","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"300個・LTへ","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"300個・下位RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"reserve"}],"specSummary":[{"label":"初当たり","value":"1/99.9"},{"label":"下位RUSH","value":"60回＋残保留4回"},{"label":"右の図柄当たり","value":"1/52.5"},{"label":"天剣チャンス","value":"C時短1/471.4から移行"},{"label":"LT","value":"138回＋残保留4回"}],"sources":[{"label":"平和公式：99ver.ガイドPDF","url":"https://www.heiwanet.co.jp/assets/images/products/guide/sg8_99.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"6F35633DE0F20D1496CE125CD11267F5805F64C5DDCE2A0BD869D35F98AE73CC"},{"label":"スペック解析：天剣・残保留の経路を補足","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/165287/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"FCC3B23F915F86C7BEF3DE998C405E8F2373450D4E58F290B541C1226BC38EB2"}],"limitations":["公式の丸め値99.9・52.5・471.4と初当たり合算振分0.6%/62.4%/37%を使用する近似。下位・残保留は図柄当たりとC時短を排他的な当選経路として合算し、C時短自体に出玉は付けません。約1/47.3を図柄当たりだけの確率として扱いません。","天剣10000回・残保留からのC時短経路は二次資料で補足。公式注記どおりLTの残保留は下位RUSHと同じ振分です。ヘソ割り込み・入賞順・保留不足は再現せず、残保留4個を消化する条件です。","1000個・300個は払い出しで、小当たり経由はV入賞が条件。天剣後の300個はLT25%/下位50%を分け、出玉だけでLTを判定しません。","実獲得率・持ち玉比率は一定値。有料通常回転数を固定し最後のRUSHまで消化します。実戦データではなく利益非保証。時間・閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリートは再現しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1620.762867599043,"max":1620.762867599043},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":304.2,"max":304.2},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"乙女RUSH60回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7230100681845875,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.1629539386809955,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":668.3845545796645,"max":668.3845545796645}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4回","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.08202483433444485,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6862930758516046,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":24.059675661981323,"max":24.059675661981323}},{"id":"lt","label":"極乙女RUSH138回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.9296257567753382,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.238757361527516,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":547.0008560937432,"max":547.0008560937432}},{"id":"chance","label":"天剣チャンス10000回","group":"other","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.1623532237129554,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":77.11778126365382,"max":77.11778126365382}}]}},{"id":"devilman-final-179","slug":"devilman-final-179","name":"デカスタPデビルマン THE FINAL 179ver.","shortName":"デビルマン179","manufacturer":"ニューギン","normalDenominator":179.55,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-DEVIL179-V1","headline":"LT終了後も下位RUSHへ。2段階のループを計算","answer":"初当たりの31.5%で右打ちへ。LTのデデデRUSH BONUSは終了しても真悪魔RUSHへ戻り、再びLTを目指せます。93.1%で続かなかったら即通常終了、とする計算ではありません。1パチ・4円、交換率、自分の回転率で試せます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"560個・LT直行","probability":0.001,"rewardBalls":560,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"160個・下位へ","probability":0.314,"rewardBalls":160,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"160個・終了","probability":0.685,"rewardBalls":160}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"真悪魔RUSH","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"公表の実質次回大当たりを集約。V入賞が条件"},"outcomes":[{"label":"560個・LTへ","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":560,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"560個・下位継続","probability":0.2819,"rewardBalls":560,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"240個・下位継続","probability":0.6131,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"2R・終了（出玉資料差）","probability":0.085,"rewardBalls":{"min":120,"max":160}}]},{"id":"lt","label":"デデデRUSH BONUS","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"実質次回大当たりを集約。変動時間は再現しない"},"outcomes":[{"label":"560個・LT継続","probability":0.2804,"rewardBalls":560,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"240個・LT継続","probability":0.6506,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"560個・下位へ","probability":0.0208,"rewardBalls":560,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"240個・下位へ","probability":0.0482,"rewardBalls":240,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"初当たり","value":"1/179.55"},{"label":"右打ち突入","value":"31.5%"},{"label":"下位継続","value":"91.5%（LT移行を含む）"},{"label":"LT継続","value":"93.1%・終了後は下位へ"},{"label":"払い出し","value":"560・240・160個／終了2Rは120〜160個"}],"sources":[{"label":"ニューギン公式：179ver.スペック原画像","url":"https://www.newgin.co.jp/pub/machine/devilman_final/images/section4/ver179-content--pc.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"16F9323F5427103676E44EDF6882C618C5B3AB60553C5A84ADDEEF4B844A28C2"},{"label":"スペック解析：2R出玉と残保留を補足","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/160000/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"5C623962609332E59A12902CBB7611987A253A7858E4F4C6DA72A5771E87E476"},{"label":"一撃：下位終了2Rを160個とする表（資料差）","url":"https://images.1geki.jp/machines/pachinko/p_devilman_tf179ds/p_devilman_tf179ds-gazou130.png?f=webp","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"CEF3F4D0E1256425A7B36594B60B54947ECEBCFCC59BE61A3BA9AD5BEFEAE877"}],"limitations":["初当たり179.55と全分岐割合は公式179ver.を使用。右打ちの実質次回大当たりを1回の遷移に集約します。公式1/1表記と詳細資料のLT内1/1.09・長時短の違いから、内部変動回数や所要時間は再現しません。V入賞が条件です。","下位終了2Rは、詳細表が120個、一撃の専用図が160個で不一致です。この枝だけ120〜160個の幅を残しています。上下限は信頼区間ではなく資料差による計算幅です。初当たり2R160個と混同しません。","右の特図2残保留なしという二次資料の条件で計算し、終了後の追加引き戻し抽選を加えません。ヘソ割り込み・入賞順・保留不足は対象外です。","数値は払い出し。実獲得率と持ち玉比率は一定値。有料通常回転数を固定し最後のRUSHまで消化します。実戦値ではなく利益非保証。資金枯渇・閉店・時間・コンプリートは再現しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1736.237974424552,"max":1748.8379744245524},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":160.4,"max":160.4},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"真悪魔RUSH","group":"rush","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":3.7058823529411766,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1209.6296470588234,"max":1222.2296470588235}},{"id":"lt","label":"デデデRUSH BONUS","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0886615515771518,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":366.2083273657287,"max":366.2083273657287}}]}},{"id":"gridman-159","slug":"gridman-159","name":"スマパチ SSSS.GRIDMAN メガSTART 159ver.","shortName":"グリッドマン159","manufacturer":"七匠","normalDenominator":159.8,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-GRID159-V1","headline":"50%は時短への入口。ST突入は初当たりの約24%","answer":"初当たりの50%で入る電光RUSHは、低確率の時短100回です。そこで残保留4個も含めて引き戻すとST120回へ。初当たりからSTまで進む割合は約24%で、50%ではありません。1パチ・4円、交換率と自分の回転率で計算できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・時短100回へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"chance"},{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"chance","label":"電光RUSH・低確率100回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":159.8,"spins":100},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・ST120回へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"st"},{"label":"300個・ST120回へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"st"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"st","label":"電光覚醒RUSH・ST120回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":77.4,"spins":120},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・ST120回へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"st"},{"label":"300個・ST120回へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"st"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"低確率の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":159.8,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・ST120回へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"st"},{"label":"300個・ST120回へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"st"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"初当たり","value":"約1/159.8・300個"},{"label":"時短への突入","value":"50%・100回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"STへの突入","value":"時短から約48%／初当たりから約24%"},{"label":"ST","value":"約1/77.4・120回＋低確率の残4個"},{"label":"右の払い出し","value":"1500個50%・300個50%"}],"sources":[{"label":"公式159ver.：確率・振り分け・残保留","url":"https://www.e-ssss-gridman.jp/img/spec_01_2.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"5C851669962C08304FA127258D234931E5A4F66782C8254B8A974F3EF13A6C29"},{"label":"公式159ver.：時短からSTへの流れ","url":"https://www.e-ssss-gridman.jp/img/gameflow_01_1.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"83386A49D4F5F3798273CCE7E146ED1702A6C5830897749A28022D33BF553D7A"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表の丸め値159.8・77.4を使います。時短100回と残4は低確率、ST120回だけ高確率。残保留の引き戻しをSTと同じ確率にしたり、継続率へ単純加算したりしません。","右打ちの特図2当たりは1500個・300個を各50%としてST120回へ。残保留も同じ振り分けという詳細表を二次照合しました。3000個表示は1500個×2の先告知で、別の3000個抽選は加えません。V入賞と液晶指示に従うことが条件です。","払い出しを基準に実獲得率と持ち玉比率を一定で計算します。ヘソ割り込み、保留不足、入賞順、閉店・資金枯渇・所要時間・コンプリートは再現しません。","固定した有料通常回転数と最後のST消化を仮定した理論・シミュレーションです。実戦集計ではなく利益は保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1353.3386905611349,"max":1353.3386905611349},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"chance","label":"電光RUSH・低確率100回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.46620769195036493,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":209.79346137766424,"max":209.79346137766424}},{"id":"st","label":"電光覚醒RUSH・ST120回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7899668977205448,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.1703763228457054,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":832.1026976316007,"max":832.1026976316007}},{"id":"reserve","label":"低確率の残保留4個","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.024797305773674116,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5127139239465222,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":11.442531551869985,"max":11.442531551869985}}]}},{"id":"accelerator-saikyo","slug":"accelerator-saikyo","name":"e一方通行 最狂","shortName":"一方通行 最狂","manufacturer":"オレンジ","normalDenominator":253,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-ACCELERATOR-SAIKYO-V1","headline":"RUSHは30%。3000個＋ジャッジメントを分けて計算","answer":"初当たりの30%でRUSHへ。右の3000個＋最狂ジャッジメントは、3000個を得た後に1500個か7500個を追加する分岐です。1パチ・4円、交換率と自分の回転率を入れると、この出玉の偏りも含めて期待値を確認できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・RUSHへ","probability":0.3,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.7,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"OVER RUSH・普図15回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":13,"spins":15,"note":"普図ロング開放抽選を有限回抽選として扱う"},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個＋ジャッジメントへ","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"judgment"},{"label":"3000個・RUSHへ","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1500個・RUSHへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"judgment","label":"最狂ジャッジメント・追加出玉","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"入賞指示を守って追加のセットを完走する条件"},"outcomes":[{"label":"追加7500個・RUSHへ","probability":0.45,"rewardBalls":7500,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"追加1500個・RUSHへ","probability":0.55,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"対象型式","value":"RRA・最狂（旧JKZとは別）"},{"label":"初当たり","value":"約1/253・300個"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"30%"},{"label":"右の抽選","value":"普図約1/13を15回・継続約70%"},{"label":"ジャッジメント","value":"3000個の後に追加1500個55%／7500個45%"}],"sources":[{"label":"藤商事公式：最狂RRA基本スペック","url":"https://www.fujimarukun.co.jp/products/e_accelerator/","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"32A155A557E3DEE485ABE2A80FB377F904CD20357F9DDBF9F4538688AD20EB6E"},{"label":"P-WORLD10505：最狂の出玉分岐（二次資料）","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10505","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"5B8FCD97AF90DB37ACAFA2061CB6B69E8D8855DC31663255E93B9568FD8D2B2B"}],"limitations":["公式RRAの丸め値1/253・1/13を使います。二次詳細表の253.95・13.1との差は残ります。JKZの約1/539やRUSH110回を混ぜません。","公式の基本仕様を確認し、詳細な25/25/50%とジャッジメント45/55%はP-WORLDの最狂専用表で補完しています。全分岐をメーカーが公開したという意味ではありません。","普図のロング開放を15回の抽選に集約。残保留の追加抽選は入れません。1500個を単位とした複数当たりのセットを合計出玉として扱い、消化時間や電チュー開放の内部手順は再現しません。V入賞と液晶指示を守り、セット完走する条件です。","払い出し基準に実獲得率・持ち玉比率を一定として適用。保留不足、入賞順、閉店、資金枯渇、コンプリートは再現しません。固定した有料通常回転数と最後のRUSH消化を仮定した理論・シミュレーションで、実戦値ではなく利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2599.0220759822782,"max":2599.0220759822782},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"OVER RUSH・普図15回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6989986758588925,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.9966733563582664,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1567.5150518060993,"max":1567.5150518060993}},{"id":"judgment","label":"最狂ジャッジメント・追加出玉","group":"other","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.17416833908956658,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":731.5070241761797,"max":731.5070241761797}}]}},{"id":"nyanko-daisenso-88","slug":"nyanko-daisenso-88","name":"P にゃんこ大戦争 多様性のネコ 神さまにおまかせ88ver.","shortName":"にゃんこ大戦争88","manufacturer":"京楽","normalDenominator":88.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-NYANKO88-V1","headline":"ガチャ約1/88.9。成功後の50%には残保留も含みます","answer":"ガチャが起きる約1/88.9と、RUSH突入は別です。ガチャ成功後は200個＋800個を獲得し、残保留も含め約50%でRUSHへ。1パチ・4円と自分の回転率で、ガチャ失敗時の200個も含めて計算できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"200個・ガチャ成功","probability":0.51,"rewardBalls":200,"nextState":"first"},{"label":"200個・ガチャ失敗","probability":0.49,"rewardBalls":200}],"states":[{"id":"first","label":"SUNRISE BONUS・追加800個","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed"},"outcomes":[{"label":"800個・RUSHへ","probability":0.416,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"800個・残保留へ","probability":0.584,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"reserve"}]},{"id":"rush","label":"神域ULTIMATE・転落まで","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"competing","successDenominator":26.2,"failureDenominator":88.9},"outcomes":[{"label":"800個・RUSH継続","probability":1,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個の800個引き戻し","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":26.2,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"800個・RUSH復帰","probability":1,"rewardBalls":800,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"降臨ガチャ","value":"約1/88.9・成功約1/1.96"},{"label":"ガチャ発生時","value":"200個（成功時はさらに800個）"},{"label":"成功後のRUSH突入","value":"約50%・残保留4個込み"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"800個・当選約1/26.2／転落約1/88.9"},{"label":"残保留","value":"4個・800個引き戻し約14.39%"}],"sources":[{"label":"京楽公式：88ver.スペック・フロー・脚注","url":"https://www.kyoraku.co.jp/product_qr/dfJmDCDY8w7zBVf/img/info/img_2.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"D3DDA32BC51817C6F41D4362ACAD155A4C710814EDD13994E504439E807A7294"},{"label":"スペック解析：88M2詳細分岐（二次補完）","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/167174","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"D1A7AE4717109083FABDB47B02AA4A8B0504DBEBFDBDFDA37EB3F6A2C46FD643"}],"limitations":["公式の丸め値88.9・26.2を使用。成功51%と残保留前の41.6%は二次詳細表で補完。41.6%に非突入側の残4を加えると約50%です。50%に残保留を再加算しません。","右の低出玉一種当たりは6個払い出し・打込み相殺として0扱いに集約。SUNRISE前の低出玉当たりも省き、追加800個までを保証状態で扱います。内部の当たり回数・消化回転数を完全再現するモデルではありません。","残保留は800個を得る小当たり26.2分の1を4個消化する近似です。二次表の一種当たりを含む約18%と、公式の800個引き戻し約14.39%は別指標。1600個演出は800個×2で、別の上乗せを加算しません。","出玉は払い出し基準。V入賞・液晶指示・十分な保留が条件です。実獲得率・持ち玉比率は一定。入賞順、保留不足、時間、閉店、資金枯渇、コンプリートは再現しません。固定通常回転数と最後のRUSH消化の理論・シミュレーションで実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1485.8040085810308,"max":1485.8040085810308},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":200,"max":200},"states":[{"id":"first","label":"SUNRISE BONUS・追加800個","group":"other","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.51,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":408,"max":408}},{"id":"rush","label":"神域ULTIMATE・転落まで","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7723718505647262,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.3094150107262883,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":809.0842359935153,"max":809.0842359935153}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個の800個引き戻し","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.1441512950354915,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5958997157343942,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":68.71977258751534,"max":68.71977258751534}}]}},{"id":"shield-hero-ultimate-199","slug":"shield-hero-ultimate-199","name":"e 盾の勇者の成り上がり アルティメット199ver.","shortName":"盾の勇者199","manufacturer":"サミー","normalDenominator":199,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-SHIELD199-V1","headline":"下位RUSHの約40%を突破。残保留の3000個＋αも計算","answer":"初当たりの49.9%は、上位への突破を目指すRISING RUSHへ。初当たりの2.1%は上位への直行ルートです。下位の突破、上位ST80回、残保留4個と追加1500個を分け、1パチ・4円と自分の回転率で期待値を計算できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1500個・次回Bへ","probability":0.001,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"b"},{"label":"300個・次回Bへ","probability":0.02,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"b"},{"label":"300個・RISING RUSH","probability":0.499,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.48,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"RISING RUSH・転落まで","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"competing","successDenominator":45.2,"failureDenominator":23.7},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個・さらに1500個以上","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"b"},{"label":"3000個・ST80へ","probability":0.9,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"lt","label":"裏アルティメットタイム・ST80回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":45.2,"spins":80},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・追加へ","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"b"},{"label":"1500個・ST80へ","probability":0.9,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"b","label":"次回B・追加1500個10%ループ","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":45.2,"spins":10000},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・さらに追加","probability":0.1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"b"},{"label":"1500個・ST80へ","probability":0.9,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"reserve"},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・当たれば追加も獲得","group":"reserve","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":45.2,"spins":4},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・次回Bへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"b"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"初当たり","value":"約1/199"},{"label":"初当たりの行き先","value":"49.9%下位／2.1%上位直行／48%終了"},{"label":"下位","value":"当選約1/45.2・転落約1/23.7＋残4"},{"label":"上位","value":"ST80回または10000回＋残保留4個"},{"label":"追加出玉","value":"1500個を10%でさらに追加"}],"sources":[{"label":"サミー公式：199ver.ゲームフロー・全体振り分け","url":"https://www.sammy.co.jp/japanese/product/pachinko/e_tat_yu_L/img/top/top-pc.jpg","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"453CE02220B1446EEEB36F2E9AC244451B77B5BD90572D0059FE2A6FF0DA635F"},{"label":"スペック解析：EREF次回A/Bと残保留（二次補完）","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/164218/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"B769ED1436C27A7773797008CA8424FA5D50DB846E618871444605D10F536B9C"}],"limitations":["公式の丸め値199・45.2・23.7を使用します。二次資料の199.8・45.23との差があります。初当たり2.1%の上位直行を下位突入49.9%に混ぜません。","公式の下位勝利90%3000個・10%4500個＋αを優先します。二次表の次回A/Bをそのまま下位へ重ねると追加率が公式と合わないため、その部分は採用しません。次回Bの10%追加と90%ST復帰は＋αの分解に使い、セット出玉を重複計上しません。","下位は当たりと転落を排他的な競合として集約し、実質次回の10000回上限の影響は無視します。転落後も残保留4個を消化し、残保留当たりは1500個に追加1500個以上が続きます。全状態を同じ85%ループにしません。","払い出し基準に実獲得率・持ち玉比率を一定で適用。V入賞と液晶指示を守り、十分な保留をためる条件です。入賞順、消化時間、閉店、資金枯渇、コンプリートは再現しません。固定通常回転数と最後のRUSH消化を仮定した理論・シミュレーションで実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3040.1684864755402,"max":3040.1684864755402},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":301.2,"max":301.2},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"RISING RUSH・転落まで","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.34397677793904213,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.499,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":514.933236574746,"max":514.933236574746}},{"id":"lt","label":"裏アルティメットタイム・ST80回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8330037330424194,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.4450890611198934,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1805.6468737374544,"max":1805.6468737374544}},{"id":"b","label":"次回B・追加1500個10%ループ","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.2302455176722188,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":345.36827650832817,"max":345.36827650832817}},{"id":"reserve","label":"残保留4個・当たれば追加も獲得","group":"reserve","gateProbability":0.08560185121610164,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5686800664366752,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":73.0200996550126,"max":73.0200996550126}}]}},{"id":"yuyuyu-7500","slug":"yuyuyu-7500","name":"e結城友奈は勇者である～極限7500～","shortName":"結城友奈7500","manufacturer":"サンセイR&D","normalDenominator":349,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-YUYUYU7500-V1","headline":"出玉なしのリセットと、7500個の当たりを分けて計算","answer":"初当たりは1500個、51.5%でST115回へ進みます。下位ST中の25%は出玉なしの回数リセット。残り75%は1500個または7500個を獲得し、ST135回へ進みます。1パチ・4円と自分の回転率で期待値を計算できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1500個・ST115回","probability":0.515,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500個・通常へ","probability":0.485,"rewardBalls":1500}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"勇者RUSH・ST115回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":96.3,"spins":115},"outcomes":[{"label":"出玉なし・115回にリセット","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"7500個・ST135回","probability":0.1875,"rewardBalls":7500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1500個・ST135回","probability":0.5625,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}]},{"id":"lt","label":"極限勇者RUSH・ST135回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":96.3,"spins":135},"outcomes":[{"label":"7500個・ST135回","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":7500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1500個・ST135回","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"初当たり","value":"約1/349・1500個"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"51.5%"},{"label":"下位ST","value":"115回・当選約1/96.3（リセット含む）"},{"label":"上位ST","value":"135回・当選約1/96.3"},{"label":"ジャッジ出玉","value":"25%で7500個／75%で1500個"}],"sources":[{"label":"サンセイ公式：極限7500パンフレット","url":"https://www.sansei-rd.com/products23/e_yyy/assets/pdf/e_yyy.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"F3C2BF26928B1947681DECA0510BDFE25EF4B51E89CF96A9658FABCF648DD231"},{"label":"スペック解析：状態別仕様の照合（二次資料）","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/169922/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"692B054CF829FDF93637750A76337CA00B567BE5E72E5234189F63D8D446A014"}],"limitations":["メーカー公表の約1/349・約1/96.3を採用します。二次資料の1/349.99とは差があります。下位の1/96.3は出玉なしリセットを含む当選確率であり、出玉当たりだけの確率と混同しません。","下位当選の25%は出玉ゼロでST115回へ戻ります。残り75%でジャッジへ進み、その中の25%が7500個です。7500個は1500個を5回獲得する合計で、さらに1500個を足しません。残保留の追加抽選は設けません。","右打ち中のヘソ当たりは対象外です。普図・特図やセット内の進行を出玉単位へ集約し、入賞順、消化時間、閉店、資金枯渇、コンプリートは再現しません。V入賞など液晶の指示を守る条件です。","払い出しに一定の実獲得率・持ち玉比率を適用します。固定通常回転数と最後のRUSH消化を仮定した理論・Seed再現シミュレーションで、実戦値ではありません。利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":5516.423308247797,"max":5516.423308247797},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":1500,"max":1500},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"勇者RUSH・ST115回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.6989348030578506,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.624040991952605,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":981.3689275734442,"max":981.3689275734442}},{"id":"lt","label":"極限勇者RUSH・ST135回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7556609818596098,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.3388077694159322,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":3035.054380674352,"max":3035.054380674352}}]}},{"id":"lupin-vs-cats-eye-157","slug":"lupin-vs-cats-eye-157","name":"eルパン三世VSキャッツ・アイ157ver. 極限突破ブッた斬り7500","shortName":"ルパン×キャッツアイ157","manufacturer":"アムテックス","normalDenominator":157.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-LUPIN157-V1","headline":"25%でバトルへ、そこから50%でLT。二段階を分けて計算","answer":"初当たりの25%で1500個と銭形LT BATTLE BONUSを獲得。そのバトルを50%で突破するとST149回です。ST中の25%は1500～7500個の振り分け。1パチ・4円、自分の回転率と交換率で計算できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1500個・銭形バトルへ","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"battle"},{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"battle","label":"銭形LT BATTLE BONUS","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed","note":"次回までの初回抽選を集約"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・追加抽選とLT","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"extra1"},{"label":"1500個・LT","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1500個・終了","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500}]},{"id":"lt","label":"SUPER HERO RUSH W・ST149回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":97.3,"spins":149},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・追加抽選へ","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"extra1"},{"label":"1500個・ST149回へ","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}]},{"id":"extra1","label":"追加抽選1/4・二次資料75%集約","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.75,"note":"二次資料の大当り75:ハズレ25という計算条件"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個を追加","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"extra2"}],"missNextState":"extra2"},{"id":"extra2","label":"追加抽選2/4・二次資料75%集約","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.75,"note":"二次資料の大当り75:ハズレ25という計算条件"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個を追加","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"extra3"}],"missNextState":"extra3"},{"id":"extra3","label":"追加抽選3/4・二次資料75%集約","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.75,"note":"二次資料の大当り75:ハズレ25という計算条件"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個を追加","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"extra4"}],"missNextState":"extra4"},{"id":"extra4","label":"追加抽選4/4・二次資料75%集約","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.75,"note":"二次資料の大当り75:ハズレ25という計算条件"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個を追加","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}],"missNextState":"lt"}],"stateSummaryGroups":[{"label":"銭形バトル","stateIds":["battle"]},{"label":"ST149回","stateIds":["lt"]},{"label":"追加4回（ハズレ後も継続）","stateIds":["extra1","extra2","extra3","extra4"]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"初当たり","value":"約1/157.9"},{"label":"バトル突入／突破","value":"25%／50%"},{"label":"ST","value":"149回・約1/97.3"},{"label":"ST中出玉","value":"75%1500個／25%1500～7500個"},{"label":"追加抽選の計算条件","value":"75%を4回（二次資料による集約）"}],"sources":[{"label":"平和・アムテックス公式：157ver.遊技ガイド","url":"https://www.heiwanet.co.jp/assets/images/products/guide/lvcl.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"4F784ED8BFF0911849D97080EEB2D98D24F4975CE11A30F941611CB4557A9EFB"},{"label":"スペック解析：LBM6状態遷移・追加抽選条件（二次補完）","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/168332/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"00530E050F0555231BB70FF4A1321B9C4C8449045959B3971AB059C33B1EF6D6"}],"limitations":["公式の157.9・97.3を採用します。初当たり25%とバトル突破50%は別の抽選で、基本経路のLT到達率は12.5%です。公式で示される特殊ルートは独立した追加確率を付与せず、基本経路の集約モデルとして計算します。","7500個の内訳は、二次資料が明示する大当り75:ハズレ25で4回の追加抽選として表します。これは内部確率そのものを確定した値ではありません。1/1.33や一種二種合算1/1.32を混ぜず、当該C時短・入賞順を集約します。ハズレても次の追加抽選へ進みます。","上乗せの1500～7500個は最初の1500個と追加0～6000個の合計です。初回の最大9000個表示は初当たり1500個を含む合計で、9000個をさらに加算しません。ST後の残保留抽選は設けません。","次回10000回は実質保証に集約します。払い出しに実獲得率・持ち玉比率を一定で適用。V入賞等の指示遵守と固定通常回転数・最後のRUSH消化が条件です。閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリート・時間は再現しません。理論・Seed再現シミュレーションで実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2457.5766036368577,"max":2457.5766036368577},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":600,"max":600},"states":[{"id":"battle","label":"銭形LT BATTLE BONUS","group":"rush","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.25,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":375,"max":375}},{"id":"lt","label":"SUPER HERO RUSH W・ST149回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7854623191608305,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.582648229956898,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":686.472344935347,"max":686.472344935347}},{"id":"extra1","label":"追加抽選1/4・二次資料75%集約","group":"other","gateProbability":0.75,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.1769120574892245,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":199.02606467537757,"max":199.02606467537757}},{"id":"extra2","label":"追加抽選2/4・二次資料75%集約","group":"other","gateProbability":0.75,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.1769120574892245,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":199.02606467537757,"max":199.02606467537757}},{"id":"extra3","label":"追加抽選3/4・二次資料75%集約","group":"other","gateProbability":0.75,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.1769120574892245,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":199.02606467537757,"max":199.02606467537757}},{"id":"extra4","label":"追加抽選4/4・二次資料75%集約","group":"other","gateProbability":0.75,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.17691205748922448,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":199.02606467537754,"max":199.02606467537754}}]}},{"id":"mushoku-tensei","slug":"mushoku-tensei","name":"e 無職転生 ～異世界行ったら本気だす～","shortName":"無職転生","manufacturer":"EXCITE","normalDenominator":348.6,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-MUSHOKU-V1","headline":"図柄揃い約1/399.6。チャージの300個も含めて計算","answer":"図柄揃いは1200個、RUSH突入は約54%。右打ちはST130回で、1500・3000・6000個に分かれます。この計算では魔力チャージの300個と、ごく少ないRUSH直行も含めて扱います。1パチ・4円の条件を選んで試せます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1200個・RUSH","probability":0.471,"rewardBalls":1200,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"300個・RUSH直行","probability":0.001,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1200個・通常へ","probability":0.402,"rewardBalls":1200},{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.126,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"lt","label":"無職転生RUSH・ST130回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":90.4,"spins":130},"outcomes":[{"label":"6000個・ST130回","probability":0.235,"rewardBalls":6000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"3000個・ST130回","probability":0.265,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1500個・ST130回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"図柄揃い","value":"約1/399.6"},{"label":"チャージ込み","value":"約1/348.6（計算の分母）"},{"label":"RUSH","value":"ST130回・約1/90.4"},{"label":"右打ち出玉","value":"23.5%6000個／26.5%3000個／50%1500個"},{"label":"チャージ","value":"300個・一部RUSH直行（二次補完）"}],"sources":[{"label":"EXCITE・フィールズ公式：基本スペックと振り分け","url":"https://www.e-mushokutensei.jp/assets/images/spec_contents_pc.png","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"1BFEB72ECB96DBD04DE7984E6E35478E91506B02C0A4BE95038A528C2631CAFE"},{"label":"公式：魔力解放の直RUSHを含むゲームフロー","url":"https://www.e-mushokutensei.jp/assets/images/gameflow_image_pc.webp","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"6BA47A16D1774A9DDD3B2F2B9868D7636A9DD2D9DD790249424480A956DBE533"},{"label":"スペック解析：H2Eチャージ込み初当たり分岐（二次補完）","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/169906/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"AA44A0615942EDB44B6878D00C7AC4ED353E0F2ABD77B05776B3461A298D4E83"}],"limitations":["計算の初当たりにはチャージを含め、分母は公式の348.6を使います。図柄揃いだけの399.6にチャージ分岐を重ねません。初当たり内訳47.1%・0.1%・40.2%・12.6%は二次資料で補完しました。","公表値は丸められており、348.6と二次分岐87.3%から求める図柄揃い分母は約399.31です。公式399.6との差を隠さず、このモデルではチャージ込み分母と二次分岐を優先します。RUSH54%は図柄揃い側の公表値で、チャージ込みの全初当たりへ適用しません。","6000個は1500個×4、3000個は1500個×2の合計を一つの報酬として集約します。普図・セット内の進行と入賞順、消化時間は再現しません。ST終了後に残保留4回などの追加抽選は設けません。","払い出しに一定の実獲得率と持ち玉比率を適用。V入賞などの指示を守り、固定通常回転数と最後のRUSH消化を仮定します。閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリートは対象外。Seed再現可能な理論シミュレーションで実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":5613.616367786816,"max":5613.616367786816},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":1085.6999999999998,"max":1085.6999999999998},"states":[{"id":"lt","label":"無職転生RUSH・ST130回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.76450511333254,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":2.004289802973542,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":4527.916367786816,"max":4527.916367786816}}]}},{"id":"ushio-tora-kaminose-100","slug":"ushio-tora-kaminose-100","name":"Pうしおととら 神のせSPEC 100ver.","shortName":"うしおととら100","manufacturer":"D-light","normalDenominator":100.05,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-USHIO100-V1","headline":"初当たりは300個。68%でST70回へ","answer":"約1/100の甘デジです。初当たりの68%でST70回へ入り、右打ちの当たりは1000個、半分は追加獲得へ。2000個以上の上乗せも分けて再現します。1パチ・4円の回転率と交換率で計算できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"300個・ST70回","probability":0.68,"rewardBalls":300,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"300個・通常へ","probability":0.32,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"真うしとらRUSH・ST70回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":100.05,"spins":70},"outcomes":[{"label":"1000個・上乗せへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"extra"},{"label":"1000個・ST70回へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"extra","label":"二体で最強BONUS・追加1000個","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed"},"outcomes":[{"label":"追加1000個・さらに上乗せ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"extra"},{"label":"追加1000個・ST70回へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":1000,"nextState":"rush"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/100（計算は100.05）"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"68%・初当たり300個"},{"label":"RUSH","value":"ST70回・約1/100"},{"label":"右打ち出玉","value":"50%1000個／50%2000個以上"},{"label":"追加獲得","value":"1000個ずつ・二次資料の50%継続で補完"}],"sources":[{"label":"Daiichi公式：100ver.スペックPDF","url":"https://daiichi777.jp/images/upload/actual_product/ushitora3-100_pdf_1.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"033A91E48E7B247EA3248B421F9E0B34D4CA3B15269C4C41C453575B1EBD2772"},{"label":"スペック解析：FH-RSの確率と追加当たり分岐（二次補完）","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/171442/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"2D68C51ECA0493F2B7DD4558283492E5188BF841D9911C8BF6D7A10174FFA77C"}],"limitations":["メーカーの約1/100に対し、通常時とSTの計算分母は二次資料の100.05を使用。ST継続は1-(1-1/100.05)^70です。残保留の追加抽選は設けません。","公式の2000個50%・3000個25%・4000個12.5%・5000個以上12.5%は、二体で最強BONUSに入った場合の内訳です。右打ち当たり全体の比率として重ねません。5000個より先は二次資料の追加1000個・50%継続で補完しています。","普図と特図の消化を報酬と状態に集約。上乗せは平均2000個に固定せず1000個ごとに抽選します。150ver.や399ver.の数値は使用していません。","払い出しに一定の実獲得率と持ち玉比率を適用。V入賞などの指示を守り、固定通常回転数と最後のRUSH消化を仮定します。閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリートは対象外。Seed再現可能な理論シミュレーションで実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":1687.399565366208,"max":1687.399565366208},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":300,"max":300},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"真うしとらRUSH・ST70回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5049864544115839,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.373699782683104,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":693.699782683104,"max":693.699782683104}},{"id":"extra","label":"二体で最強BONUS・追加1000個","group":"rush","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6936997826831041,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":693.6997826831041,"max":693.6997826831041}}]}},{"id":"youzitsu","slug":"youzitsu","name":"eようこそ実力至上主義の教室へ","shortName":"よう実","manufacturer":"サンセイR&D","normalDenominator":349.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-YOUZITSU-V1","headline":"50%でST65回。3000個獲得後にも継続の振分","answer":"初当たり450個の50%でST65回へ。そこで当たると3000個、その73%でLTへ入ります。LTはST145回の引き戻しと、当たり後の87%継続を別々に計算。1パチ・4円の回転率と交換率を入力できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"450個・ST65回","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":450,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"450個・通常へ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":450}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"TREASURE HUNT・ST65回","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":94.1,"spins":65},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個・LTへ","probability":0.73,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"3000個・通常へ","probability":0.27,"rewardBalls":3000}]},{"id":"lt","label":"TREASURE HUNT EXTRA・ST145回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":71.6,"spins":145},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個・LT継続","probability":0.87,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"3000個・通常へ","probability":0.13,"rewardBalls":3000}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/349.9・450個"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"50%"},{"label":"下位ST","value":"65回・1/94.1、当選後73%でLT"},{"label":"LT","value":"145回・1/71.6、当選後87%継続"},{"label":"右打ち当選","value":"3000個（1500個×2回）"}],"sources":[{"label":"サンセイ公式：よう実製品情報PDF","url":"https://www.sansei-rd.com/products23/e_you_zitsu/assets/pdf/e_you_zitsu.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"67822F8439919211D9C8BB7A4EEAE0D8FF8E5ECC28590128F7580764AD97ACDC"},{"label":"スペック解析：MA普図・一種二種振分（二次照合）","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/164140/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"10C3631F87F5EB1256E7E47C5A24DAAFB90804B1516A31FC61B1F8A89AB108BC"}],"limitations":["通常分母はメーカー公表349.9を使用。二次資料349.99とは丸め精度が異なります。STは65回94.1、145回71.6で計算し、残保留は二次資料の残保留なし条件として追加しません。","LTのST引き戻し率1-(1-1/71.6)^145と、当選後のLT継続87%は別です。3000個を獲得して通常へ戻る13%も残し、全体を87%継続ループにはしません。","3000個は10R×2回の払い出し。確定セットを3000個1報酬へ集約。右打ち中のヘソ入賞当たりは公式注記どおり通常ルートと異なるため、指示に従った右打ち条件を対象とし誤入賞は再現しません。","払い出しに一定の実獲得率と持ち玉比率を適用。固定通常回転数と最後のRUSH消化を仮定し、閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリートは対象外。Seed再現可能な理論シミュレーションで実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3161.9371545640493,"max":3161.9371545640493},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":450,"max":450},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"TREASURE HUNT・ST65回","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.5006515099059434,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.5,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":750.9772648589151,"max":750.9772648589151}},{"id":"lt","label":"TREASURE HUNT EXTRA・ST145回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8698951705085733,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.7514161691301582,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1960.9598897051342,"max":1960.9598897051342}}]}},{"id":"tensura2","slug":"tensura2","name":"e転生したらスライムだった件2","shortName":"転スラ2","manufacturer":"サンセイR&D","normalDenominator":349.99,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-TENSURA2-V1","headline":"時短100回と2種類のLT、出玉なし移行も再現","answer":"図柄揃いは約1/399.9。300個のチャージも含めて計算します。1500個の図柄揃い後は半分がLT、半分が時短100回へ。右打ちの3000個と、出玉なしで135回・160回STを行き来するルートを分けて再現します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1500個・開国祭","probability":0.4375,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"1500個・時短100回","probability":0.4375,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"time"},{"label":"300個チャージ・通常へ","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"time","label":"時短100回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":399.91,"spins":100},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個・開国祭","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"出玉なし・超開国祭","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"upper"}]},{"id":"lt","label":"開国祭・ST135回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.11,"spins":135},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個・開国祭","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"lt"},{"label":"出玉なし・超開国祭","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"upper"}]},{"id":"upper","label":"超開国祭・ST160回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":99.11,"spins":160},"outcomes":[{"label":"3000個・超開国祭","probability":0.875,"rewardBalls":3000,"nextState":"upper"},{"label":"出玉なし・開国祭","probability":0.125,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"lt"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"図柄揃い","value":"約1/399.9"},{"label":"チャージ込み計算分母","value":"1/349.99（二次補完）"},{"label":"図柄揃い後","value":"1500個・50%LT／50%時短100回"},{"label":"LT","value":"開国祭135回／超開国祭160回"},{"label":"右打ち","value":"3000個セットと出玉なしモード移行"}],"sources":[{"label":"サンセイ公式：転スラ2製品情報PDF","url":"https://www.sansei-rd.com/products23/e_tensura2/assets/pdf/e_tensura2.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"CF51C78BA4E26D9AD549B2E3E30DA1B1309155F258C2F063CACDAEB7AFC5EAA6"},{"label":"スペック解析：MFのC時短と普図状態表（二次補完）","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/167593/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"D235BD79EDCCD5200A754441D69271DB8D24FE8DD69E2BABE86AA7F816C33F66"}],"limitations":["公式の図柄揃い399.9は300個チャージを除く値。二次資料349.99・チャージ12.5%を計算に使い、図柄87.5%の半分ずつを43.75%とします。349.99/0.875=399.99で、公式丸め値と精度差があります。","公式注記の継続約75%/80%は規定内の電チューロング開放発生率。1/99.11の開放後、開国祭は50%3000個・50%出玉なし超開国祭、超開国祭は87.5%3000個・12.5%出玉なし開国祭と二次資料で補完。すべてを出玉当たりにしません。","時短100回は1/399.91の開放後50%3000個・50%出玉なし超開国祭。3000個は1500個2回の確定セットを集約し、残保留は二次資料の残保留なし条件として追加しません。右打ち中のヘソ誤入賞は対象外。","払い出しに一定の実獲得率と持ち玉比率を適用。固定通常回転数と最後のRUSH消化を仮定し、閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリートは対象外。Seed再現可能な理論シミュレーションで実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":5600.576490487198,"max":5600.576490487198},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":1350,"max":1350},"states":[{"id":"time","label":"時短100回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.2214868726572332,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.4375,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":145.3507601813093,"max":145.3507601813093}},{"id":"lt","label":"開国祭・ST135回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7456492967554937,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.0014713760483906,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1120.1196409068586,"max":1120.1196409068586}},{"id":"upper","label":"超開国祭・ST160回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.8026087341543181,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":1.416858830162399,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2985.106089399029,"max":2985.106089399029}}]}},{"id":"garo11-makai-burst","slug":"garo11-makai-burst","name":"e牙狼11～冴島大河～魔戒BURST Ver.","shortName":"牙狼11 魔戒BURST","manufacturer":"サンセイR&D","normalDenominator":349.9,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-GARO11BURST-V1","headline":"Vストック1〜3個の消費と75%再獲得を再現","answer":"初当たり750個の25%で魔戒BURSTへ。そこで1500個を獲得し、64.6%でVストックを獲得します。ストックを持つ間は1500個の当たり後、75%で維持・25%で1個消費。自分の回転率と交換率で収支を計算できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"750個・魔戒BURST","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":750,"nextState":"burst"},{"label":"750個・通常へ","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":750}],"states":[{"id":"burst","label":"魔戒BURST","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・Vストック1個","probability":0.228684,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"s1"},{"label":"1500個・Vストック2個","probability":0.147934,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"s2"},{"label":"1500個・Vストック3個","probability":0.269382,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"s3"},{"label":"1500個・終了","probability":0.354,"rewardBalls":1500}]},{"id":"s1","label":"Vストック1個","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・ストック維持","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"s1"},{"label":"1500個・ストック1個消費","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1500}]},{"id":"s2","label":"Vストック2個","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・ストック維持","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"s2"},{"label":"1500個・ストック1個消費","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"s1"}]},{"id":"s3","label":"Vストック3個","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"guaranteed"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・ストック維持","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"s3"},{"label":"1500個・ストック1個消費","probability":0.25,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"s2"}]}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"約1/349.9"},{"label":"初当たり","value":"750個・25%で魔戒BURST"},{"label":"魔戒BURST","value":"1500個・64.6%でVストック"},{"label":"ストック獲得時","value":"1個35.4%／2個22.9%／3個41.7%"},{"label":"ストック消化","value":"1500個・75%維持／25%で1個消費"}],"sources":[{"label":"サンセイ公式：魔戒BURST製品情報PDF","url":"https://www.sansei-rd.com/products23/e_garo11_mb/assets/pdf/e_garo11mb.pdf","kind":"manufacturer-pdf","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"D8814F80B7EA26EDEE2E7560597E3DBC7552D69B3FF1C7D9EA8D6D5AE42C4181"},{"label":"スペック解析：魔戒BURSTストック遷移照合（二次資料）","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/166128/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"2C434DF89FB3D69169326CB125BC9D9B4536829CBB614781C600CAFBD41060AD"}],"limitations":["通常時はメーカー公表349.9を採用。二次資料349.99との丸め差があります。ストック分岐はメーカーの64.6%に条件付き35.4%・22.9%・41.7%を掛けています。二次資料の全体22.9%・14.8%・26.9%とは丸め精度が異なります。","75%の再獲得時はストック数を維持、25%の敗北時に1個消費。全部なくなるまで次の1500個当たりへ進みます。公式の実質継続率87.5%・91.7%は平均連続回数からの指標で、毎回その確率で継続するモデルではありません。","確定する次回当たりを集約しています。別途残保留4回の抽選は追加しません。初当たり750個とBURST1500個を含むストック1・2・3個の最低払い出しは3750・5250・6750個です。","払い出しに一定の実獲得率と持ち玉比率を適用。固定通常回転数と最後のRUSH消化を仮定し、閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリートは対象外。Seed再現可能な理論シミュレーションで実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":3124.047,"max":3124.047},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":750,"max":750},"states":[{"id":"burst","label":"魔戒BURST","group":"rush","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.25,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":375,"max":375}},{"id":"s1","label":"Vストック1個","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.646,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":969,"max":969}},{"id":"s2","label":"Vストック2個","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.417316,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":625.974,"max":625.974}},{"id":"s3","label":"Vストック3個","group":"lt","gateProbability":1,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.269382,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":404.07300000000004,"max":404.07300000000004}}]}},{"id":"edens-zero-kyukyoku-lt","slug":"edens-zero-kyukyoku-lt","name":"e EDENS ZERO ～究極LT～","shortName":"エデンズゼロ 究極LT","manufacturer":"七匠","normalDenominator":349.90781206039577,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-EDENS-V1","headline":"チャージと上乗せ4回、究極LTへの昇格まで再現","answer":"図柄揃い約1/399.9の半分でRUSHへ。下位RUSHの勝利時33%で上乗せ4回に進み、追加当たりを引けば究極LTへ昇格します。上乗せを全部外した場合は下位のまま。300個チャージも含め、自分の条件で計算できます。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"1500個・絆RUSH","probability":0.43749413861014724,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"},{"label":"1500個・通常へ","probability":0.43749413861014724,"rewardBalls":1500},{"label":"300個チャージ","probability":0.12501172277970551,"rewardBalls":300}],"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"絆BATTLE RUSH","group":"rush","gate":{"kind":"competing","successDenominator":1.7,"failureDenominator":5.7},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・究極臨界4回","probability":0.33,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"l4"},{"label":"1500個・下位継続","probability":0.67,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"lower"}]},{"id":"upper","label":"究極LT","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"competing","successDenominator":1.3,"failureDenominator":4.2},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個・上乗せ4回","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"u4"}]},{"id":"l1","label":"究極臨界判定・残り1回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.3846153846153846},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個追加・究極LTへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"lower"},{"id":"l2","label":"究極臨界判定・残り2回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.3846153846153846},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個追加・究極LTへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"u1"}],"missNextState":"l1"},{"id":"l3","label":"究極臨界判定・残り3回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.3846153846153846},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個追加・究極LTへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"u2"}],"missNextState":"l2"},{"id":"l4","label":"究極臨界判定・残り4回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.3846153846153846},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個追加・究極LTへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"u3"}],"missNextState":"l3"},{"id":"u1","label":"上乗せ・残り1回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.3846153846153846},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個追加・究極LTへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"upper"}],"missNextState":"upper"},{"id":"u2","label":"上乗せ・残り2回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.3846153846153846},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個追加・究極LTへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"u1"}],"missNextState":"u1"},{"id":"u3","label":"上乗せ・残り3回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.3846153846153846},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個追加・究極LTへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"u2"}],"missNextState":"u2"},{"id":"u4","label":"上乗せ・残り4回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"one-shot","probability":0.3846153846153846},"outcomes":[{"label":"1500個追加・究極LTへ","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1500,"nextState":"u3"}],"missNextState":"u3"}],"specSummary":[{"label":"図柄揃い","value":"約1/399.9・1500個"},{"label":"チャージ","value":"約1/2799・300個"},{"label":"図柄揃い後","value":"50%で絆RUSH"},{"label":"絆RUSH勝利時","value":"33%で究極臨界JUDGEMENT"},{"label":"究極LTの勝利1回","value":"1500個＋上乗せ4回・最大7500個"}],"sources":[{"label":"七匠公式リンク先：EDENS ZEROスペック・ゲームフロー","url":"https://www.e-edens-zero.jp/","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"F643911A01DDFEFD0A0110BE7A39638A59C721EB23AA30EC74E7F7814479D6CB"},{"label":"スペック解析：上乗せ1/2.6と残り回数の遷移（二次補完）","url":"https://pachinko-spec.info/spec-detail/171010/","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"43C8FB463A45913DCEF2DF3E35C2E19E9AD75CD227A591443073B8981D09E47F"}],"limitations":["初当たりは公式の図柄399.9とチャージ2799を相互排他的な経路として合算した約1/349.91。二次資料349.99・チャージ12.6%との丸め差があります。図柄揃い後だけの50%をチャージにも適用しません。","勝利と敗北は同じ普図の排他的抽選。公式の丸め分母1.7/5.7、1.3/4.2から継続を計算し、約77.03%/76.36%になります。公式の約77%と丸め精度差があり、内部の厳密な確率ではありません。","上乗せは二次資料の1/2.6を4回。下位では最初の当たりで上位へ移り、残り回数は消化。全ハズレなら下位へ戻ります。上位は当否にかかわらず4回を消化し上位へ戻ります。メーカーの最大7500個・分布と照合。1/2.6の丸め幅内ですが、各出玉の確率はメーカー表と最大約0.3ポイントの差があります。4回を処理済みなので別途残保留を加算しません。","1500個＋4回分の平均は約3808個で、毎回3800個を出すモデルではありません。払い出しに一定の実獲得率・持ち玉比率を適用。固定通常回転数と最後のRUSH消化を仮定し、閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリートは対象外。Seed再現可能な理論計算で実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":5672.0096593968665,"max":5672.0096593968665},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":1349.9859326643534,"max":1349.9859326643534},"states":[{"id":"lower","label":"絆BATTLE RUSH","group":"rush","gateProbability":0.7702702702702703,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.97771689105003,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1129.6593808753726,"max":1129.6593808753726}},{"id":"upper","label":"究極LT","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7636363636363636,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.900660967787444,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":1031.6661994656174,"max":1031.6661994656174}},{"id":"l1","label":"究極臨界判定・残り1回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.3846153846153846,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.05791753876276832,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":33.41396467082787,"max":33.41396467082787}},{"id":"l2","label":"究極臨界判定・残り2回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.3846153846153846,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.09411600048949852,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":54.297692590095295,"max":54.297692590095295}},{"id":"l3","label":"究極臨界判定・残り3回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.3846153846153846,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.15293850079543508,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":88.23375045890485,"max":88.23375045890485}},{"id":"l4","label":"究極臨界判定・残り4回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.3846153846153846,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.248525063792582,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":143.37984449572036,"max":143.37984449572036}},{"id":"u1","label":"上乗せ・残り1回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.3846153846153846,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.8783849913402253,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":506.76057192705304,"max":506.76057192705304}},{"id":"u2","label":"上乗せ・残り2回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.3846153846153846,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.8421865296134952,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":485.8768440077857,"max":485.8768440077857}},{"id":"u3","label":"上乗せ・残り3回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.3846153846153846,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.7833640293075586,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":451.9407861389761,"max":451.9407861389761}},{"id":"u4","label":"上乗せ・残り4回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.3846153846153846,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.6877774663104117,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":396.7946921021606,"max":396.7946921021606}}]}},{"id":"one-punch-man2","slug":"one-punch-man2","name":"eワンパンマン2～正義執行","shortName":"ワンパンマン2","manufacturer":"ニューギン","normalDenominator":179.55,"modelVersion":1,"seed":"ARC-EV-ONEPUNCH2-V1","headline":"出玉なしSTリセットと不屈CHANCEを分けて計算","answer":"初当たりの25%でST134回へ。右打ちのSHOW DOWNは20%が出玉なしリセットです。50%の5080個セット、1270個の当たり、不屈CHANCE1〜2回を別々に抽選し、1パチ・4円の収支を計算します。","initialOutcomes":[{"label":"2540個・ST134回","probability":0.04,"rewardBalls":2540,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"710個・ST134回","probability":0.21,"rewardBalls":710,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"710個・通常へ","probability":0.75,"rewardBalls":710}],"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"HERO RUSH・ST134回","group":"lt","gate":{"kind":"st","denominator":98.55,"spins":134},"outcomes":[{"label":"5080個・STへ","probability":0.5,"rewardBalls":5080,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1270個・STへ","probability":0.0423,"rewardBalls":1270,"nextState":"rush"},{"label":"1270個・不屈1回","probability":0.0702,"rewardBalls":1270,"nextState":"c1"},{"label":"1270個・不屈2回","probability":0.1875,"rewardBalls":1270,"nextState":"c2"},{"label":"出玉なし・STリセット","probability":0.2,"rewardBalls":0,"nextState":"rush"}]},{"id":"c1","label":"不屈CHANCE・残り1回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.14,"note":"DMM・P-WORLDの1回あたり約14%を使用。内部の厳密な確率ではありません。"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1270個追加","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1270,"nextState":"rush"}],"missNextState":"rush"},{"id":"c2","label":"不屈CHANCE・残り2回","group":"other","gate":{"kind":"published","probability":0.14,"note":"DMM・P-WORLDの1回あたり約14%を使用。内部の厳密な確率ではありません。"},"outcomes":[{"label":"1270個追加","probability":1,"rewardBalls":1270,"nextState":"c1"}],"missNextState":"c1"}],"specSummary":[{"label":"通常時","value":"1/179.55"},{"label":"RUSH突入","value":"25%・ST134回"},{"label":"SHOW DOWN","value":"1/98.55・出玉なしリセット込み"},{"label":"右打ちの内訳","value":"50%で5080個／20%で出玉なし"},{"label":"不屈CHANCE","value":"1回あたり約14%で1270個追加"}],"sources":[{"label":"ニューギン公式：スペックと出玉・STリセット振分","url":"https://www.newgin.co.jp/pub/machine/onepunchman2/images/spec/img01.png?ver2","kind":"manufacturer-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"A1D7659BE68C7BEEF031BF1B541DD7D619EF9721999693459B3296372E474606"},{"label":"DMMぱちタウン：不屈CHANCE約14%・2回成功の出玉（二次補完）","url":"https://p-town.dmm.com/machines/4969","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"01E612EC7640E65F1A6C73268FA252744F90AC35D42C091B976A6AC453E10B6E"},{"label":"P-WORLD：不屈CHANCEと基本スペック照合","url":"https://www.p-world.co.jp/machine/database/10439","kind":"secondary-page","checkedAt":"2026-09-08","sha256":"0CE39D33669F26E80B8CACA51DAA1B8EA0EBA70BC53843454E2C4434AD30AEEB"}],"limitations":["約75%は134回内のSHOW DOWN発生率で、出玉なしリセット20%を含みます。初当たりの25%と右打ちの50%は別の条件付き割合です。","不屈CHANCEの成功率は二次資料の約14%を採用し、2回なら当否にかかわらず2回を消化します。厳密な内部確率ではなく、公表丸め値による理論モデルです。暫定集約と明記された他サイトのR数表は使いません。","5000BONUSは1270個×4回の払い出し5080個として集約。初当たり2540個も2回の確定セット。別途残保留4回は加算せず、不屈CHANCEの回数のみ処理します。右打ちのヘソ誤入賞は対象外。","払い出しに一定の実獲得率・持ち玉比率を適用。固定通常回転数と最後のRUSH消化を仮定し、閉店・資金枯渇・コンプリートは対象外。Seed再現可能な理論シミュレーションで実戦値ではなく、利益を保証しません。"],"expectation":{"expectedGrossBallsPerInitialHit":{"min":2974.9902455448782,"max":2974.9902455448782},"initialRewardBalls":{"min":783.2,"max":783.2},"states":[{"id":"rush","label":"HERO RUSH・ST134回","group":"lt","gateProbability":0.7450432905166322,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.9805586230956156,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":2133.9617380622935,"max":2133.9617380622935}},{"id":"c1","label":"不屈CHANCE・残り1回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.14,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.1882649571717402,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":33.47350938513541,"max":33.47350938513541}},{"id":"c2","label":"不屈CHANCE・残り2回","group":"other","gateProbability":0.14,"expectedEntriesPerInitialHit":0.13697974183042796,"rewardContributionBalls":{"min":24.354998097450093,"max":24.354998097450093}}]}}],"globalLimitations":["Payout figures are manufacturer-published gross payout balls unless the model says otherwise","Actual net balls require the UI payout-efficiency input","Expected value is a long-run mean and does not predict or guarantee profit"]}